Opinion Poll by Gallup, 7–13 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.4% 25.0–27.9% 24.6–28.3% 24.2–28.7% 23.6–29.4%
Venstre 23.4% 22.4% 21.1–23.8% 20.7–24.2% 20.4–24.6% 19.7–25.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.4–9.3% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.6–10.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.1% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.4–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.4% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.8–9.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.5–6.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.7–2.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 46–51 45–51 44–51 42–53
Venstre 43 40 39–41 39–43 37–43 37–43
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 13–16 13–18 13–18 12–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–16 13–16 11–17 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–15 12–15 12–15 12–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 11 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 8–10 8–11 7–11
Alternativet 5 6 6–7 5–7 5–7 5–8
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 2% 100%  
43 0.3% 98%  
44 1.0% 98%  
45 5% 97%  
46 6% 92%  
47 7% 85%  
48 6% 78% Last Result
49 2% 72%  
50 10% 71%  
51 60% 61% Median
52 0.3% 1.3%  
53 1.0% 1.0%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 2% 99.6%  
38 2% 97%  
39 11% 96%  
40 71% 85% Median
41 7% 14%  
42 0.4% 8%  
43 7% 7% Last Result
44 0% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.5% 100%  
13 13% 99.4%  
14 70% 86% Median
15 4% 16%  
16 4% 12% Last Result
17 2% 8%  
18 6% 6%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.0% 100%  
12 6% 99.0% Last Result
13 9% 93%  
14 63% 84% Median
15 11% 21%  
16 7% 10%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.9% 1.1%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 4% 100%  
12 0.9% 96%  
13 8% 95%  
14 5% 87% Last Result
15 11% 82%  
16 69% 72% Median
17 2% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.7%  
19 0.6% 0.6%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.8%  
12 9% 99.6%  
13 12% 91%  
14 10% 79%  
15 68% 69% Median
16 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 64% 98% Median
12 14% 35%  
13 16% 21% Last Result
14 4% 5%  
15 0.8% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 69% 98% Median
9 21% 29%  
10 5% 8%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 9% 99.8% Last Result
6 66% 90% Median
7 23% 25%  
8 1.4% 2%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 10% 14% Last Result
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 12% 12%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 99 98% 92–99 92–99 90–99 88–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 93 73% 85–93 85–93 83–93 82–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0% 79–84 79–84 77–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 76–83 76–83 76–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 76–83 76–83 76–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 76–83 76–83 76–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 76–83 74–83 74–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 76–83 74–83 74–85 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0% 72–82 72–82 71–82 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 72–78 72–78 70–78 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 68–74 68–75 68–76 66–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 67–74 65–75 65–76 65–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 60–66 58–66 58–66 54–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 53–60 52–61 52–61 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 53–56 52–56 52–57 51–59
Venstre 43 40 0% 39–41 39–43 37–43 37–43

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 2% 100%  
89 0.6% 98%  
90 0.5% 98% Majority
91 0.9% 97%  
92 13% 96%  
93 0.1% 83%  
94 2% 83%  
95 9% 82%  
96 1.0% 73% Last Result
97 9% 72%  
98 2% 63%  
99 60% 61% Median
100 0.1% 1.0%  
101 0.9% 0.9%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 1.4% 99.8%  
83 1.0% 98%  
84 0.3% 97%  
85 8% 97%  
86 0.7% 89%  
87 5% 88%  
88 7% 83%  
89 3% 76%  
90 10% 73% Majority
91 0.7% 63% Last Result
92 1.3% 62%  
93 60% 61% Median
94 0.1% 1.0%  
95 0% 0.9%  
96 0.9% 0.9%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 1.5% 99.0%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 0.4% 97%  
79 9% 96%  
80 7% 88% Last Result
81 6% 81%  
82 8% 74%  
83 2% 66%  
84 61% 65% Median
85 3% 4%  
86 0.2% 1.2%  
87 1.0% 1.0%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 60% 99.0% Median
77 2% 39%  
78 9% 37%  
79 1.0% 28% Last Result
80 9% 27%  
81 2% 18%  
82 0.1% 17%  
83 13% 17%  
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 60% 99.0% Median
77 2% 39%  
78 9% 37%  
79 1.0% 28% Last Result
80 9% 27%  
81 2% 18%  
82 0.1% 17%  
83 13% 17%  
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 60% 99.0% Median
77 2% 39%  
78 9% 37%  
79 1.0% 28% Last Result
80 9% 27%  
81 2% 18%  
82 0.1% 17%  
83 13% 17%  
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 7% 100%  
75 0.1% 93%  
76 65% 93% Median
77 2% 27%  
78 3% 25%  
79 1.0% 23% Last Result
80 3% 22%  
81 2% 18%  
82 0.1% 17%  
83 13% 16%  
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 7% 100%  
75 0.1% 93%  
76 65% 93% Median
77 2% 27%  
78 3% 25%  
79 1.0% 23% Last Result
80 3% 22%  
81 2% 18%  
82 0.1% 17%  
83 13% 16%  
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.9% 100%  
70 0.5% 99.1%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 8% 97%  
73 0.2% 89%  
74 0.8% 89%  
75 6% 88%  
76 7% 82%  
77 8% 75%  
78 3% 67% Last Result
79 4% 64%  
80 0.3% 61%  
81 0.1% 60%  
82 60% 60% Median
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 1.5% 99.9%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 0.3% 97%  
72 8% 97%  
73 0.7% 89%  
74 8% 88%  
75 12% 80% Last Result
76 3% 68%  
77 2% 65%  
78 62% 64% Median
79 0.3% 1.4%  
80 0.1% 1.1%  
81 0.1% 1.0%  
82 0.9% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 1.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 98.8%  
68 60% 98.8% Median
69 10% 38%  
70 2% 28%  
71 6% 26%  
72 3% 20%  
73 5% 17%  
74 5% 12%  
75 4% 8% Last Result
76 1.2% 3%  
77 0.6% 2%  
78 1.3% 1.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 6% 100%  
66 1.1% 94%  
67 5% 93%  
68 61% 88% Median
69 4% 27%  
70 2% 23%  
71 0.9% 21%  
72 3% 20%  
73 5% 17%  
74 5% 12%  
75 4% 7% Last Result
76 1.2% 3%  
77 0.6% 2%  
78 1.3% 1.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.9% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.1%  
56 1.1% 98.8%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 4% 98%  
59 2% 93%  
60 6% 91%  
61 5% 85%  
62 14% 80%  
63 3% 66%  
64 0.5% 62% Last Result
65 1.4% 62%  
66 60% 61% Median
67 0.9% 1.0%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.5% 100%  
52 7% 99.4%  
53 3% 92%  
54 67% 89% Median
55 4% 22%  
56 1.0% 18%  
57 3% 17%  
58 1.1% 14%  
59 2% 12% Last Result
60 5% 11%  
61 4% 6%  
62 1.1% 2%  
63 0.5% 0.5%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.8%  
52 7% 99.3%  
53 5% 92%  
54 68% 87% Median
55 6% 19% Last Result
56 9% 13%  
57 2% 4%  
58 1.5% 2%  
59 0.7% 0.9%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 2% 99.6%  
38 2% 97%  
39 11% 96%  
40 71% 85% Median
41 7% 14%  
42 0.4% 8%  
43 7% 7% Last Result
44 0% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations