Opinion Poll by YouGov, 29 May–2 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.0% 27.0–31.2% 26.4–31.8% 25.9–32.3% 25.0–33.3%
Venstre 19.5% 20.7% 19.0–22.7% 18.5–23.3% 18.0–23.7% 17.2–24.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.5% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.4% 7.7–11.8% 7.1–12.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 8.2% 7.1–9.6% 6.8–10.0% 6.5–10.4% 6.0–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.9% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.6% 6.2–10.0% 5.7–10.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.2% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.7% 3.8–7.0% 3.4–7.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.8% 2.6–6.3%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.9–4.3% 1.6–4.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 2.4% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.6% 1.6–3.8% 1.3–4.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 2.2% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.1–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.7% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 49–53 48–53 47–55 44–59
Venstre 34 38 34–40 33–40 33–41 31–42
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–20 13–20 13–20 13–21
Dansk Folkeparti 37 14 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 16 11–17 11–18 11–18 11–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–13 8–13 7–14 7–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 9–12 8–12 8–12 6–13
Nye Borgerlige 0 7 5–8 5–8 5–9 5–10
Stram Kurs 0 5 4–8 4–8 4–8 0–8
Alternativet 9 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–8
Liberal Alliance 13 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.5% 99.9%  
45 1.0% 99.5%  
46 0.6% 98.5%  
47 0.7% 98% Last Result
48 7% 97%  
49 2% 91%  
50 17% 88%  
51 44% 72% Median
52 17% 28%  
53 7% 11%  
54 1.1% 4%  
55 0.2% 3%  
56 1.0% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.4%  
58 0.2% 0.9%  
59 0.7% 0.7%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 1.3% 98.9%  
33 7% 98%  
34 4% 91% Last Result
35 2% 87%  
36 29% 85%  
37 2% 55%  
38 18% 54% Median
39 20% 36%  
40 12% 16%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.9% 1.3%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 6% 99.9%  
14 2% 94% Last Result
15 10% 92%  
16 5% 82%  
17 27% 77% Median
18 32% 50%  
19 6% 17%  
20 10% 11%  
21 1.0% 1.5%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.8%  
12 3% 99.3%  
13 38% 96%  
14 28% 59% Median
15 6% 31%  
16 6% 25%  
17 14% 19%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.6% 0.9%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 11% 99.5%  
12 3% 88%  
13 10% 86%  
14 4% 76%  
15 12% 72%  
16 41% 60% Median
17 11% 19%  
18 7% 9%  
19 0.2% 2%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 3% 99.9% Last Result
8 6% 97%  
9 13% 91%  
10 39% 77% Median
11 17% 39%  
12 4% 22%  
13 15% 18%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.2% 0.4%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100% Last Result
7 1.3% 99.5%  
8 5% 98%  
9 45% 93% Median
10 7% 47%  
11 27% 40%  
12 11% 13%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 20% 99.9%  
6 11% 80%  
7 48% 69% Median
8 16% 20%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.8% 1.3%  
11 0.2% 0.5%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 10% 98.8%  
5 46% 89% Median
6 21% 43%  
7 3% 22%  
8 19% 20%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100%  
1 0% 62%  
2 0% 62%  
3 0% 62%  
4 41% 62% Median
5 17% 21%  
6 2% 4%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.5% 0.6%  
9 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 43% 56% Median
5 11% 13%  
6 1.1% 2%  
7 0.7% 0.9%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 44%  
2 0% 44%  
3 0.1% 44%  
4 16% 44%  
5 27% 28%  
6 1.0% 1.1%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 97 98.9% 91–98 91–101 90–102 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 94 91% 90–97 89–97 86–98 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 2% 78–87 76–87 74–87 73–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 78 0% 76–82 74–82 73–84 70–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 70–78 68–80 68–80 65–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 70 0% 67–76 67–80 66–80 63–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 77 0% 73–79 71–79 71–79 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 65 0% 64–71 61–73 60–73 59–74
