Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–20 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
26.5% |
24.8–28.3% |
24.3–28.9% |
23.9–29.3% |
23.0–30.2% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.9% |
17.4–20.6% |
17.0–21.1% |
16.6–21.5% |
15.9–22.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
10.8% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.3–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.5–13.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.7–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.4% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
43 |
4% |
97% |
|
44 |
2% |
93% |
|
45 |
6% |
91% |
|
46 |
6% |
86% |
|
47 |
53% |
79% |
Last Result, Median |
48 |
11% |
26% |
|
49 |
8% |
15% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
51 |
4% |
7% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
31 |
12% |
97% |
|
32 |
6% |
85% |
|
33 |
3% |
79% |
|
34 |
6% |
76% |
Last Result |
35 |
48% |
69% |
Median |
36 |
7% |
21% |
|
37 |
7% |
14% |
|
38 |
4% |
7% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
8% |
98% |
|
17 |
4% |
90% |
|
18 |
6% |
86% |
|
19 |
2% |
80% |
|
20 |
48% |
79% |
Median |
21 |
8% |
30% |
|
22 |
17% |
23% |
|
23 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
24 |
4% |
4% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
44% |
96% |
Last Result |
15 |
11% |
52% |
Median |
16 |
9% |
41% |
|
17 |
7% |
32% |
|
18 |
18% |
25% |
|
19 |
4% |
7% |
|
20 |
2% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
97% |
|
12 |
8% |
93% |
|
13 |
17% |
85% |
|
14 |
41% |
68% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
27% |
|
16 |
12% |
15% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
43% |
98% |
|
12 |
12% |
56% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
44% |
|
14 |
14% |
28% |
|
15 |
8% |
14% |
|
16 |
2% |
7% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
14% |
98% |
|
7 |
58% |
84% |
Median |
8 |
19% |
26% |
|
9 |
4% |
7% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
11% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
12% |
89% |
Last Result |
7 |
60% |
76% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
16% |
|
9 |
10% |
11% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
48% |
98.6% |
|
6 |
24% |
51% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
27% |
|
8 |
8% |
18% |
|
9 |
2% |
10% |
Last Result |
10 |
7% |
7% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
4 |
31% |
96% |
|
5 |
15% |
66% |
|
6 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
7 |
41% |
41% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
27% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
73% |
|
2 |
0% |
73% |
|
3 |
0% |
73% |
|
4 |
55% |
73% |
Median |
5 |
11% |
17% |
|
6 |
6% |
7% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
63% |
|
2 |
0% |
63% |
|
3 |
0% |
63% |
|
4 |
48% |
63% |
Median |
5 |
12% |
15% |
|
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
95 |
99.5% |
91–102 |
91–104 |
91–104 |
90–106 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
88 |
40% |
86–94 |
86–94 |
86–95 |
83–99 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
81 |
2% |
77–88 |
77–88 |
77–89 |
75–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
80 |
0% |
73–84 |
71–84 |
71–84 |
69–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
75 |
0% |
72–80 |
72–81 |
72–82 |
68–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
72 |
0% |
72–77 |
70–78 |
69–79 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
76 |
0% |
68–77 |
67–77 |
67–78 |
64–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
76 |
0% |
68–77 |
67–77 |
67–78 |
64–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
65–76 |
62–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
73 |
0% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
65–76 |
62–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
67–74 |
67–75 |
65–75 |
63–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
90 |
69 |
0% |
66–71 |
64–73 |
63–74 |
59–75 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
61 |
0% |
58–64 |
57–65 |
56–66 |
53–69 |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
53 |
49 |
0% |
45–53 |
44–54 |
44–54 |
41–54 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
42 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–46 |
36–46 |
35–46 |
Venstre |
34 |
35 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–38 |
30–38 |
28–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
Majority |
91 |
38% |
98.8% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
61% |
|
93 |
3% |
60% |
|
94 |
6% |
57% |
Median |
95 |
9% |
52% |
|
96 |
8% |
42% |
|
97 |
7% |
34% |
|
98 |
6% |
27% |
|
99 |
3% |
21% |
|
100 |
4% |
18% |
|
101 |
4% |
14% |
|
102 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
104 |
8% |
9% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
86 |
39% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
58% |
|
88 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
89 |
6% |
46% |
|
90 |
3% |
40% |
Majority |
91 |
11% |
38% |
|
92 |
5% |
26% |
|
93 |
8% |
22% |
|
94 |
9% |
13% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
|
96 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
38% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
61% |
|
79 |
2% |
58% |
|
80 |
3% |
57% |
Median |
81 |
10% |
53% |
|
82 |
2% |
43% |
|
83 |
5% |
41% |
|
84 |
10% |
36% |
|
85 |
8% |
26% |
|
86 |
4% |
18% |
|
87 |
3% |
15% |
|
88 |
8% |
12% |
|
89 |
2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
2% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
74 |
4% |
90% |
|
75 |
4% |
86% |
|
76 |
3% |
82% |
|
77 |
6% |
79% |
|
78 |
7% |
73% |
|
79 |
8% |
66% |
|
80 |
9% |
58% |
|
81 |
6% |
48% |
|
82 |
3% |
43% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
40% |
Median |
84 |
38% |
39% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
40% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
58% |
|
74 |
4% |
56% |
Median |
75 |
8% |
53% |
|
76 |
7% |
45% |
|
77 |
6% |
38% |
|
78 |
18% |
32% |
|
79 |
2% |
14% |
|
80 |
6% |
11% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
82 |
2% |
4% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
3% |
96% |
|
71 |
2% |
93% |
|
72 |
42% |
91% |
|
73 |
9% |
49% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
40% |
|
75 |
3% |
29% |
|
76 |
15% |
26% |
|
77 |
5% |
12% |
|
78 |
3% |
7% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
8% |
98% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
70 |
5% |
88% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
83% |
|
72 |
5% |
81% |
|
73 |
4% |
76% |
|
74 |
10% |
72% |
|
75 |
11% |
62% |
|
76 |
5% |
51% |
|
77 |
42% |
46% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
67 |
8% |
98% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
70 |
5% |
88% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
72 |
5% |
81% |
|
73 |
4% |
76% |
|
74 |
10% |
72% |
|
75 |
11% |
62% |
|
76 |
5% |
51% |
|
77 |
42% |
46% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
97% |
|
67 |
11% |
92% |
|
68 |
4% |
82% |
|
69 |
2% |
78% |
|
70 |
9% |
75% |
|
71 |
9% |
66% |
|
72 |
3% |
57% |
|
73 |
41% |
54% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
13% |
|
75 |
7% |
11% |
|
76 |
3% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
97% |
|
67 |
11% |
92% |
|
68 |
4% |
82% |
|
69 |
2% |
78% |
|
70 |
9% |
75% |
|
71 |
9% |
66% |
|
72 |
3% |
57% |
|
73 |
41% |
54% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
13% |
|
75 |
7% |
11% |
|
76 |
3% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
97% |
|
67 |
10% |
96% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
69 |
4% |
85% |
|
70 |
10% |
81% |
|
71 |
3% |
71% |
|
72 |
11% |
68% |
|
73 |
39% |
58% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
18% |
|
75 |
6% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
95% |
|
66 |
9% |
93% |
|
67 |
14% |
83% |
|
68 |
3% |
69% |
|
69 |
41% |
66% |
Median |
70 |
13% |
25% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
3% |
8% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
4% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
2% |
98% |
|
57 |
6% |
96% |
|
58 |
2% |
90% |
|
59 |
3% |
88% |
|
60 |
12% |
85% |
|
61 |
48% |
74% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
25% |
|
63 |
4% |
17% |
|
64 |
8% |
13% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
44 |
3% |
98% |
|
45 |
9% |
95% |
|
46 |
9% |
86% |
|
47 |
6% |
77% |
|
48 |
5% |
71% |
|
49 |
46% |
66% |
Median |
50 |
2% |
20% |
|
51 |
4% |
18% |
|
52 |
3% |
14% |
|
53 |
6% |
11% |
Last Result |
54 |
5% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
97% |
|
38 |
15% |
96% |
|
39 |
2% |
81% |
|
40 |
6% |
78% |
Last Result |
41 |
10% |
72% |
|
42 |
42% |
62% |
Median |
43 |
4% |
20% |
|
44 |
4% |
16% |
|
45 |
5% |
12% |
|
46 |
6% |
7% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
31 |
12% |
97% |
|
32 |
6% |
85% |
|
33 |
3% |
79% |
|
34 |
6% |
76% |
Last Result |
35 |
48% |
69% |
Median |
36 |
7% |
21% |
|
37 |
7% |
14% |
|
38 |
4% |
7% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 18–20 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.03%