Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 29–31 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
27.5% |
25.7–29.3% |
25.2–29.9% |
24.8–30.3% |
24.0–31.2% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
17.8% |
16.3–19.4% |
15.9–19.9% |
15.6–20.3% |
14.9–21.1% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.1% |
10.0–12.5% |
9.6–12.9% |
9.3–13.2% |
8.8–13.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.1–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.2–5.1% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
2% |
96% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
47 |
58% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
48 |
11% |
36% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
25% |
|
50 |
7% |
24% |
|
51 |
3% |
17% |
|
52 |
5% |
14% |
|
53 |
2% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
7% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
56 |
4% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
29 |
2% |
97% |
|
30 |
4% |
96% |
|
31 |
67% |
92% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
25% |
|
33 |
9% |
23% |
|
34 |
6% |
14% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
36 |
5% |
7% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
19 |
17% |
96% |
|
20 |
10% |
79% |
|
21 |
6% |
70% |
|
22 |
3% |
64% |
|
23 |
58% |
61% |
Median |
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
15 |
8% |
96% |
|
16 |
67% |
88% |
Median |
17 |
12% |
21% |
|
18 |
6% |
8% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
14 |
4% |
97% |
|
15 |
70% |
93% |
Median |
16 |
17% |
23% |
|
17 |
2% |
6% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
58% |
98.7% |
Median |
13 |
9% |
40% |
|
14 |
10% |
32% |
|
15 |
4% |
21% |
|
16 |
7% |
17% |
|
17 |
6% |
10% |
|
18 |
4% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
8 |
4% |
98% |
|
9 |
72% |
94% |
Median |
10 |
8% |
22% |
|
11 |
4% |
14% |
|
12 |
10% |
11% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
11% |
91% |
|
6 |
65% |
80% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
16% |
|
8 |
2% |
8% |
|
9 |
6% |
6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
91% |
|
2 |
0% |
91% |
|
3 |
0% |
91% |
|
4 |
7% |
91% |
|
5 |
10% |
84% |
|
6 |
64% |
74% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
10% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
90% |
|
2 |
0% |
90% |
|
3 |
0% |
90% |
|
4 |
10% |
90% |
|
5 |
8% |
80% |
|
6 |
63% |
72% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
36% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
64% |
|
2 |
0% |
64% |
|
3 |
0% |
64% |
|
4 |
61% |
64% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
96 |
100% |
96–104 |
96–105 |
96–106 |
94–107 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
90 |
98% |
90–99 |
90–102 |
90–104 |
87–104 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
81 |
5% |
81–88 |
81–89 |
80–90 |
78–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
75 |
0% |
75–84 |
75–86 |
74–88 |
72–88 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
74 |
0% |
74–84 |
74–86 |
74–88 |
71–88 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
79 |
0% |
71–79 |
70–79 |
69–79 |
68–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–76 |
68–77 |
67–79 |
65–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–76 |
68–77 |
67–79 |
65–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–75 |
68–76 |
66–79 |
64–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–75 |
68–76 |
66–79 |
64–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
69 |
0% |
66–71 |
65–72 |
64–73 |
59–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
69 |
0% |
66–71 |
65–72 |
62–73 |
59–77 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
62 |
0% |
62–68 |
60–70 |
60–72 |
58–72 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
46 |
0% |
45–51 |
45–52 |
43–52 |
40–56 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
40 |
0% |
40–45 |
39–46 |
38–46 |
35–49 |
Venstre |
34 |
31 |
0% |
31–34 |
30–36 |
28–36 |
27–38 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
96 |
59% |
98% |
Median |
97 |
1.3% |
39% |
|
98 |
2% |
37% |
|
99 |
6% |
35% |
|
100 |
2% |
30% |
|
101 |
11% |
28% |
|
102 |
2% |
17% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
15% |
|
104 |
9% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
107 |
2% |
2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
90 |
58% |
98% |
Median, Majority |
91 |
2% |
40% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
38% |
|
93 |
2% |
37% |
|
94 |
6% |
34% |
|
95 |
1.3% |
28% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
97 |
7% |
26% |
|
98 |
2% |
19% |
|
99 |
9% |
17% |
|
100 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
101 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
102 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
104 |
4% |
4% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
81 |
56% |
96% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
40% |
|
83 |
2% |
37% |
|
84 |
7% |
35% |
|
85 |
6% |
28% |
|
86 |
7% |
22% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
88 |
8% |
14% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
90 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
92 |
2% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
57% |
97% |
Median |
76 |
2% |
40% |
|
77 |
3% |
38% |
|
78 |
2% |
35% |
|
79 |
6% |
34% |
|
80 |
2% |
27% |
|
81 |
6% |
25% |
|
82 |
3% |
19% |
|
83 |
4% |
17% |
|
84 |
6% |
12% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
88 |
4% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
58% |
98.8% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
40% |
|
76 |
7% |
39% |
|
77 |
2% |
32% |
|
78 |
2% |
30% |
|
79 |
2% |
28% |
|
80 |
6% |
26% |
|
81 |
3% |
20% |
|
82 |
5% |
17% |
|
83 |
2% |
13% |
|
84 |
5% |
11% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
88 |
4% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
96% |
|
71 |
9% |
94% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
85% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
84% |
|
74 |
11% |
83% |
|
75 |
2% |
72% |
|
76 |
6% |
70% |
|
77 |
2% |
64% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
63% |
|
79 |
59% |
61% |
Median |
80 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
70 |
2% |
94% |
|
71 |
9% |
92% |
|
72 |
2% |
83% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
81% |
|
74 |
11% |
80% |
|
75 |
57% |
69% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
12% |
|
77 |
2% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
70 |
2% |
94% |
|
71 |
9% |
92% |
|
72 |
2% |
83% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
81% |
|
74 |
11% |
80% |
|
75 |
57% |
69% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
12% |
|
77 |
2% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
2% |
94% |
|
70 |
2% |
93% |
|
71 |
9% |
90% |
|
72 |
2% |
81% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
79% |
|
74 |
10% |
78% |
|
75 |
57% |
67% |
Median |
76 |
5% |
10% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
2% |
94% |
|
70 |
2% |
93% |
|
71 |
9% |
90% |
|
72 |
2% |
81% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
79% |
|
74 |
10% |
78% |
|
75 |
57% |
67% |
Median |
76 |
5% |
10% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
65 |
6% |
97% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
67 |
7% |
90% |
|
68 |
2% |
83% |
|
69 |
57% |
81% |
Median |
70 |
7% |
24% |
|
71 |
10% |
17% |
|
72 |
3% |
7% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
65 |
6% |
96% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
67 |
8% |
89% |
|
68 |
2% |
81% |
|
69 |
57% |
79% |
Median |
70 |
7% |
22% |
|
71 |
9% |
15% |
|
72 |
2% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
4% |
98% |
|
61 |
2% |
95% |
|
62 |
56% |
93% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
36% |
|
64 |
5% |
30% |
|
65 |
2% |
25% |
|
66 |
8% |
23% |
|
67 |
5% |
15% |
|
68 |
3% |
10% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
70 |
2% |
6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
72 |
4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
45 |
6% |
96% |
|
46 |
58% |
90% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
32% |
|
48 |
10% |
30% |
|
49 |
2% |
20% |
|
50 |
5% |
18% |
|
51 |
7% |
13% |
|
52 |
5% |
7% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
2% |
95% |
|
40 |
57% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
41 |
6% |
36% |
|
42 |
10% |
30% |
|
43 |
6% |
20% |
|
44 |
2% |
14% |
|
45 |
5% |
11% |
|
46 |
5% |
7% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
29 |
2% |
97% |
|
30 |
4% |
96% |
|
31 |
67% |
92% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
25% |
|
33 |
9% |
23% |
|
34 |
6% |
14% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
36 |
5% |
7% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 29–31 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%