Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25–27 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
26.6% |
24.9–28.5% |
24.4–29.0% |
24.0–29.4% |
23.2–30.3% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.2% |
16.7–19.8% |
16.3–20.3% |
15.9–20.7% |
15.2–21.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
10.7% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.2–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.7–11.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.1–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
1.9–4.8% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.8–2.9% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
2% |
97% |
|
44 |
4% |
96% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
46 |
3% |
90% |
|
47 |
7% |
87% |
Last Result |
48 |
4% |
81% |
|
49 |
26% |
77% |
|
50 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
51 |
0.2% |
37% |
|
52 |
31% |
37% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
54 |
6% |
6% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
35% |
99.3% |
|
31 |
9% |
65% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
56% |
|
33 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
37% |
44% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
36 |
2% |
6% |
|
37 |
3% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
4% |
95% |
|
18 |
4% |
91% |
|
19 |
16% |
86% |
|
20 |
35% |
70% |
Median |
21 |
28% |
35% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
23 |
4% |
6% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
13% |
98.7% |
|
15 |
2% |
86% |
|
16 |
38% |
83% |
Median |
17 |
17% |
46% |
|
18 |
26% |
28% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
54% |
98.8% |
Median |
15 |
10% |
45% |
|
16 |
6% |
35% |
|
17 |
18% |
29% |
|
18 |
5% |
11% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
2% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
98% |
|
13 |
4% |
96% |
|
14 |
14% |
93% |
Last Result |
15 |
37% |
78% |
Median |
16 |
3% |
41% |
|
17 |
2% |
38% |
|
18 |
35% |
36% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
38% |
98% |
|
9 |
26% |
61% |
Median |
10 |
23% |
35% |
|
11 |
11% |
12% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
58% |
98% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
40% |
|
8 |
24% |
32% |
|
9 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
25% |
99.0% |
|
6 |
31% |
74% |
Median |
7 |
36% |
43% |
|
8 |
7% |
7% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
63% |
|
2 |
0% |
63% |
|
3 |
0% |
63% |
|
4 |
32% |
63% |
Median |
5 |
12% |
31% |
|
6 |
5% |
19% |
|
7 |
13% |
13% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
9% |
|
4 |
8% |
9% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
2% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
85 |
105 |
100% |
99–106 |
97–106 |
96–109 |
96–109 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
76 |
99 |
99.2% |
90–100 |
90–100 |
90–103 |
88–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
77 |
90 |
59% |
84–92 |
80–92 |
78–92 |
78–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
82 |
0.1% |
76–84 |
76–85 |
76–86 |
73–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
68 |
82 |
0% |
75–86 |
74–86 |
72–86 |
72–86 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
70 |
0% |
69–76 |
69–78 |
66–79 |
66–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
69 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
63–74 |
63–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
69 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
63–74 |
63–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
69 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
63–73 |
63–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
69 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
62–73 |
62–74 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
68 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
62–73 |
62–74 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
67 |
0% |
63–71 |
63–73 |
62–73 |
62–74 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
66 |
0% |
62–67 |
60–69 |
59–70 |
57–71 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
49 |
0% |
44–50 |
44–50 |
44–53 |
43–54 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
42 |
0% |
39–44 |
39–45 |
39–46 |
37–48 |
Venstre |
34 |
33 |
0% |
30–34 |
30–36 |
30–37 |
29–37 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
97 |
2% |
96% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
99 |
10% |
93% |
|
100 |
3% |
84% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
80% |
Median |
102 |
0.7% |
79% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
78% |
|
104 |
22% |
78% |
|
105 |
18% |
56% |
|
106 |
34% |
38% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
109 |
4% |
4% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
11% |
99.2% |
Majority |
91 |
2% |
88% |
|
92 |
3% |
86% |
|
93 |
4% |
84% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
79% |
Median |
96 |
22% |
78% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
56% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
99 |
19% |
55% |
|
100 |
32% |
36% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
103 |
4% |
4% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
80 |
2% |
97% |
|
81 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
83 |
2% |
92% |
|
84 |
9% |
90% |
|
85 |
4% |
82% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
77% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
77% |
Median |
88 |
13% |
77% |
|
89 |
5% |
64% |
|
90 |
27% |
59% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
32% |
|
92 |
31% |
31% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
76 |
11% |
98% |
|
77 |
4% |
88% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
83% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
83% |
|
80 |
3% |
82% |
Median |
81 |
23% |
78% |
|
82 |
31% |
55% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
84 |
13% |
23% |
|
85 |
6% |
10% |
|
86 |
3% |
4% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
74 |
2% |
96% |
|
75 |
8% |
93% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
85% |
|
77 |
3% |
84% |
|
78 |
4% |
81% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
77% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
77% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
77% |
Median |
82 |
36% |
76% |
|
83 |
4% |
41% |
|
84 |
6% |
37% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
31% |
|
86 |
31% |
31% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
69 |
34% |
96% |
|
70 |
18% |
62% |
|
71 |
22% |
44% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
22% |
Median |
73 |
0.7% |
22% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
75 |
3% |
20% |
|
76 |
10% |
16% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
87% |
|
65 |
2% |
86% |
|
66 |
9% |
84% |
|
67 |
22% |
75% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
53% |
Median |
69 |
32% |
53% |
|
70 |
4% |
21% |
|
71 |
9% |
17% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
73 |
4% |
7% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
87% |
|
65 |
2% |
86% |
|
66 |
9% |
84% |
|
67 |
22% |
75% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
53% |
Median |
69 |
32% |
53% |
|
70 |
4% |
20% |
|
71 |
9% |
17% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
73 |
4% |
7% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
13% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
86% |
|
65 |
2% |
85% |
|
66 |
9% |
83% |
|
67 |
22% |
75% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
53% |
Median |
69 |
33% |
52% |
|
70 |
4% |
20% |
|
71 |
9% |
16% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
73 |
4% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
2% |
|
77 |
0% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
13% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
84% |
|
65 |
2% |
82% |
|
66 |
7% |
80% |
|
67 |
23% |
73% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
50% |
Median |
69 |
32% |
50% |
|
70 |
3% |
18% |
|
71 |
8% |
15% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
73 |
4% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
13% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
84% |
|
65 |
2% |
82% |
|
66 |
7% |
80% |
|
67 |
23% |
73% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
50% |
Median |
69 |
32% |
50% |
|
70 |
3% |
18% |
|
71 |
8% |
15% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
73 |
4% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
13% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
83% |
|
65 |
2% |
81% |
|
66 |
7% |
80% |
|
67 |
23% |
72% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
50% |
Median |
69 |
32% |
49% |
|
70 |
3% |
17% |
|
71 |
8% |
14% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
73 |
4% |
5% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
60 |
4% |
97% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
62 |
10% |
93% |
|
63 |
22% |
83% |
|
64 |
3% |
61% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
58% |
|
66 |
33% |
56% |
|
67 |
17% |
23% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
70 |
3% |
5% |
|
71 |
2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
13% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
2% |
86% |
|
46 |
26% |
84% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
58% |
|
48 |
5% |
56% |
Median |
49 |
36% |
51% |
|
50 |
11% |
16% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
54 |
2% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
15% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
24% |
85% |
Last Result |
41 |
4% |
61% |
|
42 |
44% |
57% |
Median |
43 |
3% |
13% |
|
44 |
2% |
10% |
|
45 |
5% |
8% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
48 |
2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
35% |
99.3% |
|
31 |
9% |
65% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
56% |
|
33 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
37% |
44% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
36 |
2% |
6% |
|
37 |
3% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 25–27 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%