Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 27 January–2 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
25.9% |
27.2% |
25.5–29.1% |
25.0–29.6% |
24.6–30.0% |
23.8–30.9% |
Venstre |
23.4% |
22.1% |
20.5–23.9% |
20.1–24.4% |
19.7–24.8% |
19.0–25.7% |
Radikale Venstre |
8.6% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
8.7% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
7.7% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
6.6% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
6.9% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.5–8.7% |
5.1–9.2% |
Nye Borgerlige |
2.4% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Alternativet |
3.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.4–4.0% |
Liberal Alliance |
2.3% |
2.2% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Stram Kurs |
1.8% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.2% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.8% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
45 |
21% |
95% |
|
46 |
4% |
74% |
|
47 |
6% |
70% |
|
48 |
4% |
64% |
Last Result |
49 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
50 |
6% |
47% |
|
51 |
4% |
41% |
|
52 |
19% |
36% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
17% |
|
54 |
12% |
17% |
|
55 |
5% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
13% |
98% |
|
37 |
8% |
85% |
|
38 |
21% |
77% |
|
39 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
40 |
17% |
49% |
|
41 |
6% |
33% |
|
42 |
3% |
27% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
24% |
Last Result |
44 |
21% |
22% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
20% |
97% |
|
15 |
28% |
77% |
Median |
16 |
8% |
49% |
Last Result |
17 |
13% |
41% |
|
18 |
22% |
28% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
98% |
|
13 |
6% |
95% |
|
14 |
15% |
90% |
|
15 |
29% |
74% |
Median |
16 |
31% |
46% |
Last Result |
17 |
4% |
15% |
|
18 |
10% |
10% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
9% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
5% |
90% |
|
14 |
7% |
84% |
Last Result |
15 |
31% |
77% |
Median |
16 |
26% |
46% |
|
17 |
13% |
20% |
|
18 |
4% |
6% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
3% |
96% |
|
12 |
40% |
93% |
Last Result |
13 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
14 |
35% |
49% |
|
15 |
8% |
14% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
4% |
91% |
|
12 |
29% |
87% |
|
13 |
20% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
31% |
38% |
|
15 |
5% |
6% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
95% |
|
2 |
0% |
95% |
|
3 |
0% |
95% |
|
4 |
26% |
95% |
Last Result |
5 |
16% |
69% |
|
6 |
48% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
5% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
26% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
74% |
|
2 |
0% |
74% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
4 |
33% |
74% |
Median |
5 |
30% |
41% |
Last Result |
6 |
10% |
11% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
27% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
73% |
|
2 |
0% |
73% |
|
3 |
0% |
73% |
|
4 |
60% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
8% |
14% |
|
6 |
4% |
5% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
59% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
41% |
|
2 |
0% |
41% |
|
3 |
0% |
41% |
|
4 |
32% |
41% |
|
5 |
7% |
8% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
96 |
96 |
98% |
92–107 |
92–107 |
91–107 |
89–107 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
91 |
93 |
74% |
88–102 |
88–102 |
87–102 |
86–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
80 |
81 |
0.2% |
77–89 |
77–89 |
75–89 |
72–89 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
78 |
80 |
0.4% |
76–89 |
76–89 |
75–89 |
73–89 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
75 |
77 |
0% |
73–84 |
72–84 |
72–84 |
70–85 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
79 |
76 |
0% |
68–83 |
68–83 |
68–83 |
68–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
79 |
76 |
0% |
68–83 |
68–83 |
68–83 |
68–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
75 |
71 |
0% |
64–77 |
64–77 |
64–77 |
64–78 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
64 |
66 |
0% |
60–72 |
60–72 |
60–73 |
57–74 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
59 |
56 |
0% |
48–62 |
48–62 |
48–62 |
48–63 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
55 |
52 |
0% |
48–58 |
48–58 |
48–58 |
47–60 |
Venstre |
43 |
39 |
0% |
36–44 |
36–44 |
36–44 |
34–47 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
98% |
Majority |
91 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
92 |
20% |
97% |
|
93 |
5% |
76% |
|
94 |
2% |
72% |
|
95 |
19% |
70% |
|
96 |
7% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
97 |
10% |
43% |
|
98 |
5% |
34% |
|
99 |
5% |
29% |
|
100 |
2% |
24% |
|
101 |
8% |
21% |
|
102 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
107 |
11% |
11% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
86 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
88 |
21% |
97% |
|
89 |
2% |
76% |
|
90 |
7% |
74% |
Majority |
91 |
2% |
67% |
Last Result |
92 |
10% |
64% |
Median |
93 |
8% |
55% |
|
94 |
4% |
47% |
|
95 |
19% |
43% |
|
96 |
2% |
23% |
|
97 |
6% |
22% |
|
98 |
1.2% |
15% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
100 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
101 |
1.1% |
12% |
|
102 |
11% |
11% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
77 |
22% |
97% |
|
78 |
7% |
75% |
|
79 |
3% |
68% |
|
80 |
13% |
65% |
Last Result |
81 |
23% |
52% |
Median |
82 |
3% |
29% |
|
83 |
9% |
26% |
|
84 |
3% |
17% |
|
85 |
2% |
14% |
|
86 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
89 |
11% |
11% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.2% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
76 |
24% |
96% |
|
77 |
4% |
73% |
|
78 |
9% |
68% |
Last Result |
79 |
4% |
59% |
Median |
80 |
5% |
54% |
|
81 |
22% |
49% |
|
82 |
2% |
28% |
|
83 |
3% |
26% |
|
84 |
3% |
22% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
19% |
|
86 |
1.5% |
19% |
|
87 |
6% |
17% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
89 |
11% |
11% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
73 |
21% |
93% |
|
74 |
5% |
72% |
|
75 |
10% |
68% |
Last Result |
76 |
4% |
57% |
|
77 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
78 |
8% |
48% |
|
79 |
7% |
40% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
33% |
|
81 |
18% |
31% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
13% |
|
84 |
12% |
13% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
70 |
6% |
88% |
|
71 |
2% |
82% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
73 |
4% |
79% |
|
74 |
4% |
75% |
|
75 |
6% |
71% |
|
76 |
20% |
65% |
|
77 |
4% |
44% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
40% |
|
79 |
4% |
29% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
24% |
|
82 |
2% |
23% |
|
83 |
20% |
21% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
70 |
6% |
88% |
|
71 |
2% |
82% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
73 |
4% |
79% |
|
74 |
4% |
75% |
|
75 |
6% |
71% |
|
76 |
20% |
65% |
|
77 |
4% |
44% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
40% |
|
79 |
4% |
29% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
24% |
|
82 |
2% |
23% |
|
83 |
20% |
21% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
6% |
89% |
|
66 |
3% |
83% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
80% |
|
68 |
2% |
79% |
|
69 |
4% |
76% |
|
70 |
21% |
72% |
|
71 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
72 |
3% |
45% |
|
73 |
6% |
42% |
|
74 |
9% |
36% |
|
75 |
3% |
27% |
Last Result |
76 |
1.3% |
23% |
|
77 |
21% |
22% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
21% |
98.6% |
|
61 |
2% |
78% |
|
62 |
7% |
76% |
|
63 |
4% |
69% |
|
64 |
4% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
65 |
8% |
61% |
|
66 |
27% |
54% |
|
67 |
3% |
26% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
23% |
|
69 |
4% |
22% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
17% |
|
72 |
11% |
15% |
|
73 |
4% |
5% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
11% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
51 |
6% |
88% |
|
52 |
2% |
82% |
|
53 |
5% |
81% |
|
54 |
22% |
76% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
54% |
|
56 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
57 |
4% |
41% |
|
58 |
3% |
37% |
|
59 |
8% |
34% |
Last Result |
60 |
4% |
26% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
23% |
|
62 |
21% |
22% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
12% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
5% |
88% |
|
50 |
18% |
83% |
|
51 |
8% |
65% |
|
52 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
53 |
3% |
43% |
|
54 |
7% |
40% |
|
55 |
7% |
33% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
57 |
3% |
26% |
|
58 |
21% |
23% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
13% |
98% |
|
37 |
8% |
85% |
|
38 |
21% |
77% |
|
39 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
40 |
17% |
49% |
|
41 |
6% |
33% |
|
42 |
3% |
27% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
24% |
Last Result |
44 |
21% |
22% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 27 January–2 February 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1025
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.89%