Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23–25 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 25.9% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.7–28.2% | 23.3–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.6–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.2–13.5% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.3–14.6% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.0–6.3% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 50 | 49–50 | 47–50 | 46–51 | 42–52 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 30 | 30–33 | 29–34 | 28–36 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 22 | 22 | 20–22 | 20–24 | 18–26 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 14–20 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 15 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–19 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 14 | 14 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–10 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 50 | 86% | 89% | Median |
| 51 | 3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 30 | 89% | 97% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 8% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 20 | 4% | 98% | |
| 21 | 5% | 95% | |
| 22 | 87% | 90% | Median |
| 23 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 16 | 89% | 98% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 86% | 94% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 8% | |
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 15 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 7% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 89% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 5% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 97% | |
| 7 | 7% | 95% | |
| 8 | 86% | 88% | Median |
| 9 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 87% | 99.2% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 12% | |
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 91% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 90% | 91% | Median |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 100 | 100% | 100 | 99–104 | 98–105 | 93–108 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 95 | 99.0% | 95 | 93–98 | 91–100 | 87–101 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 85 | 4% | 85 | 83–89 | 82–91 | 78–92 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 80 | 0% | 80 | 77–82 | 76–85 | 72–86 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 79 | 0% | 79 | 77–81 | 76–82 | 70–84 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 75 | 0% | 75 | 71–76 | 70–77 | 67–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 71 | 0% | 71 | 68–72 | 66–74 | 65–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 71 | 0% | 71 | 68–72 | 66–74 | 65–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 71 | 0% | 70–71 | 68–71 | 66–73 | 65–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 71 | 0% | 70–71 | 68–71 | 66–73 | 65–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 67 | 0% | 67 | 67–69 | 65–71 | 62–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 67 | 0% | 67 | 65–69 | 64–71 | 62–78 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 65 | 0% | 64–65 | 63–65 | 60–65 | 57–69 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 44–47 | 44–50 | 40–53 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 37 | 0% | 37–38 | 37–39 | 37–42 | 34–46 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 0% | 30 | 30–33 | 29–34 | 28–36 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 99 | 4% | 97% | |
| 100 | 85% | 94% | Median |
| 101 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 103 | 2% | 8% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 105 | 3% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 95 | 85% | 93% | Median |
| 96 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 82 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 85 | 85% | 94% | Median |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 4% | Majority |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 80 | 85% | 92% | Median |
| 81 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 77 | 5% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 92% | |
| 79 | 84% | 91% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 75 | 85% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 6% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 71 | 86% | 93% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 71 | 86% | 93% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 71 | 86% | 90% | Median |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 71 | 86% | 90% | Median |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 67 | 86% | 96% | Median |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 86% | 93% | Median |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 64 | 5% | 94% | |
| 65 | 87% | 89% | Median |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 44 | 5% | 98% | |
| 45 | 85% | 92% | Median |
| 46 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 88% | 98% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 10% | |
| 39 | 4% | 9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 41 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 30 | 89% | 97% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 8% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%