Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 3–8 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.4% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.8% 25.8–31.2% 25.0–32.1%
Venstre 23.4% 23.9% 22.2–25.6% 21.8–26.1% 21.4–26.5% 20.6–27.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.3–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 48–56 46–56 46–57 44–61
Venstre 43 42 41–47 39–48 38–48 38–50
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–17 12–17 12–17 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 9–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.5%  
46 5% 98.6%  
47 0.7% 93%  
48 8% 93% Last Result
49 26% 85%  
50 3% 59%  
51 4% 56%  
52 3% 52% Median
53 19% 49%  
54 14% 30%  
55 5% 15%  
56 7% 10%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.4% 1.2%  
59 0.1% 0.7%  
60 0.1% 0.7%  
61 0.3% 0.5%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 3% 99.7%  
39 4% 97%  
40 2% 93%  
41 30% 90%  
42 16% 60% Median
43 17% 43% Last Result
44 4% 27%  
45 6% 22%  
46 3% 16%  
47 7% 13%  
48 4% 5%  
49 0.4% 1.3%  
50 0.8% 0.9%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 4% 98%  
14 12% 94%  
15 14% 83%  
16 23% 68% Last Result, Median
17 42% 45%  
18 1.5% 3%  
19 0.8% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 18% 99.5%  
13 14% 82%  
14 49% 68% Last Result, Median
15 8% 19%  
16 4% 10%  
17 3% 7%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.8%  
12 20% 99.5%  
13 28% 80%  
14 22% 52% Median
15 5% 30%  
16 3% 25% Last Result
17 21% 22%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.0%  
11 25% 98.6%  
12 12% 73%  
13 22% 61% Last Result, Median
14 29% 40%  
15 6% 11%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.1% 1.4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.5%  
11 19% 98%  
12 16% 78% Last Result
13 43% 62% Median
14 7% 18%  
15 8% 12%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 0% 65%  
2 0% 65%  
3 0% 65%  
4 13% 65% Last Result
5 49% 53% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0.3% 0.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0.4% 55%  
4 45% 54% Median
5 8% 9% Last Result
6 1.3% 1.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 42% 47%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 29% 32% Last Result
5 2% 3%  
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 95% 91–102 90–102 87–103 87–107
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 94% 91–98 89–98 87–100 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 1.3% 75–86 75–88 72–89 72–92
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 82 0.7% 77–84 75–85 75–86 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0.3% 74–83 73–84 72–85 72–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 72–78 69–80 69–81 68–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 72–78 69–80 69–81 68–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 67–76 67–78 67–78 64–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 64–70 61–71 61–72 60–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 53–61 53–64 52–66 51–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 53–60 52–61 52–62 50–62
Venstre 43 42 0% 41–47 39–48 38–48 38–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 3% 100%  
88 0.5% 97%  
89 0.8% 96%  
90 0.5% 95% Majority
91 7% 95%  
92 0.9% 88%  
93 3% 87%  
94 3% 84%  
95 26% 81%  
96 3% 55% Last Result
97 9% 52%  
98 17% 43%  
99 12% 27% Median
100 3% 15%  
101 0.6% 12%  
102 9% 12%  
103 1.0% 3%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.6% 2%  
106 0.3% 1.0%  
107 0.4% 0.7%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.3% 99.9%  
87 4% 99.6%  
88 0.8% 96%  
89 1.3% 95%  
90 0.9% 94% Majority
91 32% 93% Last Result
92 0.6% 62%  
93 5% 61%  
94 4% 56%  
95 12% 52% Median
96 6% 40%  
97 11% 35%  
98 19% 23%  
99 1.2% 4%  
100 0.8% 3%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.7% 1.4%  
103 0.1% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0% 0.4%  
106 0.3% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 4% 99.9%  
73 0% 96%  
74 0.6% 96%  
75 8% 95%  
76 0.4% 87%  
77 1.3% 87%  
78 24% 86%  
79 2% 61%  
80 5% 59% Last Result
81 16% 54%  
82 5% 38%  
83 15% 33% Median
84 3% 18%  
85 5% 15%  
86 2% 10%  
87 2% 8%  
88 4% 6%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 0.6% 1.3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.7%  
92 0.7% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 5% 99.5%  
76 1.1% 95%  
77 8% 93%  
78 2% 85% Last Result
79 3% 83%  
80 26% 80%  
81 3% 54%  
82 13% 51% Median
83 6% 38%  
84 25% 33%  
85 5% 8%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.7% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 4% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 95%  
74 24% 94%  
75 9% 71% Last Result
76 1.1% 62%  
77 1.2% 60%  
78 2% 59%  
79 13% 57% Median
80 6% 44%  
81 20% 38%  
82 5% 18%  
83 6% 13%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.2% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.4%  
88 0.8% 1.2%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 2% 99.5%  
69 5% 98%  
70 0.9% 93%  
71 0.6% 92%  
72 40% 91%  
73 8% 51%  
74 1.4% 43% Median
75 5% 41%  
76 19% 36%  
77 1.4% 18%  
78 6% 16%  
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.9% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 2% 99.5%  
69 5% 98%  
70 0.9% 93%  
71 0.6% 92%  
72 40% 91%  
73 8% 51%  
74 1.4% 43% Median
75 5% 41%  
76 19% 36%  
77 1.4% 18%  
78 6% 16%  
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.9% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 1.3% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 98.5%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 38% 98%  
68 3% 59%  
69 7% 56% Median
70 2% 49%  
71 0.9% 47%  
72 10% 46%  
73 6% 36%  
74 4% 30%  
75 6% 26% Last Result
76 13% 20%  
77 0.9% 7%  
78 4% 6%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0.9% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.7% 99.8%  
61 4% 99.1%  
62 2% 95%  
63 3% 93%  
64 10% 90% Last Result
65 1.3% 81%  
66 27% 80%  
67 4% 53%  
68 5% 49% Median
69 3% 44%  
70 35% 42%  
71 2% 7%  
72 3% 4%  
73 0.2% 1.3%  
74 0.1% 1.1%  
75 0.4% 1.0%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0% 0.3%  
78 0.3% 0.3%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.7%  
52 3% 99.3%  
53 15% 96%  
54 26% 82%  
55 4% 56% Median
56 3% 52%  
57 7% 49%  
58 8% 42%  
59 12% 35% Last Result
60 10% 23%  
61 5% 13%  
62 2% 8%  
63 0.5% 6%  
64 0.9% 5%  
65 1.3% 5%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.5%  
52 4% 98%  
53 19% 93%  
54 30% 75%  
55 13% 45% Last Result, Median
56 4% 32%  
57 5% 28%  
58 5% 23%  
59 2% 17%  
60 8% 16%  
61 3% 8%  
62 4% 4%  
63 0.1% 0.5%  
64 0.2% 0.4%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 3% 99.7%  
39 4% 97%  
40 2% 93%  
41 30% 90%  
42 16% 60% Median
43 17% 43% Last Result
44 4% 27%  
45 6% 22%  
46 3% 16%  
47 7% 13%  
48 4% 5%  
49 0.4% 1.3%  
50 0.8% 0.9%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations