Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 16–18 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
27.8% |
26.1–29.7% |
25.6–30.2% |
25.2–30.7% |
24.3–31.6% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.8% |
17.3–20.5% |
16.9–21.0% |
16.5–21.4% |
15.8–22.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.4% |
9.5–12.8% |
9.2–13.1% |
8.7–13.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.9–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.1–10.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.4–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–5.9% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.8% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
47 |
27% |
97% |
Last Result |
48 |
1.3% |
70% |
|
49 |
4% |
69% |
|
50 |
40% |
65% |
Median |
51 |
5% |
25% |
|
52 |
15% |
20% |
|
53 |
2% |
4% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
28% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
2% |
71% |
|
32 |
4% |
69% |
|
33 |
6% |
65% |
|
34 |
31% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
35 |
3% |
28% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
37 |
23% |
24% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
29% |
94% |
|
18 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
19 |
10% |
49% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
38% |
|
21 |
3% |
37% |
|
22 |
26% |
34% |
|
23 |
6% |
8% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
2% |
97% |
|
14 |
16% |
95% |
Last Result |
15 |
41% |
79% |
Median |
16 |
6% |
38% |
|
17 |
27% |
32% |
|
18 |
5% |
5% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
36% |
94% |
|
14 |
4% |
58% |
|
15 |
33% |
54% |
Median |
16 |
19% |
21% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
11 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
12 |
4% |
94% |
|
13 |
55% |
90% |
Median |
14 |
3% |
34% |
|
15 |
22% |
32% |
|
16 |
6% |
10% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
6% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
7 |
52% |
93% |
Median |
8 |
37% |
41% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
21% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
41% |
78% |
Median |
8 |
35% |
37% |
|
9 |
1.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
24% |
95% |
|
6 |
8% |
71% |
|
7 |
62% |
63% |
Median |
8 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
89% |
|
2 |
0% |
89% |
|
3 |
0% |
89% |
|
4 |
11% |
89% |
|
5 |
71% |
78% |
Median |
6 |
6% |
7% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
18% |
|
4 |
11% |
18% |
|
5 |
7% |
7% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
66% |
|
2 |
0% |
66% |
|
3 |
0% |
66% |
|
4 |
5% |
66% |
|
5 |
61% |
61% |
Median |
6 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
99 |
100% |
99–103 |
97–104 |
97–104 |
94–107 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
92 |
98% |
91–97 |
91–97 |
90–97 |
86–99 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
86 |
4% |
84–88 |
84–89 |
82–90 |
79–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
76 |
0% |
75–83 |
75–83 |
75–83 |
70–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
78 |
0% |
77–81 |
77–81 |
74–83 |
72–85 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
76 |
0% |
72–76 |
71–78 |
71–78 |
68–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
71 |
0% |
67–73 |
67–74 |
67–75 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
71 |
0% |
67–73 |
67–74 |
67–75 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
71 |
0% |
66–72 |
65–74 |
62–74 |
62–75 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
71 |
0% |
66–72 |
65–74 |
62–74 |
62–75 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
66–71 |
66–72 |
66–73 |
63–75 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
66 |
0% |
65–69 |
63–69 |
62–72 |
60–75 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
63 |
0% |
62–68 |
61–68 |
61–68 |
57–70 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
49 |
0% |
44–49 |
44–49 |
43–51 |
42–53 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
42 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–45 |
36–45 |
36–46 |
Venstre |
34 |
34 |
0% |
30–37 |
30–37 |
30–37 |
28–38 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
96 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
97 |
4% |
98% |
|
98 |
2% |
93% |
|
99 |
57% |
92% |
|
100 |
2% |
35% |
Median |
101 |
6% |
33% |
|
102 |
5% |
28% |
|
103 |
16% |
22% |
|
104 |
5% |
6% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
106 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
98% |
Majority |
91 |
34% |
97% |
|
92 |
29% |
63% |
|
93 |
2% |
35% |
Median |
94 |
10% |
33% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
22% |
|
96 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
97 |
19% |
21% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
26% |
95% |
|
85 |
6% |
69% |
Median |
86 |
35% |
64% |
|
87 |
15% |
29% |
|
88 |
5% |
14% |
|
89 |
6% |
10% |
|
90 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
91 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
75 |
27% |
98% |
|
76 |
38% |
71% |
|
77 |
1.0% |
33% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
32% |
Median |
79 |
6% |
31% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
25% |
|
81 |
5% |
23% |
|
82 |
3% |
18% |
|
83 |
15% |
15% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
77 |
26% |
95% |
|
78 |
30% |
69% |
Median |
79 |
10% |
39% |
|
80 |
2% |
29% |
|
81 |
23% |
28% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
83 |
3% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
72 |
16% |
94% |
|
73 |
5% |
78% |
|
74 |
6% |
72% |
|
75 |
2% |
67% |
|
76 |
57% |
65% |
Median |
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
4% |
7% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
17% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
81% |
|
69 |
6% |
81% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
75% |
|
71 |
58% |
73% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
16% |
|
73 |
2% |
10% |
|
74 |
5% |
9% |
|
75 |
2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
17% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
81% |
|
69 |
6% |
81% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
75% |
|
71 |
58% |
73% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
16% |
|
73 |
2% |
10% |
|
74 |
5% |
9% |
|
75 |
2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
65 |
6% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
91% |
|
67 |
16% |
87% |
|
68 |
4% |
72% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
68% |
|
70 |
2% |
67% |
|
71 |
55% |
65% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
10% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
65 |
6% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
91% |
|
67 |
16% |
87% |
|
68 |
4% |
72% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
68% |
|
70 |
2% |
67% |
|
71 |
55% |
65% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
10% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
66 |
55% |
98% |
Median |
67 |
18% |
43% |
|
68 |
2% |
24% |
|
69 |
10% |
23% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
5% |
8% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
62 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
65 |
6% |
94% |
|
66 |
58% |
88% |
Median |
67 |
16% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
14% |
|
69 |
6% |
10% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
61 |
4% |
98% |
|
62 |
27% |
94% |
|
63 |
35% |
67% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
32% |
|
65 |
8% |
31% |
Median |
66 |
4% |
23% |
|
67 |
2% |
19% |
|
68 |
15% |
17% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
27% |
96% |
|
45 |
2% |
69% |
|
46 |
6% |
67% |
|
47 |
3% |
60% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
57% |
Median |
49 |
52% |
56% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
52 |
2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
27% |
97% |
|
38 |
2% |
70% |
|
39 |
2% |
68% |
|
40 |
6% |
66% |
Last Result |
41 |
0.7% |
61% |
Median |
42 |
33% |
60% |
|
43 |
2% |
28% |
|
44 |
20% |
26% |
|
45 |
6% |
6% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
28% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
2% |
71% |
|
32 |
4% |
69% |
|
33 |
6% |
65% |
|
34 |
31% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
35 |
3% |
28% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
37 |
23% |
24% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 16–18 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.39%