Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 4 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.7% 24.6–26.9% 24.2–27.2% 24.0–27.5% 23.4–28.0%
Venstre 19.5% 20.7% 19.7–21.8% 19.4–22.1% 19.1–22.4% 18.7–22.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.7% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.2–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.1% 7.4–8.8% 7.2–9.1% 7.1–9.2% 6.7–9.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 6.2% 5.6–6.9% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.4% 3.0–3.9% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.2% 2.2–3.3% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.0% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.3% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 44–46 44–48 43–48 42–50
Venstre 34 38 37–40 35–40 35–40 33–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 18 15–19 15–19 15–19 15–20
Radikale Venstre 8 18 15–19 14–19 14–19 13–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 15–17 14–18 13–18 13–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 14–16 14–16 13–16 13–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 12 11–12 10–12 10–12 9–13
Alternativet 9 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6
Liberal Alliance 13 0 0–5 0–5 0–7 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 1.0% 99.7%  
43 3% 98.7%  
44 8% 95%  
45 8% 87%  
46 69% 79% Median
47 0.5% 10% Last Result
48 7% 9%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.2% 0.6%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.4% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.6%  
34 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
35 5% 98.9%  
36 2% 94%  
37 28% 92%  
38 43% 64% Median
39 1.3% 21%  
40 19% 20%  
41 0.8% 0.8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 22% 99.9%  
16 3% 78%  
17 20% 75%  
18 42% 55% Median
19 13% 13%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.9% 100%  
14 8% 99.1%  
15 13% 92%  
16 23% 79%  
17 4% 56%  
18 41% 52% Median
19 11% 11%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 4% 99.9%  
14 3% 96% Last Result
15 16% 93%  
16 28% 77% Median
17 41% 48%  
18 7% 7%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 3% 99.8%  
14 22% 97%  
15 53% 75% Median
16 21% 23%  
17 1.0% 1.3%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.7%  
10 7% 98%  
11 10% 92%  
12 80% 82% Median
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 14% 100%  
5 15% 86%  
6 50% 71% Median
7 2% 21%  
8 19% 19%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 6% 99.8%  
5 85% 94% Median
6 9% 9%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 37% 48%  
5 7% 12%  
6 2% 5%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 19% 21%  
5 0.8% 1.2%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0.4% 7%  
4 6% 7%  
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 102 99.9% 94–102 94–102 94–102 91–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 94 96% 90–96 90–96 87–96 84–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 0.1% 79–86 79–86 78–86 76–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 73 0% 73–81 73–81 73–81 73–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 79 0% 74–79 73–79 72–80 70–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 73 0% 73–77 73–77 73–79 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 73 0% 73–77 73–77 73–79 71–80
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 78 0% 75–78 74–78 72–79 70–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 73 0% 73–76 72–77 72–77 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 73 0% 73–76 72–77 72–77 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 68 0% 68–72 68–72 68–74 67–75
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 68 0% 68–72 67–72 67–72 65–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 58–65 58–65 58–65 57–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 52 0% 50–54 50–55 50–55 47–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 50 0% 47–52 47–52 46–52 44–52
Venstre 34 38 0% 37–40 35–40 35–40 33–41

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0% 99.9% Majority
91 0.7% 99.8%  
92 1.5% 99.2%  
93 0.1% 98%  
94 8% 98%  
95 8% 90%  
96 2% 82%  
97 0.6% 80%  
98 1.5% 80%  
99 17% 78%  
100 1.1% 61%  
101 0.9% 60% Median
102 59% 59%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.4% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.5%  
86 2% 99.1%  
87 0.1% 98%  
88 0.7% 97%  
89 1.2% 97%  
90 8% 96% Majority
91 7% 87%  
92 2% 80%  
93 4% 78%  
94 32% 74%  
95 1.3% 42% Median
96 41% 41%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.5% Last Result
78 0.6% 98%  
79 9% 97%  
80 12% 88%  
81 7% 76%  
82 4% 69%  
83 4% 65% Median
84 41% 62%  
85 1.2% 21%  
86 19% 20%  
87 0.9% 1.2%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 59% 99.6% Median
74 0.9% 41%  
75 1.1% 40%  
76 17% 39%  
77 1.5% 22%  
78 0.6% 20%  
79 2% 20%  
80 8% 18%  
81 8% 10%  
82 0.1% 2%  
83 1.5% 2%  
84 0.7% 0.8%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 2% 99.0%  
73 7% 97%  
74 9% 91%  
75 1.3% 82%  
76 2% 80%  
77 0.8% 79%  
78 20% 78%  
79 55% 58% Median
80 3% 3%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 0.8% 98.8%  
73 59% 98% Median
74 1.0% 39%  
75 1.2% 38%  
76 24% 36%  
77 9% 13%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 0.8% 98.8%  
73 59% 98% Median
74 1.0% 39%  
75 1.2% 38%  
76 24% 36%  
77 9% 13%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.5% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 2% 99.4%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 19% 94%  
76 4% 75%  
77 8% 72% Median
78 62% 64%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.2% 1.3%  
81 1.0% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.5%  
72 4% 98%  
73 60% 94% Median
74 1.3% 34%  
75 2% 33%  
76 21% 30%  
77 8% 10%  
78 0.4% 1.5%  
79 0.5% 1.1%  
80 0.4% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.5%  
72 4% 98%  
73 60% 94% Median
74 1.3% 34%  
75 2% 33%  
76 21% 30%  
77 8% 10%  
78 0.4% 1.5%  
79 0.5% 1.1%  
80 0.4% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 2% 99.7%  
68 59% 98% Median
69 1.2% 39%  
70 7% 38%  
71 16% 30%  
72 10% 14%  
73 0.9% 4%  
74 0.8% 3%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0% 0.4%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.3%  
67 5% 99.0%  
68 60% 94% Median
69 1.2% 34%  
70 8% 33%  
71 15% 26%  
72 9% 11%  
73 0.4% 1.5%  
74 0.5% 1.0%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.9% 99.7%  
58 9% 98.9%  
59 0.9% 89%  
60 9% 89%  
61 0.5% 80%  
62 19% 80%  
63 2% 60%  
64 44% 58% Median
65 14% 14%  
66 0.6% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.8% 99.9%  
48 0.9% 99.1%  
49 0.3% 98%  
50 41% 98% Median
51 2% 57%  
52 14% 55%  
53 27% 42% Last Result
54 6% 15%  
55 8% 10%  
56 0.9% 2%  
57 0.8% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.5% 100%  
44 0.9% 99.5%  
45 0.7% 98.6%  
46 0.9% 98%  
47 7% 97%  
48 2% 90%  
49 26% 88%  
50 41% 61% Median
51 8% 20%  
52 11% 12%  
53 0.4% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.4% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.6%  
34 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
35 5% 98.9%  
36 2% 94%  
37 28% 92%  
38 43% 64% Median
39 1.3% 21%  
40 19% 20%  
41 0.8% 0.8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations