Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–20 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 10.8% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.3–12.5% | 9.0–12.8% | 8.5–13.5% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 47 | 45–49 | 43–51 | 42–51 | 41–55 |
| Venstre | 34 | 35 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 28–41 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–22 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 12 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 93% | |
| 45 | 6% | 91% | |
| 46 | 6% | 86% | |
| 47 | 53% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 11% | 26% | |
| 49 | 8% | 15% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 12% | 97% | |
| 32 | 6% | 85% | |
| 33 | 3% | 79% | |
| 34 | 6% | 76% | Last Result |
| 35 | 48% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 21% | |
| 37 | 7% | 14% | |
| 38 | 4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 8% | 98% | |
| 17 | 4% | 90% | |
| 18 | 6% | 86% | |
| 19 | 2% | 80% | |
| 20 | 48% | 79% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 30% | |
| 22 | 17% | 23% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 24 | 4% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 44% | 96% | Last Result |
| 15 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 41% | |
| 17 | 7% | 32% | |
| 18 | 18% | 25% | |
| 19 | 4% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 8% | 93% | |
| 13 | 17% | 85% | |
| 14 | 41% | 68% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 27% | |
| 16 | 12% | 15% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 43% | 98% | |
| 12 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 44% | |
| 14 | 14% | 28% | |
| 15 | 8% | 14% | |
| 16 | 2% | 7% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 14% | 98% | |
| 7 | 58% | 84% | Median |
| 8 | 19% | 26% | |
| 9 | 4% | 7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 12% | 89% | Last Result |
| 7 | 60% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 5% | 16% | |
| 9 | 10% | 11% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 48% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 27% | |
| 8 | 8% | 18% | |
| 9 | 2% | 10% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 4 | 31% | 96% | |
| 5 | 15% | 66% | |
| 6 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 41% | 41% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 73% | |
| 2 | 0% | 73% | |
| 3 | 0% | 73% | |
| 4 | 55% | 73% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 17% | |
| 6 | 6% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 48% | 63% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 15% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 95 | 99.5% | 91–102 | 91–104 | 91–104 | 90–106 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 88 | 40% | 86–94 | 86–94 | 86–95 | 83–99 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 81 | 2% | 77–88 | 77–88 | 77–89 | 75–91 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 80 | 0% | 73–84 | 71–84 | 71–84 | 69–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 75 | 0% | 72–80 | 72–81 | 72–82 | 68–84 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 72 | 0% | 72–77 | 70–78 | 69–79 | 67–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 76 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–77 | 67–78 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 76 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–77 | 67–78 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 67–75 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 62–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 73 | 0% | 67–75 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 62–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 67–74 | 67–75 | 65–75 | 63–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 90 | 69 | 0% | 66–71 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 59–75 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 61 | 0% | 58–64 | 57–65 | 56–66 | 53–69 |
| Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 53 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–54 | 44–54 | 41–54 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 42 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–46 | 36–46 | 35–46 |
| Venstre | 34 | 35 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 28–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 91 | 38% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 61% | |
| 93 | 3% | 60% | |
| 94 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 95 | 9% | 52% | |
| 96 | 8% | 42% | |
| 97 | 7% | 34% | |
| 98 | 6% | 27% | |
| 99 | 3% | 21% | |
| 100 | 4% | 18% | |
| 101 | 4% | 14% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 104 | 8% | 9% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 86 | 39% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 58% | |
| 88 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 89 | 6% | 46% | |
| 90 | 3% | 40% | Majority |
| 91 | 11% | 38% | |
| 92 | 5% | 26% | |
| 93 | 8% | 22% | |
| 94 | 9% | 13% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 38% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 61% | |
| 79 | 2% | 58% | |
| 80 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 81 | 10% | 53% | |
| 82 | 2% | 43% | |
| 83 | 5% | 41% | |
| 84 | 10% | 36% | |
| 85 | 8% | 26% | |
| 86 | 4% | 18% | |
| 87 | 3% | 15% | |
| 88 | 8% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 2% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 74 | 4% | 90% | |
| 75 | 4% | 86% | |
| 76 | 3% | 82% | |
| 77 | 6% | 79% | |
| 78 | 7% | 73% | |
| 79 | 8% | 66% | |
| 80 | 9% | 58% | |
| 81 | 6% | 48% | |
| 82 | 3% | 43% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 40% | Median |
| 84 | 38% | 39% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 40% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 58% | |
| 74 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 53% | |
| 76 | 7% | 45% | |
| 77 | 6% | 38% | |
| 78 | 18% | 32% | |
| 79 | 2% | 14% | |
| 80 | 6% | 11% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 42% | 91% | |
| 73 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 40% | |
| 75 | 3% | 29% | |
| 76 | 15% | 26% | |
| 77 | 5% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 8% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 70 | 5% | 88% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 72 | 5% | 81% | |
| 73 | 4% | 76% | |
| 74 | 10% | 72% | |
| 75 | 11% | 62% | |
| 76 | 5% | 51% | |
| 77 | 42% | 46% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 8% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 70 | 5% | 88% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 72 | 5% | 81% | |
| 73 | 4% | 76% | |
| 74 | 10% | 72% | |
| 75 | 11% | 62% | |
| 76 | 5% | 51% | |
| 77 | 42% | 46% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 11% | 92% | |
| 68 | 4% | 82% | |
| 69 | 2% | 78% | |
| 70 | 9% | 75% | |
| 71 | 9% | 66% | |
| 72 | 3% | 57% | |
| 73 | 41% | 54% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 7% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 11% | 92% | |
| 68 | 4% | 82% | |
| 69 | 2% | 78% | |
| 70 | 9% | 75% | |
| 71 | 9% | 66% | |
| 72 | 3% | 57% | |
| 73 | 41% | 54% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 7% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 10% | 96% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 69 | 4% | 85% | |
| 70 | 10% | 81% | |
| 71 | 3% | 71% | |
| 72 | 11% | 68% | |
| 73 | 39% | 58% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 18% | |
| 75 | 6% | 8% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 9% | 93% | |
| 67 | 14% | 83% | |
| 68 | 3% | 69% | |
| 69 | 41% | 66% | Median |
| 70 | 13% | 25% | |
| 71 | 4% | 12% | |
| 72 | 3% | 8% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 6% | 96% | |
| 58 | 2% | 90% | |
| 59 | 3% | 88% | |
| 60 | 12% | 85% | |
| 61 | 48% | 74% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 25% | |
| 63 | 4% | 17% | |
| 64 | 8% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 9% | 95% | |
| 46 | 9% | 86% | |
| 47 | 6% | 77% | |
| 48 | 5% | 71% | |
| 49 | 46% | 66% | Median |
| 50 | 2% | 20% | |
| 51 | 4% | 18% | |
| 52 | 3% | 14% | |
| 53 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 54 | 5% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 15% | 96% | |
| 39 | 2% | 81% | |
| 40 | 6% | 78% | Last Result |
| 41 | 10% | 72% | |
| 42 | 42% | 62% | Median |
| 43 | 4% | 20% | |
| 44 | 4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 6% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 12% | 97% | |
| 32 | 6% | 85% | |
| 33 | 3% | 79% | |
| 34 | 6% | 76% | Last Result |
| 35 | 48% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 21% | |
| 37 | 7% | 14% | |
| 38 | 4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 18–20 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.03%