Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 13–19 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 22.3% 20.7–24.0% 20.2–24.5% 19.8–24.9% 19.1–25.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 45–52 44–54 44–54 42–55
Venstre 43 41 38–43 38–44 37–45 33–46
Radikale Venstre 16 17 13–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–18 14–19 12–19 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 13–16 13–17 12–17 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–16 12–17 12–17 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–16 10–16 10–16 10–16
Alternativet 5 5 4–7 4–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.4% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.4%  
44 5% 98.8%  
45 6% 94%  
46 4% 88%  
47 8% 84%  
48 19% 76% Last Result
49 3% 57%  
50 23% 54% Median
51 5% 31%  
52 20% 27%  
53 0.2% 7%  
54 5% 6%  
55 0.7% 1.0%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.3%  
35 0.5% 99.2%  
36 0.8% 98.7%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 17% 97%  
39 13% 80%  
40 5% 67%  
41 34% 62% Median
42 7% 28%  
43 16% 21% Last Result
44 1.2% 5%  
45 2% 4%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 15% 99.2%  
14 17% 84%  
15 4% 67%  
16 11% 62% Last Result
17 25% 51% Median
18 19% 27%  
19 6% 8%  
20 1.0% 1.3%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 4% 99.9%  
13 1.1% 96%  
14 19% 95% Last Result
15 48% 77% Median
16 16% 29%  
17 3% 13%  
18 1.1% 10%  
19 9% 9%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.2%  
13 24% 96%  
14 28% 72% Median
15 23% 43%  
16 12% 20% Last Result
17 6% 8%  
18 0.8% 1.5%  
19 0.3% 0.6%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 11% 99.3% Last Result
13 23% 88%  
14 16% 65% Median
15 33% 49%  
16 10% 16%  
17 4% 6%  
18 0.7% 1.5%  
19 0.7% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 9% 99.8%  
11 5% 91%  
12 23% 86%  
13 20% 62% Last Result, Median
14 13% 42%  
15 10% 29%  
16 18% 18%  
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 16% 97%  
5 52% 81% Last Result, Median
6 13% 29%  
7 16% 16%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 50% 81% Last Result, Median
5 28% 31%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 40% 47% Last Result
5 6% 7%  
6 1.2% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 17% 28%  
5 10% 10%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 99 99.7% 96–101 93–103 92–103 90–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 94 93% 91–97 89–98 87–99 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0.4% 79–86 78–88 77–88 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 81 0.3% 77–83 76–84 76–86 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 74–81 74–84 72–84 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 72–78 69–80 69–82 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 72–78 69–80 69–82 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 69–76 69–79 69–79 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 61–68 58–68 58–70 58–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 55–62 55–63 54–64 52–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 51–58 51–59 51–60 49–63
Venstre 43 41 0% 38–43 38–44 37–45 33–46

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.7% Majority
91 0.5% 99.4%  
92 4% 98.9%  
93 0.6% 95%  
94 1.5% 94%  
95 3% 93%  
96 2% 90% Last Result
97 16% 88%  
98 11% 72%  
99 16% 60%  
100 1.5% 44% Median
101 36% 43%  
102 0.7% 6%  
103 4% 6%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.1% 1.2%  
106 0.9% 1.1%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.5% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.4%  
87 2% 99.3%  
88 2% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 2% 93% Majority
91 8% 91% Last Result
92 10% 83%  
93 10% 73%  
94 32% 63%  
95 1.1% 31% Median
96 17% 30%  
97 8% 13%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.5% 3%  
100 1.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 0.6%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.2% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 99.3%  
77 1.5% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 9% 94%  
80 7% 84% Last Result
81 2% 77%  
82 10% 75%  
83 15% 65% Median
84 25% 50%  
85 15% 26%  
86 1.3% 11%  
87 2% 9%  
88 6% 7%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.6% 99.1%  
76 4% 98%  
77 12% 94%  
78 4% 82% Last Result
79 5% 78%  
80 17% 73%  
81 18% 56%  
82 19% 38% Median
83 12% 19%  
84 3% 7%  
85 0.7% 4%  
86 3% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.9% 99.5%  
72 2% 98.6%  
73 0.3% 97%  
74 8% 97%  
75 10% 88% Last Result
76 16% 78%  
77 9% 62%  
78 4% 53% Median
79 23% 49%  
80 14% 26%  
81 5% 12%  
82 0.6% 7%  
83 0.4% 7%  
84 6% 6%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 6% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 93%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 6% 92%  
73 10% 87% Median
74 36% 77%  
75 3% 41%  
76 15% 38%  
77 6% 23%  
78 9% 18%  
79 3% 8% Last Result
80 2% 5%  
81 1.0% 3%  
82 0.4% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 6% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 93%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 6% 92%  
73 10% 87% Median
74 36% 77%  
75 3% 41%  
76 15% 38%  
77 6% 23%  
78 9% 18%  
79 3% 8% Last Result
80 2% 5%  
81 1.0% 3%  
82 0.4% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.2%  
68 1.1% 98.9%  
69 15% 98%  
70 17% 83%  
71 1.5% 66%  
72 6% 64%  
73 8% 58% Median
74 24% 50%  
75 4% 26% Last Result
76 15% 22%  
77 0.5% 8%  
78 2% 7%  
79 4% 5%  
80 0.6% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 6% 99.5%  
59 0.3% 94%  
60 3% 93%  
61 5% 90%  
62 2% 86%  
63 5% 84%  
64 6% 79% Last Result
65 19% 73%  
66 18% 54%  
67 12% 36% Median
68 21% 24%  
69 0.4% 3%  
70 1.1% 3%  
71 0.9% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.0%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0.8% 99.6%  
53 0.8% 98.7%  
54 0.9% 98%  
55 26% 97%  
56 7% 71%  
57 6% 65%  
58 9% 59%  
59 10% 50% Last Result, Median
60 2% 40%  
61 16% 37%  
62 16% 22%  
63 1.0% 6%  
64 4% 5%  
65 0.4% 0.7%  
66 0.3% 0.3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.8% 99.6%  
50 0.4% 98.8%  
51 22% 98%  
52 2% 76%  
53 5% 74%  
54 9% 70%  
55 16% 60% Last Result, Median
56 16% 44%  
57 5% 28%  
58 15% 23%  
59 4% 8%  
60 2% 4%  
61 0.6% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.3%  
63 0.4% 0.5%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.3%  
35 0.5% 99.2%  
36 0.8% 98.7%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 17% 97%  
39 13% 80%  
40 5% 67%  
41 34% 62% Median
42 7% 28%  
43 16% 21% Last Result
44 1.2% 5%  
45 2% 4%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations