Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 24–26 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.4% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.7–29.2% | 22.9–30.1% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.9–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.4% | 8.9–14.0% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 44–51 | 42–53 |
| Venstre | 34 | 33 | 32–34 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 28–38 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 21 | 17–21 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 12–20 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 6 | 6–10 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 12% | 95% | |
| 47 | 6% | 84% | Last Result |
| 48 | 9% | 77% | |
| 49 | 2% | 69% | |
| 50 | 4% | 67% | |
| 51 | 62% | 63% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 11% | 94% | |
| 33 | 69% | 83% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 14% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 10% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 7% | 7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 88% | |
| 19 | 3% | 86% | |
| 20 | 3% | 83% | |
| 21 | 74% | 80% | Median |
| 22 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 24 | 4% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 14 | 4% | 93% | |
| 15 | 13% | 89% | |
| 16 | 4% | 76% | |
| 17 | 63% | 72% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 9% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 11% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 15 | 64% | 89% | Median |
| 16 | 7% | 25% | |
| 17 | 5% | 18% | |
| 18 | 12% | 13% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 10% | 96% | |
| 15 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 21% | |
| 17 | 7% | 11% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 61% | 99.9% | Last Result, Median |
| 7 | 5% | 39% | |
| 8 | 14% | 33% | |
| 9 | 5% | 19% | |
| 10 | 4% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 12 | 8% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 5 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 75% | 93% | Median |
| 7 | 12% | 18% | |
| 8 | 4% | 6% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 84% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 13% | |
| 8 | 3% | 5% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 21% | 95% | |
| 5 | 72% | 74% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 12% | |
| 4 | 6% | 12% | |
| 5 | 6% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 104 | 100% | 99–104 | 98–104 | 97–104 | 95–108 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 98 | 99.2% | 93–98 | 91–98 | 90–98 | 89–101 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 87 | 1.1% | 84–87 | 83–89 | 81–89 | 79–92 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 0% | 78–81 | 77–83 | 74–83 | 73–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 83 | 0% | 75–83 | 75–83 | 74–83 | 73–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 71 | 0% | 71–76 | 71–77 | 71–78 | 67–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 66–74 | 63–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 66–74 | 63–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 66–74 | 63–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 66–74 | 63–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 64–72 | 63–72 | 62–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66–72 | 64–72 | 63–72 | 62–76 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 68 | 0% | 61–68 | 60–68 | 59–68 | 56–70 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 45 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–52 | 43–53 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 39 | 0% | 39–44 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 37–46 |
| Venstre | 34 | 33 | 0% | 32–34 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 28–38 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 98 | 6% | 97% | |
| 99 | 9% | 91% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 102 | 10% | 80% | |
| 103 | 3% | 70% | |
| 104 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 91 | 5% | 97% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 9% | 90% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 95 | 2% | 81% | |
| 96 | 12% | 79% | |
| 97 | 3% | 67% | |
| 98 | 61% | 64% | Median |
| 99 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 84 | 17% | 95% | |
| 85 | 2% | 78% | |
| 86 | 3% | 75% | |
| 87 | 63% | 72% | Median |
| 88 | 2% | 9% | |
| 89 | 7% | 8% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 77 | 4% | 96% | |
| 78 | 18% | 92% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 80 | 3% | 74% | |
| 81 | 64% | 70% | Median |
| 82 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 8% | 95% | |
| 76 | 2% | 87% | |
| 77 | 3% | 85% | |
| 78 | 4% | 82% | |
| 79 | 3% | 78% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 75% | |
| 81 | 2% | 74% | |
| 82 | 9% | 71% | |
| 83 | 61% | 62% | Median |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 66% | 98.7% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 33% | |
| 73 | 10% | 30% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 76 | 9% | 18% | |
| 77 | 6% | 9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 62% | 98.5% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 37% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 10% | 33% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 71 | 3% | 22% | |
| 72 | 14% | 19% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 36% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 11% | 33% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 71 | 3% | 21% | |
| 72 | 14% | 18% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 37% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 10% | 33% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 71 | 3% | 22% | |
| 72 | 14% | 19% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 36% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 11% | 32% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 71 | 3% | 21% | |
| 72 | 14% | 18% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 66 | 62% | 93% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 31% | |
| 68 | 3% | 28% | |
| 69 | 9% | 25% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 71 | 2% | 16% | |
| 72 | 12% | 14% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 93% | |
| 66 | 62% | 92% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 30% | |
| 68 | 3% | 27% | |
| 69 | 8% | 24% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 71 | 2% | 16% | |
| 72 | 12% | 13% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 9% | 92% | |
| 62 | 3% | 83% | |
| 63 | 6% | 80% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 74% | |
| 65 | 2% | 73% | |
| 66 | 8% | 71% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 63% | |
| 68 | 62% | 63% | Median |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 62% | 97% | Median |
| 46 | 4% | 36% | |
| 47 | 4% | 31% | |
| 48 | 6% | 28% | |
| 49 | 2% | 21% | |
| 50 | 3% | 20% | |
| 51 | 8% | 16% | |
| 52 | 8% | 8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 35% | Last Result |
| 41 | 3% | 29% | |
| 42 | 6% | 26% | |
| 43 | 2% | 20% | |
| 44 | 9% | 17% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 46 | 8% | 8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 11% | 94% | |
| 33 | 69% | 83% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 14% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 10% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 7% | 7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 24–26 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.00%