Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 10–16 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
Venstre 23.4% 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.3–26.7% 21.9–27.2% 21.1–28.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 49–58 48–58 48–58 45–58
Venstre 43 45 43–48 41–48 40–50 39–51
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 13–18 13–18 13–18 12–21
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–17 12–18 12–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 11–16 11–16 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 12–17 11–17 11–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–16 12–17 11–17 11–17
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.4% 99.5%  
46 0.2% 99.1%  
47 1.1% 98.9%  
48 3% 98% Last Result
49 11% 95%  
50 20% 83%  
51 30% 64% Median
52 9% 33%  
53 9% 25%  
54 2% 16%  
55 2% 13%  
56 0.2% 11%  
57 0.1% 11%  
58 11% 11%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.0%  
41 3% 97%  
42 3% 94%  
43 18% 91% Last Result
44 15% 73%  
45 13% 58% Median
46 18% 45%  
47 10% 27%  
48 14% 18%  
49 0.6% 4%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.6% 0.8%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 11% 99.2%  
14 17% 89%  
15 28% 72% Median
16 16% 44% Last Result
17 6% 29%  
18 20% 23%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.1% 1.1%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 9% 99.7%  
13 23% 91%  
14 50% 68% Median
15 4% 18%  
16 3% 14% Last Result
17 2% 11%  
18 4% 9%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 7% 99.7%  
12 12% 93%  
13 27% 81% Last Result
14 33% 54% Median
15 10% 21%  
16 9% 11%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.8%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 8% 95% Last Result
13 51% 87% Median
14 10% 36%  
15 11% 26%  
16 4% 15%  
17 10% 11%  
18 1.2% 1.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 5% 97%  
13 47% 92% Median
14 6% 45% Last Result
15 6% 39%  
16 26% 33%  
17 7% 7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 26% 41%  
5 13% 15%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Median
1 0% 19%  
2 0% 19%  
3 0% 19%  
4 19% 19% Last Result
5 0.5% 0.9%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 0% 57%  
2 0% 57%  
3 0% 57%  
4 50% 57% Median
5 7% 7% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Median
1 0% 29%  
2 0% 29%  
3 0% 29%  
4 29% 29% Last Result
5 0.4% 0.5%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 96 99.3% 92–101 92–102 90–102 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 92 97% 90–99 90–101 89–102 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 81 0.2% 78–87 78–87 77–89 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 78 0% 76–87 76–87 74–89 71–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 78 0.1% 76–86 76–86 75–87 73–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 73–80 73–83 72–83 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 73–80 73–83 72–83 68–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 71–79 70–83 70–83 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 63–70 63–71 61–71 60–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–63 55–68 55–68 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 56–63 55–64 55–64 53–67
Venstre 43 45 0% 43–48 41–48 40–50 39–51

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.2% 99.5%  
90 2% 99.3% Majority
91 1.3% 97%  
92 12% 96%  
93 2% 84%  
94 28% 82%  
95 3% 54%  
96 16% 51% Last Result, Median
97 10% 35%  
98 2% 25%  
99 10% 23%  
100 2% 13%  
101 3% 11%  
102 7% 8%  
103 0.5% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.8% 99.9%  
87 0.4% 99.0%  
88 0.8% 98.7%  
89 0.5% 98%  
90 27% 97% Majority
91 2% 71% Last Result
92 26% 69% Median
93 6% 43%  
94 5% 36%  
95 4% 31%  
96 0.6% 27%  
97 10% 27%  
98 1.0% 17%  
99 8% 16%  
100 1.0% 8%  
101 3% 7%  
102 3% 3%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.1%  
76 0.3% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 12% 97%  
79 4% 85%  
80 26% 81% Last Result
81 5% 55%  
82 14% 50% Median
83 11% 35%  
84 10% 25%  
85 1.4% 14%  
86 0.6% 13%  
87 9% 12%  
88 0.2% 3%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.6% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.1%  
73 0.4% 99.0%  
74 2% 98.6%  
75 0.7% 96% Last Result
76 25% 96%  
77 2% 71%  
78 28% 69% Median
79 6% 41%  
80 6% 35%  
81 5% 28%  
82 2% 24%  
83 5% 22%  
84 6% 17%  
85 0.3% 11%  
86 0.3% 11%  
87 8% 11%  
88 0.1% 3%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.5% 99.4%  
75 1.5% 98.9%  
76 9% 97%  
77 22% 89%  
78 21% 66% Last Result, Median
79 3% 45%  
80 6% 42%  
81 8% 36%  
82 0.9% 27%  
83 7% 27%  
84 0.9% 20%  
85 4% 19%  
86 11% 15%  
87 4% 4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.2%  
71 0.7% 98.9%  
72 2% 98%  
73 7% 97% Median
74 8% 89%  
75 21% 81%  
76 20% 60%  
77 19% 41%  
78 7% 22%  
79 6% 16% Last Result
80 2% 10%  
81 0.9% 8%  
82 0.2% 7%  
83 7% 7%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.2%  
71 0.7% 98.9%  
72 2% 98%  
73 7% 97% Median
74 8% 89%  
75 21% 81%  
76 20% 60%  
77 19% 41%  
78 7% 22%  
79 6% 16% Last Result
80 2% 10%  
81 0.9% 8%  
82 0.2% 7%  
83 7% 7%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.4%  
69 0.3% 98.9%  
70 5% 98.6%  
71 15% 94%  
72 1.2% 79%  
73 8% 78% Median
74 9% 70%  
75 10% 61% Last Result
76 20% 51%  
77 18% 31%  
78 1.4% 13%  
79 3% 12%  
80 2% 9%  
81 0.7% 8%  
82 0.2% 7%  
83 7% 7%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.5% 99.5%  
61 2% 99.0%  
62 2% 97%  
63 12% 95%  
64 24% 83% Last Result
65 24% 59% Median
66 6% 35%  
67 6% 29%  
68 0.8% 23%  
69 2% 22%  
70 12% 20%  
71 7% 8%  
72 0.8% 1.0%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.3% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.7%  
54 0.5% 99.3%  
55 4% 98.8%  
56 19% 95%  
57 12% 76%  
58 5% 64% Median
59 20% 60% Last Result
60 6% 40%  
61 3% 34%  
62 9% 31%  
63 12% 21%  
64 0.8% 9%  
65 0.6% 8%  
66 0.4% 8%  
67 0.9% 7%  
68 6% 6%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 1.2% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 98%  
55 5% 98% Last Result
56 19% 93%  
57 12% 74%  
58 12% 62% Median
59 19% 49%  
60 6% 30%  
61 2% 24%  
62 2% 22%  
63 12% 20%  
64 6% 7%  
65 0.4% 1.1%  
66 0.1% 0.7%  
67 0.5% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.0%  
41 3% 97%  
42 3% 94%  
43 18% 91% Last Result
44 15% 73%  
45 13% 58% Median
46 18% 45%  
47 10% 27%  
48 14% 18%  
49 0.6% 4%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.6% 0.8%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations