Opinion Poll by YouGov, 21–25 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
27.5% |
25.8–29.4% |
25.3–30.0% |
24.8–30.4% |
24.0–31.3% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
16.9% |
15.4–18.5% |
15.0–18.9% |
14.6–19.3% |
14.0–20.1% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.8% |
10.6–13.2% |
10.2–13.6% |
9.9–14.0% |
9.4–14.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
8.2% |
7.1–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.1–10.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.6% |
5.6–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.0–7.6% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.4% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–5.9% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.5% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.0–4.2% |
1.8–4.6% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.3–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
0.3–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
45 |
7% |
97% |
|
46 |
8% |
90% |
|
47 |
11% |
82% |
Last Result |
48 |
5% |
70% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
66% |
|
50 |
13% |
65% |
|
51 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
52 |
31% |
50% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
18% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
17% |
|
56 |
0% |
17% |
|
57 |
17% |
17% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
9% |
97% |
|
27 |
18% |
88% |
|
28 |
9% |
69% |
|
29 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
30 |
27% |
50% |
|
31 |
2% |
23% |
|
32 |
11% |
21% |
|
33 |
4% |
10% |
|
34 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
18 |
10% |
97% |
|
19 |
14% |
87% |
|
20 |
21% |
73% |
|
21 |
28% |
51% |
Median |
22 |
4% |
24% |
|
23 |
4% |
20% |
|
24 |
8% |
16% |
|
25 |
1.5% |
7% |
|
26 |
6% |
6% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
46% |
98% |
|
13 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
14 |
8% |
49% |
|
15 |
21% |
42% |
|
16 |
10% |
21% |
|
17 |
8% |
11% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
13 |
29% |
96% |
|
14 |
14% |
67% |
Last Result |
15 |
39% |
53% |
Median |
16 |
10% |
13% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
2% |
98% |
|
11 |
15% |
96% |
|
12 |
44% |
81% |
Median |
13 |
34% |
37% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
11% |
97% |
|
10 |
17% |
86% |
|
11 |
4% |
69% |
|
12 |
47% |
65% |
Median |
13 |
14% |
18% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
6 |
36% |
97% |
|
7 |
19% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
16% |
43% |
|
9 |
20% |
26% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
11 |
5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
94% |
|
6 |
32% |
90% |
|
7 |
44% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
10% |
14% |
|
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
14% |
98% |
|
5 |
64% |
84% |
Median |
6 |
11% |
20% |
|
7 |
8% |
9% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
28% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
72% |
|
2 |
0% |
72% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
72% |
|
4 |
41% |
72% |
Median |
5 |
25% |
31% |
|
6 |
4% |
6% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
8% |
|
4 |
8% |
8% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
95 |
96% |
92–96 |
91–97 |
89–99 |
85–101 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
91 |
64% |
87–95 |
87–95 |
85–96 |
80–97 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
77 |
82 |
0.7% |
80–84 |
78–85 |
77–86 |
73–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
80 |
0.6% |
79–83 |
78–84 |
76–86 |
74–90 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
68 |
79 |
0% |
76–82 |
74–82 |
72–83 |
69–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
76 |
0% |
72–82 |
72–82 |
71–82 |
66–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
74 |
0% |
73–76 |
72–78 |
70–79 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
74 |
0% |
73–76 |
72–78 |
70–79 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
74 |
0% |
72–76 |
72–78 |
69–79 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
74 |
0% |
72–76 |
72–78 |
69–79 |
67–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
68 |
0% |
64–70 |
62–70 |
62–72 |
60–75 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
67 |
0% |
64–70 |
62–70 |
62–72 |
59–75 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
63 |
0% |
57–70 |
57–70 |
56–70 |
53–70 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
46 |
0% |
42–49 |
42–51 |
42–52 |
39–53 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
41 |
0% |
37–44 |
36–45 |
36–46 |
34–48 |
Venstre |
34 |
29 |
0% |
26–33 |
26–34 |
25–34 |
25–36 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
96% |
Majority |
91 |
4% |
96% |
|
92 |
17% |
92% |
|
93 |
7% |
75% |
|
94 |
13% |
68% |
|
95 |
43% |
56% |
Median |
96 |
4% |
13% |
|
97 |
6% |
9% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
86 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
87 |
13% |
96% |
|
88 |
8% |
84% |
|
89 |
12% |
76% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
64% |
Majority |
91 |
30% |
62% |
Median |
92 |
2% |
33% |
|
93 |
9% |
31% |
|
94 |
2% |
22% |
|
95 |
17% |
20% |
|
96 |
2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
3% |
98% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
95% |
|
79 |
2% |
92% |
|
80 |
13% |
90% |
|
81 |
10% |
77% |
|
82 |
22% |
67% |
|
83 |
32% |
45% |
Median |
84 |
7% |
13% |
|
85 |
3% |
6% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
76 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
78 |
6% |
97% |
|
79 |
4% |
91% |
|
80 |
43% |
87% |
|
81 |
13% |
44% |
Median |
82 |
7% |
32% |
|
83 |
17% |
25% |
|
84 |
4% |
8% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
74 |
5% |
97% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
76 |
15% |
92% |
|
77 |
10% |
77% |
|
78 |
6% |
67% |
|
79 |
28% |
61% |
Median |
80 |
11% |
33% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
82 |
17% |
21% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98.5% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
7% |
96% |
|
73 |
2% |
90% |
|
74 |
12% |
88% |
|
75 |
12% |
76% |
|
76 |
31% |
64% |
Median |
77 |
0.7% |
33% |
|
78 |
11% |
32% |
|
79 |
2% |
21% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
19% |
|
82 |
17% |
18% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
72 |
4% |
96% |
|
73 |
23% |
92% |
|
74 |
36% |
69% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
34% |
|
76 |
17% |
24% |
|
77 |
2% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
72 |
4% |
96% |
|
73 |
23% |
92% |
|
74 |
36% |
69% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
34% |
|
76 |
17% |
24% |
|
77 |
2% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
72 |
11% |
96% |
|
73 |
23% |
85% |
|
74 |
36% |
61% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
26% |
|
76 |
9% |
16% |
|
77 |
2% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
72 |
12% |
96% |
|
73 |
23% |
85% |
|
74 |
36% |
61% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
26% |
|
76 |
9% |
16% |
|
77 |
2% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
63 |
2% |
93% |
|
64 |
17% |
91% |
|
65 |
5% |
74% |
|
66 |
2% |
69% |
|
67 |
10% |
67% |
Median |
68 |
41% |
57% |
|
69 |
5% |
17% |
|
70 |
7% |
12% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
6% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
2% |
92% |
|
64 |
24% |
91% |
|
65 |
5% |
67% |
|
66 |
2% |
61% |
|
67 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
68 |
33% |
50% |
|
69 |
5% |
17% |
|
70 |
8% |
12% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
56 |
2% |
98% |
|
57 |
7% |
96% |
|
58 |
14% |
89% |
|
59 |
3% |
75% |
|
60 |
5% |
72% |
|
61 |
3% |
67% |
|
62 |
4% |
64% |
|
63 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
64 |
28% |
48% |
|
65 |
2% |
19% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
18% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
17% |
|
69 |
0% |
17% |
|
70 |
17% |
17% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
42 |
9% |
98% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
89% |
|
44 |
22% |
87% |
|
45 |
14% |
66% |
|
46 |
9% |
52% |
Median |
47 |
27% |
43% |
|
48 |
5% |
16% |
|
49 |
5% |
12% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
51 |
2% |
6% |
|
52 |
3% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
38 |
6% |
89% |
|
39 |
22% |
83% |
|
40 |
3% |
61% |
Last Result |
41 |
14% |
59% |
Median |
42 |
29% |
44% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
16% |
|
44 |
8% |
15% |
|
45 |
3% |
7% |
|
46 |
2% |
4% |
|
47 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
9% |
97% |
|
27 |
18% |
88% |
|
28 |
9% |
69% |
|
29 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
30 |
27% |
50% |
|
31 |
2% |
23% |
|
32 |
11% |
21% |
|
33 |
4% |
10% |
|
34 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–25 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 991
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.41%