Opinion Poll by Gallup, 21 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.4% 26.0–28.9% 25.6–29.4% 25.2–29.7% 24.5–30.5%
Venstre 19.5% 19.8% 18.5–21.2% 18.2–21.6% 17.9–21.9% 17.3–22.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 11.9% 10.9–13.0% 10.6–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 9.9–14.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.8–9.6% 6.4–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.1–8.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.4% 3.8–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.2–5.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.7–2.3%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 48–52 46–53 46–54 44–54
Venstre 34 34 33–38 32–39 31–41 30–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 22 19–24 18–24 18–25 18–25
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 14 12–18 12–18 12–18 12–18
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 13 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 5–9 5–9 5–9 5–9
Alternativet 9 5 4–7 4–7 4–8 0–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0–3 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.4% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.6%  
45 1.0% 99.4%  
46 4% 98%  
47 4% 94% Last Result
48 20% 91%  
49 25% 70% Median
50 6% 45%  
51 11% 39%  
52 20% 28%  
53 4% 8%  
54 4% 4%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.6% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.3%  
32 5% 97%  
33 3% 92%  
34 39% 88% Last Result, Median
35 13% 49%  
36 19% 37%  
37 4% 17%  
38 7% 14%  
39 3% 7%  
40 0.4% 3%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.3% 100%  
18 8% 99.7%  
19 5% 92%  
20 22% 87%  
21 8% 65%  
22 36% 57% Median
23 7% 20%  
24 10% 13%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.2% 0.5%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 28% 99.8%  
13 10% 72%  
14 12% 61% Median
15 10% 49%  
16 5% 39%  
17 21% 34%  
18 13% 13%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 9% 99.8%  
12 21% 91%  
13 21% 70% Median
14 31% 49%  
15 11% 18%  
16 6% 8%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 7% 99.6%  
10 4% 93%  
11 14% 88%  
12 24% 74%  
13 42% 51% Median
14 7% 8% Last Result
15 0.5% 1.2%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 8% 98% Last Result
7 27% 90%  
8 36% 63% Median
9 23% 27%  
10 2% 4%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 16% 99.9%  
6 30% 84%  
7 22% 55% Median
8 15% 32%  
9 17% 17%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 11% 99.4%  
5 44% 88% Median
6 34% 44%  
7 7% 11%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 17% 99.1%  
5 40% 82% Median
6 15% 42%  
7 25% 27%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 0% 60%  
4 45% 60% Median
5 14% 15%  
6 1.1% 1.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0.1% 3%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 7% 7%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 85 96 99.4% 91–99 90–100 90–101 89–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 76 91 62% 85–94 85–94 85–95 84–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 77 83 0% 78–85 77–86 76–87 75–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–84 75–85 74–85 74–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–84 75–85 74–85 74–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 76–83 75–84 74–85 74–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 76 0% 74–81 74–82 72–83 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 76 0% 74–79 74–82 72–82 71–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 78 0% 74–81 73–81 73–81 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 68 77 0% 72–80 72–80 71–81 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 74 0% 71–78 70–79 69–79 69–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 71 0% 68–74 67–76 67–78 66–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 63 0% 61–66 60–67 59–67 57–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 49 0% 48–52 47–54 47–55 45–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 41–46 40–47 39–49 38–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 33–38 32–39 31–41 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 8% 99.4% Majority
91 3% 91%  
92 6% 89%  
93 8% 82%  
94 3% 74% Median
95 10% 71%  
96 25% 61%  
97 20% 36%  
98 1.4% 16%  
99 9% 15%  
100 3% 5%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.4% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 2% 99.6%  
85 8% 98%  
86 1.3% 89%  
87 8% 88%  
88 7% 80%  
89 11% 73% Median
90 4% 62% Majority
91 40% 59%  
92 3% 19%  
93 4% 16%  
94 9% 12%  
95 3% 3%  
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 7% 97% Last Result
78 6% 90%  
79 8% 84%  
80 4% 77%  
81 6% 72% Median
82 6% 67%  
83 26% 60%  
84 20% 34%  
85 9% 14%  
86 2% 6%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.8% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.6%  
75 3% 97%  
76 9% 95%  
77 1.4% 85%  
78 20% 84%  
79 25% 64%  
80 10% 39% Median
81 3% 29%  
82 8% 26%  
83 6% 18%  
84 3% 11%  
85 8% 9%  
86 0.3% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.5%  
75 3% 97%  
76 10% 94%  
77 2% 85%  
78 21% 83%  
79 25% 62%  
80 10% 37% Median
81 3% 28%  
82 7% 24%  
83 6% 17%  
84 3% 11%  
85 8% 8%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.5%  
75 3% 97%  
76 10% 94%  
77 3% 84%  
78 21% 82%  
79 25% 61%  
80 10% 36% Median
81 8% 26%  
82 7% 18%  
83 6% 12%  
84 3% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 1.3% 99.7%  
72 1.3% 98%  
73 0.8% 97%  
74 11% 96%  
75 22% 85%  
76 17% 64% Median
77 3% 46%  
78 22% 43%  
79 4% 21%  
80 0.9% 17%  
81 10% 16%  
82 4% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.7% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 1.3% 99.6%  
72 1.3% 98%  
73 0.8% 97%  
74 11% 96%  
75 22% 85%  
76 18% 64% Median
77 10% 46%  
78 22% 36%  
79 4% 14%  
80 0.9% 10%  
81 3% 9%  
82 4% 6%  
83 1.5% 2%  
84 0.7% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.6%  
73 7% 99.5%  
74 3% 92%  
75 3% 89%  
76 8% 86% Median
77 8% 79%  
78 40% 70%  
79 10% 30%  
80 8% 20%  
81 11% 13%  
82 0.4% 1.4%  
83 0.8% 1.0%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100% Last Result
69 2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 2% 98%  
72 7% 95%  
73 2% 88%  
74 8% 85%  
75 10% 78%  
76 4% 68% Median
77 19% 63%  
78 15% 44%  
79 17% 29%  
80 8% 11%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.5% 0.8%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 3% 99.5%  
70 3% 97%  
71 25% 94%  
72 10% 69%  
73 5% 58%  
74 22% 54%  
75 6% 32% Median
76 7% 26%  
77 7% 19%  
78 5% 12%  
79 6% 7%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 2% 99.8%  
67 7% 98%  
68 1.2% 91%  
69 6% 90%  
70 23% 83%  
71 29% 60% Median
72 7% 31%  
73 7% 24%  
74 7% 16%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 6%  
77 0.8% 4%  
78 3% 3%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.1% 100%  
57 1.3% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 98.6%  
59 1.0% 98%  
60 5% 97%  
61 31% 92%  
62 7% 61% Median
63 13% 54%  
64 5% 41%  
65 7% 36%  
66 23% 29%  
67 5% 6%  
68 0.2% 0.8%  
69 0.5% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.4%  
47 5% 98%  
48 8% 93%  
49 38% 84% Median
50 24% 46%  
51 8% 22%  
52 6% 15%  
53 3% 9% Last Result
54 2% 6%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 1.4% 99.9%  
39 3% 98.5%  
40 2% 95% Last Result
41 27% 94%  
42 13% 67% Median
43 18% 53%  
44 16% 35%  
45 6% 19%  
46 5% 13%  
47 3% 8%  
48 2% 5%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.6% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.3%  
32 5% 97%  
33 3% 92%  
34 39% 88% Last Result, Median
35 13% 49%  
36 19% 37%  
37 4% 17%  
38 7% 14%  
39 3% 7%  
40 0.4% 3%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations