Opinion Poll by Gallup, 28 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.5% 24.1–27.0% 23.7–27.5% 23.4–27.8% 22.7–28.6%
Venstre 19.5% 20.3% 19.0–21.7% 18.6–22.1% 18.3–22.4% 17.7–23.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 10.9% 9.9–12.0% 9.6–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.0–13.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 6.8–10.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 6.8–10.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 6.8% 6.1–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.3–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.8% 6.0–7.7% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.2% 5.2–8.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 44–47 43–48 42–48 40–50
Venstre 34 37 36–37 35–38 33–40 33–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 19–20 19–22 18–22 17–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 14–15 12–17 12–19 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 18 15–18 15–18 13–18 12–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 13 12–14 11–14 11–14 9–16
Radikale Venstre 8 12 12–14 11–15 10–15 10–15
Liberal Alliance 13 6 6 5–6 5–7 4–8
Alternativet 9 4 4–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Nye Borgerlige 0 6 5–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.5% 99.4%  
42 2% 98.9%  
43 2% 97%  
44 6% 95%  
45 76% 89% Median
46 2% 13%  
47 4% 11% Last Result
48 5% 7%  
49 0.6% 2%  
50 1.3% 1.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.9%  
33 3% 99.5%  
34 0.7% 97% Last Result
35 4% 96%  
36 9% 92%  
37 74% 83% Median
38 5% 9%  
39 0.4% 4%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.2% 0.5%  
42 0% 0.3%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 2% 98%  
19 7% 96%  
20 80% 89% Median
21 2% 9%  
22 5% 6%  
23 1.5% 2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 5% 100%  
13 3% 94%  
14 78% 91% Last Result, Median
15 5% 13%  
16 2% 8%  
17 3% 6%  
18 0.5% 3%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.9% 100%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 1.4% 97%  
15 17% 96%  
16 3% 79%  
17 4% 76%  
18 71% 72% Median
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 0.4% 99.4%  
11 5% 99.0%  
12 7% 94%  
13 76% 87% Median
14 9% 11%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.6% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 5% 97%  
12 76% 92% Median
13 5% 15%  
14 5% 10%  
15 5% 5%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 2% 99.9%  
5 7% 98%  
6 88% 91% Median
7 0.8% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 74% 100% Median
5 7% 26%  
6 14% 19%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 4% 98.6%  
5 5% 95%  
6 79% 89% Median
7 8% 10%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 1.1% 1.3%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 93 99.5% 93–95 91–96 90–98 90–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 89 5% 87–89 85–89 84–91 84–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0% 80–81 79–84 78–85 77–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 82 0% 80–82 79–84 77–85 75–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 82 0% 80–82 79–84 77–85 75–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 82 0% 80–82 78–84 77–85 73–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0% 80–82 79–84 77–85 75–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 0% 80–82 78–84 77–85 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 77 0% 74–77 73–79 73–79 72–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 74–77 73–78 71–78 69–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 76 0% 74–77 73–78 71–78 69–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 75 0% 71–75 70–77 70–77 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 56–59 55–62 55–62 54–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 56 0% 54–56 54–57 51–58 50–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 50 0% 49–50 48–51 45–52 45–53
Venstre 34 37 0% 36–37 35–38 33–40 33–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.3% 100%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 4% 99.5% Majority
91 1.3% 95%  
92 3% 94%  
93 77% 91% Median
94 3% 14%  
95 4% 11%  
96 3% 7%  
97 0.3% 4%  
98 2% 4%  
99 1.3% 2%  
100 0.2% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0.4% 0.4%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 4% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 4% 93%  
88 3% 89%  
89 81% 85% Median
90 0.4% 5% Majority
91 2% 4%  
92 0.3% 2%  
93 0% 2%  
94 1.5% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.5%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
78 2% 99.2%  
79 7% 97%  
80 2% 91%  
81 80% 89% Median
82 0.8% 8%  
83 2% 7%  
84 3% 5%  
85 0.2% 3%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.5% 0.5%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0% 99.6%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 1.3% 99.3%  
77 2% 98%  
78 0.3% 96%  
79 3% 96%  
80 4% 93%  
81 3% 89%  
82 77% 86% Median
83 3% 9%  
84 1.3% 6%  
85 4% 5%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0% 99.6%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 1.4% 99.2%  
77 2% 98%  
78 0.3% 96%  
79 3% 96%  
80 4% 92%  
81 3% 88%  
82 77% 85% Median
83 2% 8%  
84 1.2% 6%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.5% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 1.4% 99.0%  
77 2% 98%  
78 1.1% 96%  
79 4% 95%  
80 5% 91%  
81 3% 86%  
82 76% 83% Median
83 2% 7%  
84 0.8% 5%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0% 99.6%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 1.4% 99.2%  
77 2% 98%  
78 0.3% 96%  
79 3% 96%  
80 4% 92%  
81 3% 88%  
82 77% 85% Median
83 2% 8%  
84 1.2% 6%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.5% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 1.4% 99.0%  
77 2% 98%  
78 1.1% 96%  
79 4% 95%  
80 5% 91%  
81 3% 86%  
82 76% 83% Median
83 2% 7%  
84 0.8% 5%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 1.5% 99.7%  
73 5% 98%  
74 4% 93%  
75 8% 89%  
76 3% 80%  
77 72% 78% Median
78 0.5% 6%  
79 3% 5%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.4% 0.6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 2% 99.2%  
72 0.3% 97%  
73 2% 97%  
74 7% 95%  
75 1.0% 87%  
76 75% 86% Median
77 5% 12%  
78 5% 6%  
79 0.4% 1.2%  
80 0.5% 0.8%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 2% 99.1%  
72 1.2% 97%  
73 3% 96%  
74 7% 93%  
75 0.9% 86%  
76 74% 85% Median
77 5% 11%  
78 5% 6%  
79 0.3% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 0.8% 99.3%  
70 7% 98.5%  
71 2% 91%  
72 0.9% 89%  
73 1.3% 88%  
74 5% 87%  
75 72% 81% Median
76 2% 9%  
77 5% 6%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.3% 1.4%  
80 1.1% 1.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.4% 100%  
52 0% 99.6%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.8% 99.5%  
55 7% 98.7% Last Result
56 2% 92%  
57 74% 90% Median
58 1.3% 15%  
59 5% 14%  
60 3% 10%  
61 0.8% 7%  
62 4% 6%  
63 1.4% 2%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.3%  
52 0.3% 97%  
53 1.2% 97% Last Result
54 6% 95%  
55 6% 90%  
56 77% 84% Median
57 3% 7%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.1% 0.6%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.8%  
46 0.3% 97%  
47 0.7% 97%  
48 2% 96%  
49 12% 95%  
50 78% 83% Median
51 1.4% 6%  
52 4% 4%  
53 0.1% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.9%  
33 3% 99.5%  
34 0.7% 97% Last Result
35 4% 96%  
36 9% 92%  
37 74% 83% Median
38 5% 9%  
39 0.4% 4%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.2% 0.5%  
42 0% 0.3%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations