Opinion Poll by YouGov, 24–28 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.3% | 24.5–28.2% | 24.0–28.7% | 23.6–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 16.2% | 14.7–17.8% | 14.3–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.3–19.4% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.5–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.4% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.0–9.2% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 48 | 45–50 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–53 |
| Venstre | 34 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 22 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 17–27 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 16 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 13–20 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–22 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 12 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 9–16 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–15 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 44 | 3% | 94% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 46 | 19% | 90% | |
| 47 | 11% | 71% | Last Result |
| 48 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 49 | 22% | 49% | |
| 50 | 22% | 26% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 94% | |
| 27 | 21% | 90% | |
| 28 | 10% | 69% | |
| 29 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 30 | 25% | 50% | |
| 31 | 2% | 25% | |
| 32 | 22% | 23% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 19 | 18% | 98% | |
| 20 | 8% | 79% | |
| 21 | 21% | 71% | |
| 22 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 23 | 4% | 33% | |
| 24 | 22% | 28% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 13% | 96% | |
| 15 | 5% | 83% | |
| 16 | 38% | 77% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 39% | |
| 18 | 22% | 36% | |
| 19 | 3% | 14% | |
| 20 | 10% | 11% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 95% | |
| 14 | 27% | 90% | Last Result |
| 15 | 26% | 63% | Median |
| 16 | 24% | 37% | |
| 17 | 3% | 13% | |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 5% | 95% | |
| 11 | 26% | 90% | |
| 12 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 41% | |
| 14 | 8% | 23% | |
| 15 | 4% | 15% | |
| 16 | 11% | 11% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 12% | 94% | |
| 10 | 20% | 82% | |
| 11 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 12 | 11% | 36% | |
| 13 | 23% | 25% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 32% | 96% | |
| 7 | 46% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 19% | |
| 9 | 8% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 5% | 80% | |
| 6 | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 30% | 39% | |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 76% | |
| 2 | 0% | 76% | |
| 3 | 0% | 76% | |
| 4 | 36% | 76% | Median |
| 5 | 25% | 39% | |
| 6 | 13% | 14% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 22% | 95% | |
| 5 | 56% | 73% | Median |
| 6 | 16% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet | 85 | 98 | 99.6% | 95–102 | 93–102 | 92–103 | 90–106 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 92 | 92% | 90–95 | 87–95 | 86–96 | 82–100 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet | 77 | 86 | 6% | 82–88 | 80–91 | 80–91 | 78–92 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 68 | 79 | 0% | 76–83 | 75–85 | 74–85 | 71–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 77 | 0% | 73–80 | 73–82 | 72–83 | 69–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 77 | 0% | 74–81 | 72–81 | 71–81 | 68–84 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–78 | 69–78 | 67–81 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 69–78 | 67–81 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–78 | 69–78 | 67–81 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 69–78 | 67–81 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 64 | 0% | 62–68 | 62–71 | 62–71 | 61–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 64 | 0% | 62–68 | 62–70 | 62–71 | 61–74 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 55–65 | 54–65 | 51–68 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 44 | 0% | 40–48 | 40–48 | 38–50 | 38–51 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 40 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–43 | 36–44 | 34–47 |
| Venstre | 34 | 29 | 0% | 26–32 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 15% | 92% | |
| 96 | 5% | 77% | |
| 97 | 18% | 72% | Median |
| 98 | 4% | 54% | |
| 99 | 27% | 50% | |
| 100 | 9% | 23% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 102 | 11% | 14% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 2% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 89 | 2% | 93% | |
| 90 | 19% | 92% | Majority |
| 91 | 16% | 73% | Median |
| 92 | 12% | 57% | |
| 93 | 24% | 45% | |
| 94 | 7% | 21% | |
| 95 | 11% | 14% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 82 | 5% | 94% | |
| 83 | 17% | 89% | |
| 84 | 15% | 72% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 57% | Median |
| 86 | 16% | 56% | |
| 87 | 5% | 41% | |
| 88 | 28% | 36% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 6% | Majority |
| 91 | 5% | 6% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 76 | 7% | 94% | |
| 77 | 12% | 86% | |
| 78 | 4% | 74% | |
| 79 | 29% | 70% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 42% | |
| 81 | 2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 21% | 34% | |
| 83 | 7% | 13% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 5% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 73 | 11% | 97% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 75 | 9% | 85% | |
| 76 | 27% | 77% | |
| 77 | 4% | 50% | |
| 78 | 18% | 46% | Median |
| 79 | 5% | 28% | |
| 80 | 15% | 23% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 4% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 92% | |
| 74 | 3% | 90% | |
| 75 | 2% | 87% | |
| 76 | 32% | 85% | Median |
| 77 | 27% | 54% | |
| 78 | 9% | 27% | |
| 79 | 4% | 18% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 81 | 11% | 13% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 2% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 6% | 86% | |
| 71 | 26% | 80% | |
| 72 | 18% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 30% | |
| 75 | 15% | 24% | |
| 76 | 3% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 6% | 86% | |
| 71 | 26% | 80% | |
| 72 | 18% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 30% | |
| 75 | 15% | 22% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 6% | 86% | |
| 71 | 26% | 80% | |
| 72 | 18% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 30% | |
| 75 | 15% | 24% | |
| 76 | 3% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 6% | 86% | |
| 71 | 26% | 80% | |
| 72 | 18% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 30% | |
| 75 | 15% | 22% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 17% | 90% | |
| 64 | 23% | 73% | |
| 65 | 4% | 50% | |
| 66 | 12% | 45% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 34% | |
| 68 | 15% | 25% | |
| 69 | 2% | 9% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 71 | 4% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 17% | 90% | |
| 64 | 23% | 73% | |
| 65 | 4% | 50% | |
| 66 | 12% | 45% | Median |
| 67 | 11% | 34% | |
| 68 | 15% | 23% | |
| 69 | 2% | 7% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 2% | 90% | |
| 58 | 20% | 88% | |
| 59 | 12% | 68% | |
| 60 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 61 | 23% | 54% | |
| 62 | 17% | 32% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 65 | 11% | 13% | |
| 66 | 0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 21% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 75% | |
| 42 | 6% | 69% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 62% | |
| 44 | 25% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 7% | 36% | |
| 46 | 4% | 29% | |
| 47 | 15% | 25% | |
| 48 | 6% | 10% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 10% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 88% | |
| 38 | 7% | 86% | |
| 39 | 11% | 79% | |
| 40 | 35% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 7% | 33% | |
| 42 | 2% | 26% | |
| 43 | 20% | 24% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 94% | |
| 27 | 21% | 90% | |
| 28 | 10% | 69% | |
| 29 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 30 | 25% | 50% | |
| 31 | 2% | 25% | |
| 32 | 22% | 23% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 978
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.08%