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 65 0% 60–69 60–73 60–73 56–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 67 0% 62–68 62–68 61–70 58–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 50 0% 47–53 46–56 45–56 42–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 47 0% 43–52 42–52 41–52 40–52
Venstre 34 38 0% 34–40 33–40 33–41 31–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0.5% 99.8%  
89 0.4% 99.3%  
90 3% 98.9% Majority
91 7% 96%  
92 1.1% 90%  
93 5% 89%  
94 1.3% 83%  
95 6% 82%  
96 9% 76%  
97 25% 67%  
98 32% 42% Median
99 1.0% 10%  
100 1.3% 9%  
101 3% 7%  
102 2% 5%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.2% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 2% 99.2%  
87 0.2% 97%  
88 2% 97%  
89 5% 95%  
90 3% 91% Majority
91 12% 88%  
92 6% 76%  
93 10% 70%  
94 24% 61% Median
95 1.2% 37%  
96 8% 35%  
97 25% 28%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.2% 1.1%  
101 0.4% 0.9%  
102 0.1% 0.5%  
103 0.3% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.8%  
74 2% 99.1%  
75 0.2% 97%  
76 5% 97%  
77 2% 92% Last Result
78 6% 90%  
79 1.2% 84%  
80 19% 83%  
81 16% 64%  
82 25% 48% Median
83 5% 22%  
84 1.5% 18%  
85 2% 16%  
86 3% 14%  
87 9% 11%  
88 0.3% 2%  
89 0.3% 2%  
90 0.2% 2% Majority
91 1.2% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.4%  
72 0.7% 99.2%  
73 1.3% 98.5%  
74 3% 97%  
75 2% 94%  
76 14% 92%  
77 5% 78%  
78 30% 73% Median
79 4% 44%  
80 10% 40%  
81 17% 30%  
82 9% 12%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.4% 1.3%  
86 0.3% 1.0%  
87 0.4% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.7% 99.4%  
67 0.9% 98.7%  
68 4% 98%  
69 2% 94%  
70 15% 92%  
71 0.7% 77%  
72 41% 76% Median
73 7% 35%  
74 8% 28%  
75 6% 20%  
76 2% 14%  
77 1.4% 12%  
78 0.9% 11%  
79 1.3% 10%  
80 7% 8%  
81 0.6% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 0.6% 99.3%  
65 0.4% 98.7%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 24% 97%  
68 11% 73%  
69 2% 62%  
70 16% 60%  
71 6% 44%  
72 11% 38% Median
73 7% 27%  
74 8% 19%  
75 0.9% 11%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 0.6% 9%  
78 0.5% 8%  
79 0.1% 8%  
80 7% 7%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 1.2% 98.9%  
71 6% 98%  
72 0.8% 92%  
73 3% 91%  
74 3% 89%  
75 11% 85%  
76 8% 75%  
77 34% 67% Median
78 15% 33%  
79 15% 17%  
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.2% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.5%  
83 0.2% 1.3%  
84 0.2% 1.1%  
85 0.3% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.6%  
87 0.4% 0.5%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.3% 99.5%  
60 4% 99.2%  
61 2% 95%  
62 0.5% 94%  
63 2% 93%  
64 2% 91%  
65 50% 89% Median
66 15% 39%  
67 2% 24%  
68 8% 22%  
69 3% 14%  
70 0.8% 11%  
71 0.3% 10%  
72 2% 10%  
73 7% 8%  
74 0.5% 0.8%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.5% 99.7%  
57 0.2% 99.2%  
58 0.2% 98.9%  
59 0.9% 98.7%  
60 27% 98%  
61 9% 71%  
62 2% 61%  
63 2% 60%  
64 7% 58%  
65 20% 51% Median
66 16% 31%  
67 3% 16%  
68 3% 13%  
69 2% 10%  
70 0.2% 8%  
71 0.2% 8%  
72 0.3% 7%  
73 7% 7%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.9% 99.8%  
59 0.5% 98.9%  
60 0.5% 98%  
61 2% 98%  
62 9% 95%  
63 15% 87%  
64 1.0% 72%  
65 1.3% 71%  
66 2% 69%  
67 28% 67% Median
68 35% 40%  
69 1.4% 4%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.3% 1.5%  
72 0% 1.1%  
73 0.3% 1.1%  
74 0.2% 0.8%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.3% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.8%  
42 0.6% 99.8%  
43 0.2% 99.2%  
44 0.5% 99.0%  
45 3% 98%  
46 3% 95%  
47 29% 92%  
48 10% 63%  
49 2% 52%  
50 4% 51%  
51 19% 46% Median
52 16% 28%  
53 2% 11% Last Result
54 0.6% 10%  
55 4% 9%  
56 5% 5%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
41 1.3% 98.6%  
42 7% 97%  
43 0.8% 90%  
44 2% 89%  
45 2% 88%  
46 7% 86%  
47 43% 79% Median
48 21% 36%  
49 0.8% 16%  
50 3% 15%  
51 2% 12%  
52 10% 11%  
53 0.3% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 1.3% 98.9%  
33 7% 98%  
34 4% 91% Last Result
35 2% 87%  
36 29% 85%  
37 2% 55%  
38 18% 54% Median
39 20% 36%  
40 12% 16%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.9% 1.3%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations