Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 28–30 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.1% 24.8–27.5% 24.4–27.9% 24.1–28.3% 23.5–28.9%
Venstre 19.5% 20.4% 19.2–21.7% 18.9–22.1% 18.6–22.4% 18.0–23.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 10.6% 9.7–11.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.2–12.1% 8.8–12.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.3% 7.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.7–9.4% 7.5–9.7% 7.3–9.9% 6.9–10.4%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.1% 6.4–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.6–8.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.2–6.3% 3.9–6.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 2.7% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 45–50 44–50 43–52 42–52
Venstre 34 35 31–39 31–39 31–39 31–43
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 16–22 16–23 16–23 16–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–17 13–17 13–18 13–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–17 13–17 13–17 13–19
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–15 10–15 10–15 10–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–11 8–11 8–13 7–13
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–7
Alternativet 9 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 13 4 0–5 0–5 0–7 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 2% 99.7%  
43 1.4% 98%  
44 6% 96%  
45 2% 90%  
46 30% 88%  
47 13% 58% Last Result, Median
48 2% 45%  
49 24% 43%  
50 15% 19%  
51 0.9% 4%  
52 3% 3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 10% 100%  
32 0.7% 90%  
33 4% 89%  
34 19% 86% Last Result
35 23% 67% Median
36 11% 44%  
37 3% 32%  
38 1.5% 30%  
39 26% 28%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.1% 1.2%  
42 0.2% 1.1%  
43 0.9% 0.9%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 12% 99.9%  
17 17% 88%  
18 7% 71%  
19 4% 65%  
20 34% 61% Median
21 6% 26%  
22 11% 20%  
23 9% 9%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 13% 100%  
14 1.0% 86%  
15 50% 85% Median
16 18% 35%  
17 13% 17%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 7% 99.6%  
14 30% 93% Last Result
15 21% 63% Median
16 7% 42%  
17 33% 35%  
18 0.4% 1.5%  
19 1.0% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.2% 100%  
10 34% 99.8%  
11 17% 66% Median
12 16% 49%  
13 6% 33%  
14 15% 27%  
15 12% 12%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0.8% 100%  
8 22% 99.2%  
9 38% 77% Median
10 27% 39%  
11 9% 13%  
12 0.1% 4%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 55% 97% Median
6 22% 43%  
7 21% 21%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 25% 99.1%  
5 58% 74% Median
6 15% 16%  
7 0.5% 1.0%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 45% 89% Median
5 40% 44%  
6 1.2% 4%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 66% 89% Median
5 22% 23%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 1.0% 55%  
4 53% 54% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 94 99.3% 90–101 90–101 90–101 89–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 76 89 49% 85–95 85–95 85–95 85–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 77 83 0.2% 79–86 79–86 79–86 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 81 0% 74–85 74–85 74–85 74–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0% 70–81 70–85 70–85 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 70–81 70–85 70–85 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 68 78 0% 74–81 74–81 74–81 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 74 0% 71–81 69–81 69–81 69–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 76 0% 67–78 66–81 66–81 66–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 76 0% 67–78 66–81 66–81 66–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 65–76 65–79 65–79 65–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 70 0% 62–72 61–75 61–75 61–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 56–64 54–64 54–65 54–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 49 0% 44–52 44–54 44–54 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 45 0% 40–47 40–50 40–50 40–52
