Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 27 January–2 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.8% 19.0–25.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 45–54 45–55 44–55 43–56
Venstre 43 39 36–44 36–44 36–44 34–47
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–18 14–19 13–19 13–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 13–18 13–18 12–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 12–15 11–16 10–16 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.9%  
43 0.7% 99.5%  
44 4% 98.8%  
45 21% 95%  
46 4% 74%  
47 6% 70%  
48 4% 64% Last Result
49 14% 61% Median
50 6% 47%  
51 4% 41%  
52 19% 36%  
53 0.7% 17%  
54 12% 17%  
55 5% 5%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.4% 99.8%  
35 1.4% 99.5%  
36 13% 98%  
37 8% 85%  
38 21% 77%  
39 6% 56% Median
40 17% 49%  
41 6% 33%  
42 3% 27%  
43 1.2% 24% Last Result
44 21% 22%  
45 0.6% 1.4%  
46 0.3% 0.9%  
47 0.5% 0.6%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 3% 99.7%  
14 20% 97%  
15 28% 77% Median
16 8% 49% Last Result
17 13% 41%  
18 22% 28%  
19 4% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.7%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 2% 98%  
13 6% 95%  
14 15% 90%  
15 29% 74% Median
16 31% 46% Last Result
17 4% 15%  
18 10% 10%  
19 0.4% 0.7%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.7%  
12 9% 98.8%  
13 5% 90%  
14 7% 84% Last Result
15 31% 77% Median
16 26% 46%  
17 13% 20%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 4% 99.7%  
11 3% 96%  
12 40% 93% Last Result
13 4% 53% Median
14 35% 49%  
15 8% 14%  
16 4% 5%  
17 1.3% 1.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.6% 99.9%  
10 8% 99.4%  
11 4% 91%  
12 29% 87%  
13 20% 58% Last Result, Median
14 31% 38%  
15 5% 6%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 26% 95% Last Result
5 16% 69%  
6 48% 53% Median
7 5% 5%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0.1% 74%  
4 33% 74% Median
5 30% 41% Last Result
6 10% 11%  
7 0.9% 1.0%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 60% 73% Last Result, Median
5 8% 14%  
6 4% 5%  
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 32% 41%  
5 7% 8%  
6 1.2% 1.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 98% 92–107 92–107 91–107 89–107
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 93 74% 88–102 88–102 87–102 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.2% 77–89 77–89 75–89 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 80 0.4% 76–89 76–89 75–89 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 73–84 72–84 72–84 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 68–83 68–83 68–83 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 68–83 68–83 68–83 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 64–77 64–77 64–77 64–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 60–72 60–72 60–73 57–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 48–62 48–62 48–62 48–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 48–58 48–58 48–58 47–60
Venstre 43 39 0% 36–44 36–44 36–44 34–47

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 2% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 98% Majority
91 1.2% 98%  
92 20% 97%  
93 5% 76%  
94 2% 72%  
95 19% 70%  
96 7% 50% Last Result, Median
97 10% 43%  
98 5% 34%  
99 5% 29%  
100 2% 24%  
101 8% 21%  
102 0.8% 13%  
103 0.2% 12%  
104 0.6% 12%  
105 0.6% 12%  
106 0.2% 11%  
107 11% 11%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0.5% 99.6%  
87 3% 99.1%  
88 21% 97%  
89 2% 76%  
90 7% 74% Majority
91 2% 67% Last Result
92 10% 64% Median
93 8% 55%  
94 4% 47%  
95 19% 43%  
96 2% 23%  
97 6% 22%  
98 1.2% 15%  
99 0.8% 14%  
100 1.2% 13%  
101 1.1% 12%  
102 11% 11%  
103 0.2% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0.3% 0.3%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 2% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 98%  
74 0.3% 98%  
75 0.5% 98%  
76 0.7% 97%  
77 22% 97%  
78 7% 75%  
79 3% 68%  
80 13% 65% Last Result
81 23% 52% Median
82 3% 29%  
83 9% 26%  
84 3% 17%  
85 2% 14%  
86 0.5% 12%  
87 0.5% 12%  
88 0.2% 11%  
89 11% 11%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.7% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.1%  
75 3% 98.9%  
76 24% 96%  
77 4% 73%  
78 9% 68% Last Result
79 4% 59% Median
80 5% 54%  
81 22% 49%  
82 2% 28%  
83 3% 26%  
84 3% 22%  
85 0.5% 19%  
86 1.5% 19%  
87 6% 17%  
88 0.2% 11%  
89 11% 11%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.3% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.3% 99.2%  
72 6% 98.9%  
73 21% 93%  
74 5% 72%  
75 10% 68% Last Result
76 4% 57%  
77 5% 53% Median
78 8% 48%  
79 7% 40%  
80 1.3% 33%  
81 18% 31%  
82 0.4% 13%  
83 0.3% 13%  
84 12% 13%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 11% 99.6%  
69 0.7% 89%  
70 6% 88%  
71 2% 82%  
72 1.1% 80%  
73 4% 79%  
74 4% 75%  
75 6% 71%  
76 20% 65%  
77 4% 44% Median
78 11% 40%  
79 4% 29% Last Result
80 1.2% 25%  
81 1.4% 24%  
82 2% 23%  
83 20% 21%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 11% 99.6%  
69 0.7% 89%  
70 6% 88%  
71 2% 82%  
72 1.1% 80%  
73 4% 79%  
74 4% 75%  
75 6% 71%  
76 20% 65%  
77 4% 44% Median
78 11% 40%  
79 4% 29% Last Result
80 1.2% 25%  
81 1.4% 24%  
82 2% 23%  
83 20% 21%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 11% 99.6%  
65 6% 89%  
66 3% 83%  
67 0.7% 80%  
68 2% 79%  
69 4% 76%  
70 21% 72%  
71 7% 52% Median
72 3% 45%  
73 6% 42%  
74 9% 36%  
75 3% 27% Last Result
76 1.3% 23%  
77 21% 22%  
78 0.3% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.5%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.5%  
59 0.6% 99.2%  
60 21% 98.6%  
61 2% 78%  
62 7% 76%  
63 4% 69%  
64 4% 65% Last Result, Median
65 8% 61%  
66 27% 54%  
67 3% 26%  
68 1.3% 23%  
69 4% 22%  
70 1.1% 18%  
71 1.2% 17%  
72 11% 15%  
73 4% 5%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.3%  
76 0.3% 0.3%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 11% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 89%  
50 0.5% 89%  
51 6% 88%  
52 2% 82%  
53 5% 81%  
54 22% 76%  
55 1.1% 54%  
56 12% 53% Median
57 4% 41%  
58 3% 37%  
59 8% 34% Last Result
60 4% 26%  
61 0.7% 23%  
62 21% 22%  
63 1.0% 1.3%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 12% 99.2%  
49 5% 88%  
50 18% 83%  
51 8% 65%  
52 14% 57% Median
53 3% 43%  
54 7% 40%  
55 7% 33% Last Result
56 0.6% 26%  
57 3% 26%  
58 21% 23%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.5% 0.7%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.4% 99.8%  
35 1.4% 99.5%  
36 13% 98%  
37 8% 85%  
38 21% 77%  
39 6% 56% Median
40 17% 49%  
41 6% 33%  
42 3% 27%  
43 1.2% 24% Last Result
44 21% 22%  
45 0.6% 1.4%  
46 0.3% 0.9%  
47 0.5% 0.6%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations