Opinion Poll by YouGov, 21–23 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.8% | 25.0–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.7% | 23.3–30.6% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 17.4% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.5–19.5% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.5–20.7% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.5% | 8.9–14.2% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 47 | 45–51 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 42–54 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 29–33 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 26–37 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 17 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–21 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 9 | 9–13 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 9 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–9 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 45 | 6% | 96% | |
| 46 | 14% | 90% | |
| 47 | 42% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 15% | 34% | |
| 49 | 6% | 20% | |
| 50 | 3% | 14% | |
| 51 | 10% | 11% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 9% | 92% | |
| 30 | 49% | 83% | Median |
| 31 | 17% | 34% | |
| 32 | 6% | 17% | |
| 33 | 2% | 11% | |
| 34 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 5% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 3% | 95% | |
| 19 | 21% | 92% | |
| 20 | 13% | 71% | |
| 21 | 42% | 58% | Median |
| 22 | 4% | 16% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 24 | 11% | 11% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 6% | 93% | Last Result |
| 15 | 5% | 88% | |
| 16 | 10% | 82% | |
| 17 | 58% | 72% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 14% | |
| 19 | 3% | 7% | |
| 20 | 4% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 8% | 98% | |
| 15 | 11% | 90% | |
| 16 | 20% | 79% | |
| 17 | 3% | 58% | |
| 18 | 48% | 55% | Median |
| 19 | 5% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 53% | 99.1% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 46% | |
| 11 | 21% | 43% | |
| 12 | 10% | 21% | |
| 13 | 3% | 11% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 7 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 34% | 95% | |
| 9 | 46% | 61% | Median |
| 10 | 8% | 15% | |
| 11 | 6% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 23% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 9 | 64% | 70% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 58% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 10% | 40% | |
| 7 | 7% | 30% | |
| 8 | 5% | 23% | |
| 9 | 17% | 17% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 27% | 98% | |
| 5 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 6 | 4% | 6% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 22% | 89% | |
| 5 | 52% | 67% | Median |
| 6 | 15% | 15% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet | 85 | 96 | 99.2% | 94–97 | 93–98 | 92–100 | 88–106 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 91 | 89% | 89–97 | 88–97 | 87–97 | 85–101 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 86 | 2% | 82–87 | 81–87 | 80–89 | 75–95 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 2% | 77–82 | 76–85 | 75–86 | 74–90 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 79 | 0% | 78–81 | 77–82 | 75–83 | 69–87 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 74 | 0% | 72–79 | 71–80 | 71–80 | 69–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 72–74 | 71–77 | 69–78 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 72–74 | 71–75 | 69–78 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 72–74 | 70–77 | 68–78 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 73 | 0% | 72–74 | 70–74 | 68–77 | 64–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 65 | 0% | 63–67 | 62–68 | 60–70 | 57–73 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 65 | 0% | 63–66 | 62–67 | 60–69 | 57–73 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 57 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–64 | 56–64 | 53–65 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 44 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 37–51 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 33–47 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 26–37 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 21% | 94% | |
| 95 | 11% | 73% | |
| 96 | 39% | 63% | Median |
| 97 | 19% | 24% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 2% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 88 | 6% | 96% | |
| 89 | 2% | 90% | |
| 90 | 25% | 89% | Majority |
| 91 | 43% | 64% | Median |
| 92 | 2% | 21% | |
| 93 | 7% | 19% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 97 | 8% | 10% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 101 | 2% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 82 | 7% | 94% | |
| 83 | 12% | 87% | |
| 84 | 3% | 75% | |
| 85 | 16% | 72% | |
| 86 | 13% | 56% | |
| 87 | 39% | 43% | Median |
| 88 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 2% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 96% | |
| 77 | 5% | 94% | |
| 78 | 8% | 89% | |
| 79 | 4% | 81% | |
| 80 | 5% | 77% | |
| 81 | 16% | 72% | |
| 82 | 50% | 57% | Median |
| 83 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 19% | 94% | |
| 79 | 39% | 76% | Median |
| 80 | 11% | 37% | |
| 81 | 21% | 27% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 5% | 98% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | |
| 73 | 16% | 89% | |
| 74 | 42% | 74% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 32% | |
| 76 | 6% | 23% | |
| 77 | 3% | 17% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 79 | 6% | 14% | |
| 80 | 6% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 21% | 93% | |
| 73 | 23% | 72% | |
| 74 | 40% | 49% | Median |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 96% | |
| 72 | 21% | 93% | |
| 73 | 24% | 71% | |
| 74 | 40% | 47% | Median |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 22% | 90% | |
| 73 | 22% | 69% | |
| 74 | 40% | 46% | Median |
| 75 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 22% | 90% | |
| 73 | 24% | 69% | |
| 74 | 40% | 44% | Median |
| 75 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 21% | 93% | |
| 64 | 5% | 72% | |
| 65 | 46% | 67% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 21% | |
| 67 | 5% | 12% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 21% | 93% | |
| 64 | 6% | 72% | |
| 65 | 46% | 65% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 19% | |
| 67 | 5% | 10% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 39% | 98% | Median |
| 57 | 30% | 59% | |
| 58 | 7% | 29% | |
| 59 | 2% | 22% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 61 | 3% | 19% | |
| 62 | 9% | 16% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 64 | 6% | 7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 7% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 92% | |
| 42 | 6% | 89% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 84% | |
| 44 | 57% | 83% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 26% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 47 | 8% | 13% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 7% | 98.5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 89% | |
| 39 | 53% | 83% | Median |
| 40 | 15% | 31% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 15% | |
| 42 | 4% | 11% | |
| 43 | 6% | 8% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 9% | 92% | |
| 30 | 49% | 83% | Median |
| 31 | 17% | 34% | |
| 32 | 6% | 17% | |
| 33 | 2% | 11% | |
| 34 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 5% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 981
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.19%