Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 6–11 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.0% 25.3–28.8% 24.8–29.3% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Venstre 23.4% 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.6–26.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.7–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 47–52 46–52 44–53 42–55
Venstre 43 41 39–45 39–46 38–46 35–49
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 12–17 12–18 11–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–17 11–17 11–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Alternativet 5 6 4–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 1.2% 99.4%  
44 0.9% 98%  
45 0.6% 97%  
46 2% 97%  
47 8% 94%  
48 16% 86% Last Result
49 24% 70% Median
50 28% 46%  
51 4% 18%  
52 9% 14%  
53 4% 5%  
54 0.2% 1.1%  
55 0.6% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.8%  
36 0.3% 99.4%  
37 1.4% 99.1%  
38 2% 98%  
39 6% 96%  
40 33% 89%  
41 10% 56% Median
42 8% 46%  
43 20% 39% Last Result
44 6% 18%  
45 5% 13%  
46 7% 8%  
47 0.2% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.9%  
49 0.4% 0.6%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 5% 99.2%  
14 25% 94%  
15 27% 69% Median
16 10% 42% Last Result
17 17% 33%  
18 7% 15%  
19 4% 9%  
20 4% 4%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 4% 98%  
13 14% 94%  
14 10% 79%  
15 29% 69% Median
16 26% 40% Last Result
17 11% 14%  
18 0.8% 3%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.7% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 4% 99.8%  
12 12% 96%  
13 10% 84%  
14 9% 74% Last Result
15 32% 65% Median
16 23% 33%  
17 3% 11%  
18 5% 8%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 18% 99.6%  
12 27% 81% Last Result
13 11% 55% Median
14 14% 44%  
15 9% 29%  
16 7% 20%  
17 11% 13%  
18 1.0% 1.3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 4% 98%  
11 26% 94%  
12 29% 69% Median
13 7% 40% Last Result
14 28% 33%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.4% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 15% 99.7%  
5 27% 85% Last Result
6 37% 58% Median
7 18% 21%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 40% 74% Median
5 15% 33%  
6 18% 18%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 46% 74% Last Result, Median
5 24% 28%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.7% 0.9%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 6% 7% Last Result
5 0.6% 0.9%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.5% 0.6%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 98% 93–100 91–102 90–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 92 76% 86–95 86–96 85–96 83–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 82 0.4% 78–85 76–88 76–89 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 79 0.1% 74–82 74–84 74–84 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 73–80 71–82 70–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 71–79 69–80 68–81 66–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 71–79 69–80 68–81 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 70–78 69–80 68–80 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 62–68 60–68 59–69 57–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 55–61 53–64 53–65 51–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 51–58 51–60 50–60 49–62
Venstre 43 41 0% 39–45 39–46 38–46 35–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 1.2% 99.7%  
90 2% 98% Majority
91 4% 97%  
92 2% 93%  
93 4% 91%  
94 4% 87%  
95 8% 83%  
96 20% 75% Last Result
97 7% 55% Median
98 4% 48%  
99 27% 44%  
100 9% 17%  
101 3% 8%  
102 2% 5%  
103 3% 4%  
104 0.3% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.8%  
84 1.1% 99.3%  
85 1.4% 98%  
86 8% 97%  
87 3% 89%  
88 8% 85%  
89 1.2% 77%  
90 20% 76% Majority
91 5% 56% Last Result, Median
92 5% 51%  
93 6% 46%  
94 25% 40%  
95 6% 14%  
96 6% 8%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.6% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.3%  
76 6% 98%  
77 1.2% 92%  
78 1.0% 91%  
79 3% 90%  
80 9% 87% Last Result
81 19% 79%  
82 15% 60% Median
83 18% 45%  
84 14% 27%  
85 5% 13%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 0.2% 7%  
88 4% 7%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.3%  
73 1.2% 99.1%  
74 10% 98%  
75 6% 88%  
76 3% 82%  
77 3% 79%  
78 11% 76% Last Result
79 21% 65% Median
80 13% 44%  
81 10% 31%  
82 12% 21%  
83 3% 9%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.6% 0.9%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 1.3% 99.3%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 4% 97%  
72 2% 92%  
73 6% 90%  
74 6% 84%  
75 24% 78% Last Result
76 4% 53% Median
77 8% 49%  
78 13% 42%  
79 15% 28%  
80 7% 13%  
81 0.5% 7%  
82 5% 6%  
83 0.1% 0.9%  
84 0.5% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0% 99.4%  
68 3% 99.3%  
69 3% 97%  
70 2% 93%  
71 5% 91%  
72 16% 87%  
73 16% 71% Median
74 6% 55%  
75 12% 48%  
76 18% 37%  
77 4% 18%  
78 4% 15%  
79 2% 11% Last Result
80 6% 9%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.4%  
68 3% 99.2%  
69 3% 96%  
70 2% 93%  
71 5% 91%  
72 16% 87%  
73 16% 71% Median
74 6% 55%  
75 12% 48%  
76 18% 36%  
77 4% 18%  
78 4% 14%  
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 6% 8%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 3% 98.8%  
69 4% 96%  
70 4% 92%  
71 6% 88%  
72 16% 82%  
73 16% 66% Median
74 4% 50%  
75 11% 46% Last Result
76 18% 35%  
77 3% 16%  
78 3% 13%  
79 2% 10%  
80 6% 8%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 1.2% 99.7%  
58 0.6% 98.6%  
59 0.8% 98%  
60 4% 97%  
61 2% 93%  
62 12% 91%  
63 10% 79%  
64 28% 69% Last Result, Median
65 14% 41%  
66 11% 27%  
67 5% 16%  
68 9% 11%  
69 1.4% 3%  
70 0.3% 1.1%  
71 0.1% 0.8%  
72 0.6% 0.7%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.5%  
52 0.5% 99.3%  
53 4% 98.8%  
54 1.5% 95%  
55 20% 93%  
56 0.9% 74%  
57 6% 73%  
58 16% 66% Median
59 17% 50% Last Result
60 13% 34%  
61 11% 21%  
62 2% 10%  
63 2% 8%  
64 1.4% 6%  
65 4% 5%  
66 1.2% 1.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 1.1% 99.6%  
50 1.2% 98.5%  
51 10% 97%  
52 1.5% 87%  
53 14% 86%  
54 3% 72% Median
55 31% 69% Last Result
56 9% 38%  
57 14% 28%  
58 7% 14%  
59 2% 8%  
60 4% 6%  
61 0.4% 2%  
62 1.4% 2%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.8%  
36 0.3% 99.4%  
37 1.4% 99.1%  
38 2% 98%  
39 6% 96%  
40 33% 89%  
41 10% 56% Median
42 8% 46%  
43 20% 39% Last Result
44 6% 18%  
45 5% 13%  
46 7% 8%  
47 0.2% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.9%  
49 0.4% 0.6%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations