Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–23 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
27.1% |
25.4–29.0% |
24.9–29.5% |
24.5–30.0% |
23.7–30.9% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.0% |
16.5–19.6% |
16.1–20.1% |
15.7–20.5% |
15.0–21.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.1% |
10.0–12.5% |
9.6–12.9% |
9.3–13.2% |
8.8–13.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
6.9–11.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.2% |
7.1–9.4% |
6.9–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.2–10.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.8% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.2–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.6% |
3.3–5.8% |
3.0–6.3% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
45 |
11% |
98% |
|
46 |
8% |
87% |
|
47 |
2% |
79% |
Last Result |
48 |
37% |
77% |
Median |
49 |
8% |
40% |
|
50 |
15% |
32% |
|
51 |
11% |
17% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
54 |
5% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
9% |
97% |
|
29 |
13% |
88% |
|
30 |
8% |
76% |
|
31 |
41% |
68% |
Median |
32 |
4% |
27% |
|
33 |
13% |
23% |
|
34 |
3% |
10% |
Last Result |
35 |
3% |
6% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
37 |
2% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
4% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
17 |
3% |
95% |
|
18 |
6% |
92% |
|
19 |
5% |
86% |
|
20 |
6% |
81% |
|
21 |
38% |
75% |
Median |
22 |
15% |
36% |
|
23 |
18% |
21% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
25 |
2% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
15 |
11% |
96% |
|
16 |
21% |
85% |
|
17 |
51% |
64% |
Median |
18 |
6% |
14% |
|
19 |
5% |
7% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
4% |
92% |
|
13 |
14% |
87% |
|
14 |
12% |
73% |
|
15 |
38% |
61% |
Median |
16 |
7% |
23% |
|
17 |
15% |
16% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
22% |
95% |
|
14 |
25% |
73% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
48% |
|
16 |
2% |
42% |
|
17 |
38% |
40% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
18% |
93% |
|
8 |
16% |
75% |
|
9 |
56% |
59% |
Median |
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
14% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
18% |
43% |
|
8 |
19% |
26% |
|
9 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
4% |
98% |
|
5 |
42% |
94% |
|
6 |
19% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
15% |
33% |
|
8 |
16% |
18% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
93% |
|
2 |
0% |
93% |
|
3 |
0% |
93% |
|
4 |
35% |
93% |
|
5 |
19% |
58% |
Median |
6 |
39% |
40% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
58% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
42% |
|
2 |
0% |
42% |
|
3 |
0% |
42% |
|
4 |
34% |
42% |
|
5 |
6% |
8% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
75% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
25% |
|
2 |
0% |
25% |
|
3 |
0% |
25% |
|
4 |
13% |
25% |
|
5 |
11% |
11% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
4 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
103 |
100% |
95–105 |
95–106 |
95–107 |
93–108 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
97 |
84% |
88–98 |
88–98 |
88–100 |
86–101 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
88 |
10% |
82–89 |
82–92 |
81–92 |
78–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
82 |
0% |
75–82 |
75–84 |
74–84 |
72–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
80 |
0% |
72–80 |
72–81 |
72–82 |
69–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
72 |
0% |
70–80 |
69–80 |
68–80 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
66 |
0% |
66–76 |
64–76 |
63–77 |
62–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
66–76 |
64–76 |
63–77 |
62–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
66 |
0% |
65–74 |
64–74 |
62–75 |
60–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
66 |
0% |
65–74 |
64–74 |
62–74 |
60–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
63–72 |
62–72 |
60–73 |
60–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
90 |
66 |
0% |
62–70 |
60–70 |
60–71 |
60–74 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
63 |
0% |
58–67 |
58–68 |
58–68 |
55–70 |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
53 |
45 |
0% |
43–48 |
41–49 |
40–51 |
40–53 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
36 |
0% |
35–40 |
34–41 |
33–43 |
33–46 |
Venstre |
34 |
31 |
0% |
28–33 |
28–35 |
27–37 |
27–39 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
95 |
12% |
98% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
97 |
10% |
85% |
|
98 |
3% |
75% |
|
99 |
1.2% |
72% |
|
100 |
7% |
71% |
Median |
101 |
2% |
64% |
|
102 |
3% |
62% |
|
103 |
37% |
59% |
|
104 |
0.8% |
22% |
|
105 |
12% |
21% |
|
106 |
6% |
9% |
|
107 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
108 |
2% |
2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
12% |
98% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
85% |
|
90 |
2% |
84% |
Majority |
91 |
4% |
82% |
|
92 |
10% |
78% |
|
93 |
1.5% |
68% |
|
94 |
4% |
67% |
Median |
95 |
4% |
63% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
59% |
|
97 |
45% |
58% |
|
98 |
10% |
13% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
81 |
3% |
98% |
|
82 |
11% |
95% |
|
83 |
4% |
84% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
85 |
4% |
79% |
Median |
86 |
11% |
75% |
|
87 |
4% |
64% |
|
88 |
46% |
60% |
|
89 |
4% |
14% |
|
90 |
3% |
10% |
Majority |
91 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
92 |
6% |
7% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
3% |
98% |
|
75 |
12% |
95% |
|
76 |
2% |
83% |
|
77 |
5% |
81% |
|
78 |
4% |
76% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
72% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
71% |
|
81 |
11% |
62% |
|
82 |
42% |
50% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
84 |
6% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
72 |
11% |
98% |
|
73 |
6% |
87% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
81% |
|
75 |
2% |
80% |
|
76 |
10% |
78% |
|
77 |
2% |
68% |
Median |
78 |
3% |
66% |
|
79 |
7% |
64% |
|
80 |
47% |
57% |
|
81 |
5% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
69 |
6% |
97% |
|
70 |
12% |
91% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
79% |
|
72 |
37% |
78% |
Median |
73 |
3% |
41% |
|
74 |
2% |
38% |
|
75 |
7% |
36% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
77 |
3% |
28% |
|
78 |
10% |
25% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
15% |
|
80 |
12% |
14% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
64 |
5% |
97% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
66 |
46% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
44% |
Median |
68 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
69 |
4% |
43% |
|
70 |
6% |
39% |
|
71 |
2% |
33% |
|
72 |
3% |
31% |
|
73 |
2% |
29% |
|
74 |
9% |
27% |
|
75 |
5% |
18% |
|
76 |
10% |
12% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
64 |
5% |
97% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
66 |
46% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
44% |
Median |
68 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
69 |
4% |
42% |
|
70 |
6% |
39% |
|
71 |
2% |
33% |
|
72 |
3% |
31% |
|
73 |
2% |
28% |
|
74 |
9% |
26% |
|
75 |
5% |
17% |
|
76 |
9% |
12% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
64 |
6% |
96% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
66 |
52% |
89% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
37% |
Median |
68 |
1.1% |
36% |
|
69 |
3% |
35% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
32% |
|
71 |
14% |
31% |
|
72 |
2% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
16% |
|
74 |
9% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
64 |
6% |
96% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
66 |
52% |
89% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
37% |
Median |
68 |
1.1% |
36% |
|
69 |
4% |
35% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
32% |
|
71 |
14% |
31% |
|
72 |
2% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
15% |
|
74 |
9% |
11% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0% |
95% |
|
62 |
5% |
95% |
|
63 |
3% |
91% |
|
64 |
2% |
88% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
66 |
46% |
85% |
|
67 |
2% |
39% |
Median |
68 |
3% |
37% |
|
69 |
2% |
34% |
|
70 |
15% |
32% |
|
71 |
3% |
17% |
|
72 |
11% |
15% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
62 |
7% |
94% |
|
63 |
3% |
87% |
|
64 |
2% |
84% |
|
65 |
1.5% |
83% |
|
66 |
50% |
81% |
|
67 |
12% |
31% |
Median |
68 |
4% |
20% |
|
69 |
2% |
15% |
|
70 |
9% |
13% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
11% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
87% |
|
60 |
5% |
85% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
80% |
|
62 |
13% |
80% |
|
63 |
38% |
67% |
Median |
64 |
3% |
28% |
|
65 |
3% |
26% |
|
66 |
6% |
22% |
|
67 |
11% |
16% |
|
68 |
5% |
5% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
42 |
3% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
91% |
|
44 |
19% |
89% |
|
45 |
40% |
70% |
|
46 |
6% |
30% |
Median |
47 |
13% |
24% |
|
48 |
5% |
11% |
|
49 |
2% |
6% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
4% |
97% |
|
35 |
13% |
93% |
|
36 |
40% |
80% |
|
37 |
13% |
41% |
Median |
38 |
5% |
28% |
|
39 |
11% |
22% |
|
40 |
3% |
12% |
Last Result |
41 |
5% |
8% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
9% |
97% |
|
29 |
13% |
88% |
|
30 |
8% |
76% |
|
31 |
41% |
68% |
Median |
32 |
4% |
27% |
|
33 |
13% |
23% |
|
34 |
3% |
10% |
Last Result |
35 |
3% |
6% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
37 |
2% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.74%