Venstre 34 35 0% 31–39 31–39 31–39 31–43

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.2% 100%  
89 0.5% 99.8%  
90 14% 99.3% Majority
91 12% 85%  
92 2% 73%  
93 21% 72% Median
94 2% 51%  
95 2% 49%  
96 19% 47%  
97 5% 28%  
98 0.4% 23%  
99 0.5% 23%  
100 12% 22%  
101 10% 10%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.3% 100%  
85 14% 99.7%  
86 11% 86%  
87 3% 75%  
88 20% 71% Median
89 2% 51%  
90 2% 49% Majority
91 1.4% 46%  
92 18% 45%  
93 4% 27%  
94 0.8% 23%  
95 21% 23%  
96 1.0% 1.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.7% Last Result
78 0.3% 98%  
79 11% 98%  
80 17% 86%  
81 2% 70%  
82 2% 68% Median
83 20% 66%  
84 7% 46%  
85 17% 39%  
86 21% 22%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.1% 1.1%  
89 0.7% 1.0%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 10% 99.7%  
75 12% 90%  
76 0.5% 78%  
77 0.4% 77%  
78 5% 77%  
79 19% 72%  
80 2% 53%  
81 2% 51% Median
82 21% 49%  
83 2% 28%  
84 12% 27%  
85 14% 15%  
86 0.5% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 10% 99.8%  
71 11% 90%  
72 0.9% 79%  
73 0.6% 78%  
74 3% 78%  
75 20% 74%  
76 0.9% 54%  
77 21% 53% Median
78 3% 32%  
79 0.7% 29%  
80 13% 29%  
81 9% 16%  
82 0.6% 7%  
83 0.4% 6%  
84 0.1% 6%  
85 5% 5%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 10% 99.8%  
71 11% 90%  
72 0.9% 79%  
73 0.6% 78%  
74 3% 78%  
75 20% 74%  
76 0.9% 54%  
77 21% 53% Median
78 3% 32%  
79 0.7% 29%  
80 13% 29%  
81 9% 16%  
82 0.6% 7%  
83 0.4% 6%  
84 0.1% 6%  
85 5% 5%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.5%  
74 12% 98%  
75 15% 86%  
76 3% 70%  
77 1.4% 67% Median
78 21% 66%  
79 0.8% 45%  
80 16% 44%  
81 27% 29%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 6% 100%  
70 1.4% 94%  
71 29% 93%  
72 12% 64%  
73 2% 52% Median
74 2% 50%  
75 2% 48%  
76 1.3% 46%  
77 17% 45%  
78 12% 28%  
79 3% 17%  
80 3% 14%  
81 10% 10%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 10% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 90%  
68 0.3% 90%  
69 0.1% 90%  
70 0.3% 90%  
71 27% 89%  
72 0.7% 63%  
73 1.1% 62% Median
74 4% 61%  
75 6% 57%  
76 11% 51%  
77 30% 40%  
78 3% 10%  
79 0.5% 7%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 6% 7%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 10% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 90%  
68 0.3% 90%  
69 0.1% 90%  
70 0.3% 90%  
71 27% 89%  
72 0.7% 63%  
73 1.1% 62% Median
74 4% 61%  
75 6% 57%  
76 11% 51%  
77 30% 40%  
78 3% 10%  
79 0.5% 7%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 6% 7%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 10% 99.7%  
66 11% 90%  
67 0.2% 78%  
68 18% 78%  
69 4% 60%  
70 2% 56%  
71 3% 54%  
72 20% 51% Median
73 2% 30%  
74 13% 29%  
75 1.0% 16%  
76 9% 15%  
77 0.1% 6%  
78 0.1% 6%  
79 5% 5%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 10% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 90%  
63 0.1% 90%  
64 15% 90%  
65 0.9% 75%  
66 12% 74%  
67 0.7% 62%  
68 3% 61% Median
69 4% 58%  
70 13% 53%  
71 3% 40%  
72 29% 37%  
73 0.8% 8%  
74 0.6% 7%  
75 6% 7%  
76 0.5% 0.6%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 6% 99.9%  
55 0.5% 94% Last Result
56 30% 93%  
57 2% 63%  
58 2% 62% Median
59 13% 60%  
60 0.8% 47%  
61 20% 46%  
62 2% 26%  
63 10% 24%  
64 10% 13%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 11% 99.9%  
45 10% 89%  
46 0.5% 79%  
47 15% 79%  
48 0.8% 64% Median
49 14% 63%  
50 12% 49%  
51 5% 37%  
52 22% 32%  
53 1.0% 9% Last Result
54 7% 8%  
55 0.2% 1.4%  
56 0.8% 1.2%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 10% 99.8% Last Result
41 0.4% 89%  
42 0.3% 89%  
43 16% 89%  
44 14% 73% Median
45 13% 59%  
46 15% 46%  
47 21% 31%  
48 0.8% 10%  
49 0.8% 9%  
50 7% 8%  
51 0.6% 1.1%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 10% 100%  
32 0.7% 90%  
33 4% 89%  
34 19% 86% Last Result
35 23% 67% Median
36 11% 44%  
37 3% 32%  
38 1.5% 30%  
39 26% 28%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.1% 1.2%  
42 0.2% 1.1%  
43 0.9% 0.9%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations