Opinion Poll by YouGov, 26–30 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.0% |
26.2–29.9% |
25.7–30.5% |
25.3–30.9% |
24.4–31.8% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.3% |
16.8–20.0% |
16.4–20.4% |
16.0–20.9% |
15.3–21.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.2% |
7.8–11.5% |
7.3–12.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.2% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.9% |
6.8–11.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.5% |
7.4–9.7% |
7.1–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.4–11.0% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.3–10.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.2% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.2% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.6–2.6% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
12% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
31% |
88% |
|
47 |
2% |
57% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
55% |
|
49 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
50 |
2% |
47% |
|
51 |
23% |
45% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
22% |
|
53 |
4% |
21% |
|
54 |
2% |
17% |
|
55 |
15% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
2% |
97% |
|
31 |
20% |
96% |
|
32 |
24% |
76% |
|
33 |
2% |
52% |
|
34 |
5% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
35 |
3% |
46% |
|
36 |
42% |
43% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
15 |
6% |
98% |
|
16 |
3% |
92% |
|
17 |
19% |
89% |
|
18 |
21% |
70% |
Median |
19 |
43% |
49% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
21 |
5% |
6% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
6% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
5% |
93% |
|
15 |
2% |
88% |
|
16 |
32% |
87% |
|
17 |
31% |
54% |
Median |
18 |
21% |
24% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
6% |
97% |
|
14 |
36% |
92% |
Last Result |
15 |
4% |
56% |
|
16 |
18% |
51% |
Median |
17 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
18 |
31% |
32% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
19% |
98% |
|
14 |
31% |
79% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
48% |
|
16 |
32% |
40% |
|
17 |
7% |
8% |
|
18 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
86% |
98% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
12% |
|
11 |
4% |
9% |
|
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
38% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
44% |
61% |
Median |
7 |
15% |
17% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
92% |
|
2 |
0% |
92% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
60% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
23% |
33% |
|
6 |
9% |
9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
35% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
65% |
|
2 |
0% |
65% |
|
3 |
0% |
65% |
|
4 |
37% |
65% |
Median |
5 |
6% |
27% |
|
6 |
20% |
21% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
57% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
19% |
40% |
|
6 |
21% |
21% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
11% |
11% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
98 |
100% |
95–104 |
95–104 |
95–104 |
94–106 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
97 |
89% |
89–100 |
89–100 |
89–100 |
89–101 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
77 |
84 |
15% |
81–91 |
81–91 |
80–91 |
78–91 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
68 |
81 |
0.1% |
75–87 |
75–87 |
75–87 |
75–87 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
80 |
0.1% |
75–84 |
75–84 |
75–85 |
75–86 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
77 |
0% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
71–80 |
69–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
72 |
0% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
67–75 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
72 |
0% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
67–75 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
70 |
0% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
66–75 |
64–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
70 |
0% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
66–75 |
64–80 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
64 |
0% |
59–68 |
59–69 |
59–70 |
59–71 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
62–68 |
62–68 |
61–68 |
59–73 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
63 |
0% |
62–68 |
62–68 |
61–68 |
58–73 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
47 |
0% |
45–49 |
41–51 |
41–51 |
40–54 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
44 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–45 |
39–46 |
37–49 |
Venstre |
34 |
34 |
0% |
31–36 |
31–36 |
29–36 |
28–37 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
95 |
11% |
99.2% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
97 |
35% |
88% |
|
98 |
5% |
52% |
|
99 |
6% |
48% |
|
100 |
1.1% |
42% |
Median |
101 |
20% |
41% |
|
102 |
3% |
21% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
18% |
|
104 |
16% |
18% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
11% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
2% |
89% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
87% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
93 |
8% |
86% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
78% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
77% |
|
96 |
3% |
76% |
Median |
97 |
53% |
73% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
19% |
|
99 |
2% |
19% |
|
100 |
15% |
16% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
81 |
42% |
96% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
54% |
|
83 |
3% |
54% |
|
84 |
6% |
51% |
|
85 |
6% |
45% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
39% |
Median |
87 |
20% |
38% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
89 |
2% |
18% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
15% |
Majority |
91 |
15% |
15% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
77 |
2% |
88% |
|
78 |
5% |
85% |
|
79 |
3% |
80% |
|
80 |
7% |
78% |
|
81 |
31% |
71% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
40% |
Median |
83 |
21% |
39% |
|
84 |
3% |
18% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
16% |
|
86 |
0.5% |
15% |
|
87 |
15% |
15% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
11% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
2% |
89% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
78 |
4% |
86% |
|
79 |
31% |
82% |
|
80 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
81 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
82 |
2% |
43% |
|
83 |
23% |
41% |
|
84 |
15% |
18% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
71 |
16% |
98.6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
73 |
3% |
82% |
|
74 |
20% |
79% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
59% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
58% |
|
77 |
5% |
52% |
|
78 |
35% |
48% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
80 |
11% |
12% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
15% |
98% |
|
68 |
21% |
83% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
62% |
|
70 |
2% |
61% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
10% |
58% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
48% |
|
74 |
35% |
47% |
|
75 |
11% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
15% |
98% |
|
68 |
21% |
83% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
62% |
|
70 |
2% |
61% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
10% |
58% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
48% |
|
74 |
35% |
47% |
|
75 |
11% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
15% |
97% |
|
68 |
29% |
82% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
53% |
|
70 |
3% |
52% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
49% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
49% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
47% |
|
74 |
34% |
46% |
|
75 |
11% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
15% |
97% |
|
68 |
29% |
82% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
53% |
|
70 |
3% |
52% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
49% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
48% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
47% |
|
74 |
33% |
45% |
|
75 |
11% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
11% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
88% |
|
62 |
32% |
87% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
55% |
Median |
64 |
9% |
54% |
|
65 |
20% |
45% |
|
66 |
2% |
25% |
|
67 |
2% |
23% |
|
68 |
15% |
21% |
|
69 |
2% |
6% |
|
70 |
3% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
62 |
16% |
97% |
|
63 |
22% |
81% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
59% |
|
65 |
2% |
58% |
Median |
66 |
8% |
56% |
|
67 |
2% |
48% |
|
68 |
44% |
46% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
24% |
96% |
|
63 |
23% |
72% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
50% |
|
65 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
66 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
46% |
|
68 |
44% |
46% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
44 |
2% |
93% |
|
45 |
34% |
91% |
|
46 |
2% |
57% |
|
47 |
5% |
54% |
Median |
48 |
0.4% |
49% |
|
49 |
42% |
49% |
|
50 |
2% |
7% |
|
51 |
4% |
5% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
40 |
20% |
97% |
Last Result |
41 |
23% |
77% |
|
42 |
3% |
54% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
51% |
Median |
44 |
1.1% |
50% |
|
45 |
46% |
49% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
2% |
97% |
|
31 |
20% |
96% |
|
32 |
24% |
76% |
|
33 |
2% |
52% |
|
34 |
5% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
35 |
3% |
46% |
|
36 |
42% |
43% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 978
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.90%