Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 30 December 2019–5 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.0% 24.3–27.9% 23.9–28.4% 23.5–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.2–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.3–26.5% 20.5–27.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 43–51 43–51 43–51 41–53
Venstre 43 43 41–47 41–47 39–48 37–49
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–20
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 14–17 14–17 13–18 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 13–17 12–17 11–17 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 10–18
Alternativet 5 6 5–7 4–7 4–7 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.3% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.6% 99.4%  
43 17% 98.7%  
44 8% 82%  
45 2% 74%  
46 17% 72%  
47 16% 55% Median
48 12% 39% Last Result
49 4% 27%  
50 4% 24%  
51 18% 20%  
52 0.9% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.9%  
38 1.2% 99.3%  
39 1.0% 98%  
40 0.9% 97%  
41 27% 96%  
42 12% 69%  
43 10% 57% Last Result, Median
44 22% 47%  
45 7% 26%  
46 5% 19%  
47 11% 14%  
48 3% 3%  
49 0.2% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.8% 100%  
13 6% 99.1%  
14 9% 94%  
15 24% 85%  
16 33% 61% Last Result, Median
17 11% 28%  
18 9% 17%  
19 3% 8%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
13 2% 98%  
14 26% 97%  
15 29% 70% Median
16 24% 41%  
17 13% 17%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.7% 1.0%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.8%  
12 5% 99.2%  
13 13% 95%  
14 32% 81% Last Result, Median
15 24% 49%  
16 5% 25%  
17 9% 20%  
18 5% 10%  
19 5% 6%  
20 0.5% 0.5%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 3% 99.9%  
12 2% 97%  
13 16% 94%  
14 14% 78%  
15 36% 64% Median
16 8% 28% Last Result
17 17% 20%  
18 0.8% 2%  
19 0.6% 1.3%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.3% 100%  
11 3% 98.6%  
12 15% 96%  
13 13% 81% Last Result
14 40% 68% Median
15 23% 28%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.8% 0.9%  
19 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 8% 99.6%  
5 33% 91% Last Result
6 29% 58% Median
7 27% 29%  
8 1.3% 2%  
9 0.9% 0.9%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100%  
1 0% 76%  
2 0% 76%  
3 0.1% 76%  
4 60% 76% Last Result, Median
5 13% 16%  
6 0.8% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0.1% 15%  
4 12% 15%  
5 2% 3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 9% 9% Last Result
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 99.1% 93–101 92–103 90–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 93 60% 87–96 87–97 86–97 84–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.2% 78–86 77–86 75–86 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 79 0% 73–82 73–83 72–83 72–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 74–81 72–82 71–82 70–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 74–81 72–82 71–82 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 71–80 71–80 70–80 69–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 70–77 70–77 70–78 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 58–67 58–68 58–68 57–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 55–64 55–64 55–64 52–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 55–63 55–64 55–64 52–65
Venstre 43 43 0% 41–47 41–47 39–48 37–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.8% 99.9%  
90 3% 99.1% Majority
91 0.3% 96%  
92 2% 96%  
93 4% 94%  
94 29% 90%  
95 4% 61%  
96 0.9% 57% Last Result
97 0.9% 56% Median
98 7% 55%  
99 11% 48%  
100 6% 38%  
101 25% 31%  
102 0.7% 6%  
103 5% 5%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.8% 99.9%  
85 2% 99.1%  
86 3% 98%  
87 25% 95%  
88 10% 70%  
89 1.3% 61%  
90 3% 60% Majority
91 2% 57% Last Result, Median
92 1.1% 55%  
93 11% 54%  
94 10% 43%  
95 7% 33%  
96 20% 25%  
97 5% 6%  
98 0.6% 0.8%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 1.5% 99.6%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 1.2% 97%  
77 3% 96%  
78 13% 93%  
79 18% 81%  
80 10% 63% Last Result
81 13% 53% Median
82 1.4% 40%  
83 5% 39%  
84 3% 34%  
85 20% 31%  
86 10% 11%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 3% 99.6%  
73 16% 96%  
74 6% 80%  
75 15% 74%  
76 0.5% 59%  
77 1.1% 58% Median
78 3% 57% Last Result
79 14% 54%  
80 2% 40%  
81 27% 38%  
82 4% 11%  
83 6% 7%  
84 0.5% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 1.2% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 6% 97%  
73 0.8% 91%  
74 25% 91%  
75 7% 66%  
76 9% 59%  
77 12% 49% Median
78 0.8% 37%  
79 0.9% 37% Last Result
80 3% 36%  
81 27% 32%  
82 4% 6%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 1.2% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 6% 97%  
73 0.8% 91%  
74 25% 91%  
75 7% 66%  
76 9% 59%  
77 12% 49% Median
78 0.8% 37%  
79 0.9% 37% Last Result
80 3% 36%  
81 27% 32%  
82 4% 6%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.6%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 9% 96%  
72 16% 88%  
73 4% 72%  
74 13% 68%  
75 13% 54% Last Result, Median
76 0.7% 41%  
77 4% 41%  
78 3% 36%  
79 5% 33%  
80 28% 29%  
81 0.4% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 0.8%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 1.1% 99.7%  
69 1.0% 98.6%  
70 26% 98%  
71 4% 71%  
72 10% 67%  
73 7% 57% Median
74 1.4% 50%  
75 3% 48% Last Result
76 9% 46%  
77 33% 37%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.2% 2%  
80 0.6% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 22% 99.0%  
59 5% 77%  
60 4% 73%  
61 3% 69%  
62 16% 66%  
63 2% 50% Median
64 4% 49% Last Result
65 16% 45%  
66 3% 29%  
67 20% 26%  
68 4% 6%  
69 1.1% 2%  
70 0.7% 0.9%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.4%  
54 0.5% 99.2%  
55 23% 98.7%  
56 3% 76%  
57 8% 72%  
58 7% 64% Median
59 9% 57% Last Result
60 19% 48%  
61 6% 30%  
62 10% 23%  
63 3% 13%  
64 9% 10%  
65 0.9% 1.2%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.3%  
54 0.7% 99.0%  
55 23% 98% Last Result
56 3% 75%  
57 8% 72%  
58 15% 64% Median
59 9% 49%  
60 19% 40%  
61 6% 21%  
62 2% 15%  
63 3% 13%  
64 9% 10%  
65 0.9% 1.1%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.9%  
38 1.2% 99.3%  
39 1.0% 98%  
40 0.9% 97%  
41 27% 96%  
42 12% 69%  
43 10% 57% Last Result, Median
44 22% 47%  
45 7% 26%  
46 5% 19%  
47 11% 14%  
48 3% 3%  
49 0.2% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations