Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 22 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.6% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.0% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.1–13.1% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 48 | 46–50 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 42–55 |
| Venstre | 34 | 32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 26–39 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 19 | 18–19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 14–23 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–21 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–18 | 10–18 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 11 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 9 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 46 | 6% | 94% | |
| 47 | 9% | 88% | Last Result |
| 48 | 55% | 79% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 24% | |
| 50 | 4% | 14% | |
| 51 | 3% | 10% | |
| 52 | 2% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 30 | 10% | 93% | |
| 31 | 10% | 83% | |
| 32 | 51% | 73% | Median |
| 33 | 3% | 22% | |
| 34 | 2% | 19% | Last Result |
| 35 | 9% | 17% | |
| 36 | 4% | 9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 5% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 93% | |
| 18 | 21% | 91% | |
| 19 | 61% | 70% | Median |
| 20 | 3% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 7% | |
| 22 | 4% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 13% | 98% | Last Result |
| 15 | 5% | 85% | |
| 16 | 5% | 80% | |
| 17 | 58% | 75% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 17% | |
| 19 | 5% | 12% | |
| 20 | 4% | 7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 7% | 98% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 65% | 84% | Median |
| 15 | 13% | 19% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 49% | 95% | Median |
| 12 | 8% | 46% | |
| 13 | 11% | 38% | |
| 14 | 17% | 27% | |
| 15 | 8% | 9% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 61% | 99.2% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 38% | |
| 9 | 16% | 22% | |
| 10 | 3% | 7% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 12% | 93% | |
| 8 | 20% | 81% | |
| 9 | 54% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 15% | 97% | |
| 6 | 12% | 81% | Last Result |
| 7 | 63% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 20% | 97% | |
| 5 | 15% | 77% | |
| 6 | 59% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 19% | 88% | |
| 5 | 63% | 68% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 14% | 17% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 99 | 100% | 98–102 | 96–103 | 95–106 | 93–106 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 90 | 87% | 89–94 | 88–96 | 88–97 | 84–98 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 85 | 7% | 82–89 | 82–91 | 81–91 | 79–91 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 76 | 0% | 75–81 | 74–82 | 73–83 | 71–84 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 73 | 0% | 73–79 | 71–79 | 70–81 | 68–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 76 | 0% | 73–77 | 72–79 | 69–80 | 69–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 70 | 0% | 68–73 | 66–75 | 65–75 | 65–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 70 | 0% | 68–73 | 66–75 | 65–75 | 65–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 70 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–75 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 70 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–75 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 65 | 0% | 64–70 | 62–71 | 60–73 | 60–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 90 | 65 | 0% | 64–68 | 61–69 | 60–71 | 59–73 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 62 | 0% | 60–65 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 55–68 |
| Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 53 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| Venstre | 34 | 32 | 0% | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 26–39 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 96 | 6% | 97% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 98 | 3% | 90% | |
| 99 | 54% | 87% | Median |
| 100 | 11% | 33% | |
| 101 | 8% | 22% | |
| 102 | 5% | 14% | |
| 103 | 5% | 9% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 4% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 98% | |
| 89 | 7% | 94% | |
| 90 | 50% | 87% | Median, Majority |
| 91 | 3% | 37% | |
| 92 | 4% | 34% | |
| 93 | 13% | 30% | |
| 94 | 7% | 17% | |
| 95 | 2% | 10% | |
| 96 | 5% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 8% | 97% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 84 | 2% | 87% | |
| 85 | 57% | 85% | Median |
| 86 | 2% | 28% | |
| 87 | 11% | 26% | |
| 88 | 5% | 15% | |
| 89 | 3% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 91 | 5% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 5% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 50% | 88% | Median |
| 77 | 6% | 38% | |
| 78 | 8% | 32% | |
| 79 | 6% | 24% | |
| 80 | 4% | 17% | |
| 81 | 8% | 14% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 52% | 93% | Median |
| 74 | 5% | 40% | |
| 75 | 10% | 36% | |
| 76 | 9% | 26% | |
| 77 | 2% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 15% | |
| 79 | 9% | 13% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 91% | |
| 74 | 8% | 86% | |
| 75 | 11% | 78% | |
| 76 | 54% | 67% | Median |
| 77 | 3% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 79 | 6% | 9% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 15% | 88% | |
| 70 | 52% | 73% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 22% | |
| 72 | 7% | 19% | |
| 73 | 3% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 5% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 15% | 88% | |
| 70 | 52% | 73% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 22% | |
| 72 | 7% | 19% | |
| 73 | 3% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 5% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 15% | 81% | |
| 70 | 51% | 66% | Median |
| 71 | 6% | 15% | |
| 72 | 5% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 15% | 81% | |
| 70 | 51% | 66% | Median |
| 71 | 6% | 15% | |
| 72 | 5% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 95% | |
| 64 | 6% | 93% | |
| 65 | 58% | 87% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 29% | |
| 67 | 3% | 27% | |
| 68 | 9% | 24% | |
| 69 | 5% | 15% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 62 | 2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 11% | 91% | |
| 65 | 61% | 80% | Median |
| 66 | 4% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 15% | |
| 68 | 7% | 13% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 60 | 7% | 94% | |
| 61 | 3% | 86% | |
| 62 | 60% | 84% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 23% | |
| 64 | 7% | 20% | |
| 65 | 7% | 13% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 4% | 89% | |
| 46 | 57% | 85% | Median |
| 47 | 10% | 28% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 49 | 9% | 18% | |
| 50 | 3% | 9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 95% | |
| 36 | 5% | 92% | |
| 37 | 4% | 87% | |
| 38 | 14% | 83% | |
| 39 | 50% | 68% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 19% | Last Result |
| 41 | 2% | 13% | |
| 42 | 6% | 11% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 30 | 10% | 93% | |
| 31 | 10% | 83% | |
| 32 | 51% | 73% | Median |
| 33 | 3% | 22% | |
| 34 | 2% | 19% | Last Result |
| 35 | 9% | 17% | |
| 36 | 4% | 9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Greens Analyseinstitut
- Commissioner(s): Børsen
- Fieldwork period: 22 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.19%