Opinion Poll by Gallup, 4 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.7% 24.9–26.5% 24.7–26.7% 24.5–26.9% 24.1–27.3%
Venstre 19.5% 22.3% 21.6–23.1% 21.3–23.3% 21.2–23.5% 20.8–23.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 10.6% 10.0–11.2% 9.9–11.4% 9.8–11.5% 9.5–11.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.0% 7.5–8.5% 7.4–8.7% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.6% 7.1–8.1% 7.0–8.3% 6.9–8.4% 6.7–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.5% 7.0–8.0% 6.9–8.2% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 6.1% 5.7–6.6% 5.5–6.7% 5.4–6.8% 5.3–7.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 2.9% 2.6–3.2% 2.5–3.3% 2.5–3.4% 2.3–3.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 2.8% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.2% 2.4–3.3% 2.2–3.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.3–2.9% 2.3–3.0% 2.2–3.1% 2.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.9% 1.7–2.2% 1.6–2.3% 1.5–2.3% 1.4–2.5%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.3% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.4% 0.8–1.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.7% 0.6–0.9% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 44–48 44–48 44–49 42–50
Venstre 34 40 39–41 38–42 37–42 37–43
Dansk Folkeparti 37 19 18–21 18–21 17–21 17–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 13 12–14 12–15 12–15 12–16
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–15 12–15 12–15 12–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 11 10–12 10–12 10–13 9–13
Alternativet 9 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Liberal Alliance 13 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.5% 100%  
43 0.9% 99.5%  
44 15% 98.6%  
45 11% 84%  
46 9% 73%  
47 52% 64% Last Result, Median
48 9% 11%  
49 2% 3%  
50 1.0% 1.0%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 3% 99.9%  
38 3% 97%  
39 16% 94%  
40 47% 78% Median
41 21% 31%  
42 8% 10%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 4% 99.7%  
18 21% 96%  
19 37% 75% Median
20 10% 38%  
21 26% 28%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.7% 100%  
13 28% 99.3%  
14 27% 71% Last Result, Median
15 35% 45%  
16 9% 10%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 25% 100%  
13 36% 75% Median
14 33% 40%  
15 5% 6%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 11% 99.7%  
13 58% 89% Median
14 20% 31%  
15 10% 10%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 100%  
10 33% 99.3%  
11 46% 67% Median
12 17% 21%  
13 4% 4%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 7% 100%  
5 80% 93% Median
6 13% 13%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 7% 99.7%  
5 58% 92% Median
6 33% 35%  
7 1.4% 1.4%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 24% 99.9%  
5 57% 76% Median
6 20% 20%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 92 98% 90–96 90–96 90–97 89–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 86 15% 85–91 85–91 85–91 84–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 83 0% 79–85 79–85 78–85 78–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 83 0% 79–85 79–85 78–85 78–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0% 79–85 79–85 78–85 78–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 81 0% 79–83 78–83 77–83 76–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 81 0% 79–83 78–83 77–83 76–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 77–81 77–82 76–82 75–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–80 75–80 74–81 73–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 76 0% 74–78 73–78 73–79 72–79
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 72–76 72–77 71–77 71–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 72 0% 71–76 70–76 70–77 69–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 58–62 57–62 57–62 55–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 57 0% 55–58 54–59 54–59 52–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 51 0% 50–52 49–54 49–54 48–55
Venstre 34 40 0% 39–41 38–42 37–42 37–43

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.5% 100%  
89 2% 99.5%  
90 23% 98% Majority
91 22% 75%  
92 10% 53% Median
93 23% 43%  
94 4% 20%  
95 4% 16%  
96 9% 12%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 2% 100%  
85 24% 98%  
86 25% 74%  
87 7% 49% Median
88 24% 43%  
89 4% 19%  
90 3% 15% Majority
91 9% 12%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.6% 0.6%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.8%  
79 9% 97%  
80 4% 88%  
81 4% 84%  
82 23% 80%  
83 10% 57%  
84 22% 47% Median
85 23% 25%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.5% 0.5%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.8%  
79 9% 97%  
80 4% 88%  
81 4% 84%  
82 23% 80%  
83 10% 57%  
84 22% 47% Median
85 23% 25%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.5% 0.5%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.8%  
79 9% 97%  
80 4% 88%  
81 4% 84%  
82 23% 80%  
83 10% 57%  
84 22% 47% Median
85 23% 25%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.5% 0.5%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 1.4% 100%  
77 3% 98.5%  
78 5% 95%  
79 11% 91%  
80 23% 79% Median
81 24% 56%  
82 23% 33%  
83 8% 10%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 1.4% 100%  
77 3% 98.5%  
78 5% 95%  
79 11% 91%  
80 23% 79% Median
81 24% 56%  
82 23% 33%  
83 8% 10%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.7% 100%  
76 2% 99.3%  
77 32% 97% Last Result
78 9% 65%  
79 15% 57% Median
80 25% 42%  
81 11% 17%  
82 4% 6%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 1.4% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 3% 98%  
75 8% 95%  
76 23% 87%  
77 7% 65%  
78 9% 58%  
79 19% 49% Median
80 26% 30%  
81 3% 3%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.5% 0.5%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.4% 100%  
72 2% 99.6%  
73 6% 98%  
74 4% 92%  
75 25% 87% Median
76 47% 63%  
77 5% 16%  
78 8% 10%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 3% 99.9%  
72 34% 97%  
73 9% 64%  
74 14% 54% Median
75 24% 41%  
76 11% 16%  
77 3% 6%  
78 1.5% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.9%  
80 0.4% 0.4%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.6% 100%  
70 6% 99.4%  
71 4% 93%  
72 44% 89%  
73 23% 46% Median
74 6% 23%  
75 4% 17%  
76 10% 14%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.5% 100% Last Result
56 0.7% 99.5%  
57 7% 98.7%  
58 20% 92%  
59 6% 72%  
60 47% 66% Median
61 5% 19%  
62 12% 14%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 2% 99.5% Last Result
54 4% 98%  
55 28% 94%  
56 15% 66% Median
57 37% 51%  
58 9% 15%  
59 4% 5%  
60 0.9% 1.0%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0.4% 100%  
48 1.4% 99.6%  
49 4% 98%  
50 31% 94%  
51 32% 63% Median
52 21% 31%  
53 4% 10%  
54 5% 6%  
55 1.1% 1.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 3% 99.9%  
38 3% 97%  
39 16% 94%  
40 47% 78% Median
41 21% 31%  
42 8% 10%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations