Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 20–26 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.8% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.2–30.7% 24.4–31.6%
Venstre 23.4% 22.6% 21.0–24.3% 20.5–24.8% 20.1–25.3% 19.4–26.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 50–54 48–54 46–54 44–56
Venstre 43 41 39–42 39–43 39–44 37–45
Radikale Venstre 16 18 16–18 16–18 15–18 13–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–17 14–17 14–17 12–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 13–15 13–15 13–16 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 13–15 13–15 11–15 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–15 12–15 12–15 10–15
Alternativet 5 5 0–5 0–7 0–7 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 4 4 4–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 98.9%  
46 1.2% 98.7%  
47 2% 97%  
48 1.4% 96% Last Result
49 1.0% 94%  
50 76% 93% Median
51 1.0% 17%  
52 0.9% 16%  
53 2% 15%  
54 13% 13%  
55 0.1% 0.8%  
56 0.5% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.4%  
39 14% 99.0%  
40 2% 85%  
41 72% 84% Median
42 7% 12%  
43 1.2% 5% Last Result
44 2% 4%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 0.5% 99.1%  
15 2% 98.6%  
16 21% 97% Last Result
17 5% 76%  
18 71% 71% Median
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.9%  
13 0.5% 99.3%  
14 81% 98.8% Last Result, Median
15 2% 18%  
16 0.9% 16%  
17 14% 15%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.3%  
13 14% 98%  
14 2% 84%  
15 78% 82% Median
16 3% 4% Last Result
17 0.4% 1.1%  
18 0.4% 0.8%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.4% 100%  
11 3% 98.6%  
12 0.4% 96% Last Result
13 71% 95% Median
14 9% 24%  
15 13% 15%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.6%  
18 0% 0.3%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.3%  
12 4% 98.6%  
13 20% 95% Last Result
14 3% 75%  
15 71% 71% Median
16 0.2% 0.5%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 3% 87%  
5 76% 84% Last Result, Median
6 1.3% 8%  
7 7% 7%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 91% 97% Median
5 5% 6%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 12% 18% Last Result
5 5% 6%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 102 100% 100–102 96–102 95–102 90–107
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 97 98.6% 93–100 91–100 91–100 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 82 0.4% 80–87 78–87 77–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0.4% 84 80–84 78–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 77–84 76–84 74–84 73–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 69 0% 69–71 69–74 68–77 65–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 69 0% 69–71 69–74 68–77 65–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 67–71 67–72 67–74 64–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 66–70 64–70 62–70 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 54–56 54–57 53–59 50–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 54–56 53–56 53–57 50–60
Venstre 43 41 0% 39–42 39–43 39–44 37–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 1.0% 100% Majority
91 0.1% 99.0%  
92 0.3% 98.9%  
93 0.6% 98.6%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 2% 98%  
96 2% 96% Last Result
97 0.2% 94%  
98 1.0% 94%  
99 0.5% 93%  
100 18% 93%  
101 2% 75%  
102 71% 73% Median
103 0.2% 2%  
104 0.1% 2%  
105 0.9% 2%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0.3% 0.7%  
108 0.4% 0.4%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.4% 99.7%  
89 0.7% 99.3%  
90 1.0% 98.6% Majority
91 3% 98% Last Result
92 0.3% 95%  
93 6% 94%  
94 0.6% 88%  
95 0.5% 87%  
96 2% 87%  
97 71% 85% Median
98 1.3% 14%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 12% 12%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.4% 0.4%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 1.1% 99.7%  
77 2% 98.6%  
78 2% 97% Last Result
79 1.1% 95%  
80 6% 94%  
81 1.0% 88%  
82 70% 87% Median
83 0.4% 17%  
84 2% 16%  
85 2% 14%  
86 0.1% 12%  
87 12% 12%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.4%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 0.1% 99.0%  
77 0.1% 98.9%  
78 2% 98.7%  
79 0.5% 97%  
80 2% 96% Last Result
81 0.6% 94%  
82 0.3% 94%  
83 0.9% 93%  
84 89% 93% Median
85 0.6% 4%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.6%  
74 3% 99.4%  
75 2% 97% Last Result
76 0.9% 95%  
77 6% 94%  
78 0.8% 88%  
79 72% 87% Median
80 0.7% 15%  
81 2% 15%  
82 0.3% 13%  
83 0.2% 12%  
84 12% 12%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 99.5%  
66 0.7% 99.5%  
67 0.2% 98.7%  
68 2% 98.5%  
69 70% 97% Median
70 0.4% 27%  
71 17% 26%  
72 0.4% 9%  
73 0.8% 9%  
74 3% 8%  
75 2% 5%  
76 0.4% 3%  
77 0.7% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
80 0% 1.0%  
81 0.9% 1.0%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 99.5%  
66 0.7% 99.5%  
67 0.2% 98.7%  
68 2% 98.5%  
69 70% 97% Median
70 0.4% 27%  
71 17% 26%  
72 0.4% 9%  
73 0.8% 9%  
74 3% 8%  
75 2% 5%  
76 0.4% 3%  
77 0.7% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
80 0% 1.0%  
81 0.9% 1.0%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.4% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 0.1% 99.3%  
66 0.8% 99.1%  
67 12% 98%  
68 2% 86%  
69 72% 84% Median
70 2% 13%  
71 6% 11%  
72 0.8% 5%  
73 0.7% 4%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.5% 2% Last Result
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 1.1% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 98.7%  
62 2% 98.6%  
63 0.7% 97%  
64 2% 96% Last Result
65 0.4% 94%  
66 6% 93%  
67 0.9% 87%  
68 71% 86% Median
69 0.2% 15%  
70 14% 15%  
71 0.1% 0.9%  
72 0.3% 0.8%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0% 0.4%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.4%  
52 0.4% 99.3%  
53 2% 98.8%  
54 82% 97% Median
55 0.8% 15%  
56 8% 14%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.7% 3% Last Result
60 1.1% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.4% 0.5%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.7% 99.7%  
51 0.2% 99.0%  
52 0.4% 98.8%  
53 3% 98%  
54 82% 95% Median
55 0.8% 13% Last Result
56 9% 12%  
57 0.7% 3%  
58 1.3% 2%  
59 0.5% 1.0%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.4%  
39 14% 99.0%  
40 2% 85%  
41 72% 84% Median
42 7% 12%  
43 1.2% 5% Last Result
44 2% 4%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations