Opinion Poll by YouGov, 28 May–1 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.5% |
26.6–30.5% |
26.1–31.1% |
25.6–31.6% |
24.7–32.6% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
20.9% |
19.2–22.8% |
18.7–23.3% |
18.3–23.8% |
17.6–24.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
8.5% |
7.4–9.8% |
7.1–10.2% |
6.8–10.6% |
6.3–11.2% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.7% |
7.0–10.1% |
6.7–10.4% |
6.2–11.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.3% |
7.2–9.6% |
6.9–10.0% |
6.6–10.3% |
6.1–11.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
6.7% |
5.7–7.9% |
5.4–8.2% |
5.2–8.5% |
4.8–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.5% |
4.3–6.8% |
4.1–7.1% |
3.7–7.7% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.3% |
3.3–5.6% |
3.1–5.8% |
2.8–6.3% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.9–4.1% |
1.6–4.5% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.5% |
1.6–3.7% |
1.4–4.1% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.5–3.5% |
1.3–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.4% |
0.6–2.8% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
47 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
48 |
26% |
95% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
69% |
|
50 |
7% |
68% |
|
51 |
15% |
61% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
46% |
|
53 |
18% |
34% |
|
54 |
5% |
15% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
11% |
|
56 |
8% |
9% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
33 |
3% |
96% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
92% |
Last Result |
35 |
25% |
91% |
|
36 |
13% |
66% |
|
37 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
4% |
46% |
|
39 |
3% |
42% |
|
40 |
8% |
39% |
|
41 |
2% |
31% |
|
42 |
22% |
29% |
|
43 |
6% |
7% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
15% |
97% |
|
14 |
25% |
82% |
|
15 |
34% |
56% |
Median |
16 |
12% |
23% |
|
17 |
5% |
11% |
|
18 |
4% |
6% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
14 |
16% |
94% |
|
15 |
10% |
78% |
|
16 |
26% |
68% |
Median |
17 |
23% |
41% |
|
18 |
14% |
18% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
12 |
18% |
98% |
|
13 |
45% |
80% |
Median |
14 |
20% |
34% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
14% |
|
16 |
3% |
13% |
|
17 |
2% |
10% |
|
18 |
3% |
8% |
|
19 |
4% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
10 |
29% |
97% |
|
11 |
11% |
68% |
|
12 |
28% |
57% |
Median |
13 |
3% |
30% |
|
14 |
3% |
27% |
|
15 |
16% |
24% |
|
16 |
8% |
9% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
14% |
98% |
|
9 |
22% |
84% |
|
10 |
25% |
62% |
Median |
11 |
30% |
37% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
98% |
|
6 |
22% |
94% |
|
7 |
34% |
72% |
Median |
8 |
12% |
38% |
|
9 |
18% |
26% |
|
10 |
2% |
7% |
|
11 |
3% |
5% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
78% |
|
2 |
0% |
78% |
|
3 |
0% |
78% |
|
4 |
43% |
78% |
Median |
5 |
21% |
35% |
|
6 |
8% |
15% |
|
7 |
3% |
6% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
71% |
|
2 |
0% |
71% |
|
3 |
0% |
71% |
|
4 |
25% |
71% |
Median |
5 |
21% |
47% |
|
6 |
11% |
26% |
|
7 |
14% |
15% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
93% |
|
2 |
0% |
93% |
|
3 |
0% |
93% |
|
4 |
56% |
93% |
Median |
5 |
26% |
37% |
|
6 |
10% |
12% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
84% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
16% |
|
2 |
0% |
16% |
|
3 |
0% |
16% |
|
4 |
15% |
16% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
98 |
89% |
89–102 |
89–103 |
89–104 |
87–104 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
94 |
67% |
85–98 |
85–98 |
85–98 |
83–100 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
82 |
4% |
75–86 |
75–88 |
75–90 |
72–90 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
77 |
0.4% |
73–86 |
72–86 |
71–86 |
71–88 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
79 |
0% |
72–85 |
72–85 |
72–85 |
70–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
77 |
0% |
71–81 |
71–83 |
70–84 |
68–84 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
74 |
0% |
69–81 |
67–82 |
67–82 |
67–88 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
74 |
0% |
69–79 |
67–82 |
67–82 |
67–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
74 |
0% |
69–81 |
67–82 |
67–82 |
67–88 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
74 |
0% |
69–79 |
67–82 |
67–82 |
67–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
60–74 |
60–75 |
60–77 |
60–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
66 |
0% |
60–71 |
60–73 |
59–77 |
59–77 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
68 |
0% |
62–73 |
61–73 |
60–73 |
58–73 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
51 |
0% |
46–56 |
46–57 |
45–60 |
44–60 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
47 |
0% |
43–52 |
42–52 |
41–56 |
40–56 |
Venstre |
34 |
37 |
0% |
35–42 |
33–43 |
30–43 |
30–43 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
89 |
10% |
98.8% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
89% |
Majority |
91 |
3% |
88% |
|
92 |
16% |
85% |
|
93 |
5% |
69% |
|
94 |
4% |
64% |
|
95 |
4% |
60% |
|
96 |
1.2% |
57% |
Median |
97 |
0.6% |
56% |
|
98 |
6% |
55% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
49% |
|
100 |
12% |
48% |
|
101 |
8% |
36% |
|
102 |
22% |
28% |
|
103 |
2% |
6% |
|
104 |
4% |
5% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
10% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
87 |
2% |
89% |
|
88 |
15% |
86% |
|
89 |
5% |
71% |
|
90 |
4% |
67% |
Majority |
91 |
5% |
62% |
|
92 |
4% |
57% |
Median |
93 |
1.4% |
53% |
|
94 |
3% |
52% |
|
95 |
9% |
49% |
|
96 |
5% |
40% |
|
97 |
16% |
34% |
|
98 |
17% |
18% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
100 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
75 |
12% |
98% |
|
76 |
14% |
86% |
|
77 |
2% |
72% |
Last Result |
78 |
6% |
70% |
|
79 |
4% |
64% |
|
80 |
4% |
60% |
Median |
81 |
5% |
57% |
|
82 |
11% |
52% |
|
83 |
3% |
41% |
|
84 |
10% |
38% |
|
85 |
12% |
27% |
|
86 |
9% |
15% |
|
87 |
2% |
7% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
90 |
4% |
4% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
2% |
95% |
|
73 |
22% |
94% |
|
74 |
8% |
72% |
|
75 |
12% |
64% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
52% |
|
77 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
78 |
0.6% |
45% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
80 |
4% |
43% |
|
81 |
4% |
40% |
|
82 |
5% |
36% |
|
83 |
16% |
31% |
|
84 |
3% |
15% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
86 |
10% |
11% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
72 |
12% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
74 |
2% |
85% |
|
75 |
3% |
83% |
|
76 |
17% |
80% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
63% |
|
78 |
8% |
62% |
|
79 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
80 |
3% |
48% |
|
81 |
9% |
46% |
|
82 |
3% |
37% |
|
83 |
13% |
34% |
|
84 |
8% |
21% |
|
85 |
12% |
13% |
|
86 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
10% |
96% |
|
72 |
14% |
87% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
73% |
|
74 |
9% |
73% |
|
75 |
3% |
63% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
60% |
Median |
77 |
15% |
59% |
|
78 |
5% |
44% |
|
79 |
3% |
39% |
|
80 |
8% |
36% |
|
81 |
20% |
28% |
|
82 |
2% |
8% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
84 |
5% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
69 |
15% |
94% |
|
70 |
2% |
79% |
|
71 |
5% |
76% |
|
72 |
5% |
72% |
|
73 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
53% |
|
75 |
4% |
45% |
|
76 |
15% |
41% |
|
77 |
4% |
26% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
79 |
5% |
22% |
|
80 |
2% |
17% |
|
81 |
10% |
15% |
|
82 |
4% |
6% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
69 |
16% |
90% |
|
70 |
3% |
75% |
|
71 |
2% |
72% |
|
72 |
4% |
70% |
|
73 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
52% |
|
75 |
4% |
44% |
|
76 |
15% |
40% |
|
77 |
13% |
25% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
79 |
5% |
12% |
|
80 |
2% |
7% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
82 |
4% |
5% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
69 |
15% |
94% |
|
70 |
2% |
79% |
|
71 |
5% |
76% |
|
72 |
5% |
72% |
|
73 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
53% |
|
75 |
4% |
45% |
|
76 |
15% |
41% |
|
77 |
4% |
26% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
79 |
5% |
22% |
|
80 |
2% |
17% |
|
81 |
10% |
15% |
|
82 |
4% |
6% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
69 |
16% |
90% |
|
70 |
3% |
75% |
|
71 |
2% |
72% |
|
72 |
4% |
70% |
|
73 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
52% |
|
75 |
4% |
44% |
|
76 |
15% |
40% |
|
77 |
13% |
25% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
79 |
5% |
12% |
|
80 |
2% |
7% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
82 |
4% |
5% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
10% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
7% |
89% |
|
62 |
7% |
82% |
|
63 |
4% |
76% |
|
64 |
2% |
72% |
|
65 |
11% |
70% |
|
66 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
45% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
39% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
39% |
|
70 |
16% |
38% |
|
71 |
5% |
22% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
17% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
16% |
|
74 |
10% |
15% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
77 |
4% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
11% |
96% |
|
61 |
7% |
85% |
|
62 |
7% |
78% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
71% |
|
64 |
2% |
71% |
|
65 |
11% |
69% |
|
66 |
14% |
58% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
44% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
38% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
38% |
|
70 |
25% |
37% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
77 |
4% |
4% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
3% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
62 |
10% |
95% |
|
63 |
2% |
85% |
|
64 |
16% |
83% |
|
65 |
5% |
67% |
|
66 |
4% |
63% |
|
67 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
68 |
14% |
51% |
|
69 |
8% |
36% |
|
70 |
13% |
28% |
|
71 |
3% |
15% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
73 |
12% |
12% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
13% |
97% |
|
47 |
12% |
84% |
|
48 |
4% |
71% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
67% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
66% |
|
51 |
22% |
65% |
Median |
52 |
3% |
43% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
40% |
Last Result |
54 |
4% |
39% |
|
55 |
16% |
35% |
|
56 |
10% |
20% |
|
57 |
5% |
9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
60 |
4% |
4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
41 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
43 |
12% |
95% |
|
44 |
6% |
82% |
|
45 |
2% |
77% |
|
46 |
22% |
74% |
|
47 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
48 |
3% |
48% |
|
49 |
6% |
45% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
39% |
|
51 |
24% |
38% |
|
52 |
10% |
14% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
56 |
4% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
33 |
3% |
96% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
92% |
Last Result |
35 |
25% |
91% |
|
36 |
13% |
66% |
|
37 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
4% |
46% |
|
39 |
3% |
42% |
|
40 |
8% |
39% |
|
41 |
2% |
31% |
|
42 |
22% |
29% |
|
43 |
6% |
7% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 May–1 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 870
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.59%