Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 17–23 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.8–30.2% 24.0–31.1%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.2–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.4–26.5% 20.6–27.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 47–53 46–54 46–56 44–56
Venstre 43 43 41–48 40–49 38–49 37–51
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 15–18 14–18 14–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–18 13–18 12–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–18 12–18 12–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–16 12–17 11–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.6% 99.7%  
45 1.1% 99.1%  
46 7% 98%  
47 5% 91%  
48 13% 86% Last Result
49 16% 73%  
50 10% 56% Median
51 20% 46%  
52 6% 26%  
53 12% 20%  
54 3% 8%  
55 0.6% 5%  
56 4% 4%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.3% 100%  
37 2% 99.6%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 95%  
41 19% 91%  
42 16% 72%  
43 24% 56% Last Result, Median
44 5% 32%  
45 4% 27%  
46 3% 23%  
47 3% 20%  
48 11% 16%  
49 4% 6%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.5% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.4%  
14 7% 98%  
15 17% 91%  
16 29% 74% Last Result, Median
17 29% 45%  
18 13% 16%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.8% 1.1%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 3% 99.7%  
13 6% 96%  
14 26% 90%  
15 9% 64%  
16 32% 56% Last Result, Median
17 14% 24%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.7% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 6% 99.4%  
13 14% 93%  
14 17% 80% Last Result
15 35% 63% Median
16 9% 28%  
17 6% 19%  
18 12% 13%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.0% 100%  
11 3% 98.9%  
12 11% 96% Last Result
13 28% 85%  
14 21% 57% Median
15 22% 36%  
16 7% 14%  
17 7% 8%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 5% 98%  
12 17% 93%  
13 22% 76% Last Result
14 18% 54% Median
15 19% 36%  
16 10% 17%  
17 7% 8%  
18 0.9% 0.9%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 35% 56% Last Result, Median
5 19% 21%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0.1% 45%  
4 30% 45% Last Result
5 14% 15%  
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Median
1 0% 26%  
2 0% 26%  
3 0% 26%  
4 25% 26%  
5 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0.5% 20%  
4 17% 20%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 92% 90–100 89–102 87–103 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 90% 89–98 88–100 87–102 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.1% 75–84 73–87 73–88 71–88
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 80 0.1% 76–85 75–86 73–88 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 74–83 73–84 72–86 70–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 78 0% 73–82 73–84 72–85 70–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 72–80 71–81 70–82 68–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 62–69 61–70 60–70 59–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–64 55–65 54–66 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 54–61 53–63 51–63 49–65
Venstre 43 43 0% 41–48 40–49 38–49 37–51

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9%  
86 0.7% 99.8%  
87 3% 99.1%  
88 1.1% 96%  
89 4% 95%  
90 4% 92% Majority
91 1.3% 88%  
92 4% 87%  
93 11% 83%  
94 6% 72%  
95 14% 66% Median
96 9% 52% Last Result
97 19% 43%  
98 10% 24%  
99 4% 14%  
100 3% 11%  
101 0.7% 7%  
102 4% 6%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.8% 99.6%  
87 3% 98.9%  
88 2% 96%  
89 4% 94%  
90 6% 90% Majority
91 2% 84% Last Result
92 6% 83%  
93 13% 76%  
94 12% 64%  
95 16% 52% Median
96 7% 36%  
97 17% 29%  
98 6% 12%  
99 0.7% 6%  
100 2% 5%  
101 0.3% 3%  
102 0.3% 3%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.4% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 1.4% 99.5%  
73 3% 98%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 92%  
76 10% 90%  
77 7% 80%  
78 5% 73%  
79 14% 68% Median
80 9% 54% Last Result
81 12% 45%  
82 5% 32%  
83 11% 27%  
84 8% 17%  
85 1.1% 9%  
86 2% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.4% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.5%  
74 0.7% 97%  
75 5% 97%  
76 3% 91%  
77 6% 89%  
78 5% 83% Last Result
79 11% 78%  
80 25% 67%  
81 9% 41% Median
82 7% 32%  
83 4% 25%  
84 3% 21%  
85 13% 19%  
86 1.0% 5%  
87 1.3% 4%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.5% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 2% 99.2%  
73 5% 97%  
74 5% 93%  
75 4% 88% Last Result
76 11% 84%  
77 7% 73%  
78 5% 66%  
79 16% 62% Median
80 15% 46%  
81 11% 31%  
82 3% 20%  
83 9% 16%  
84 3% 7%  
85 0.8% 3%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 1.3% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 3% 98%  
73 12% 95%  
74 3% 84%  
75 3% 81%  
76 6% 78%  
77 4% 72% Median
78 27% 69%  
79 9% 41% Last Result
80 13% 32%  
81 6% 19%  
82 4% 13%  
83 1.2% 8%  
84 3% 7%  
85 3% 4%  
86 1.1% 1.5%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.8%  
69 0.8% 99.3%  
70 2% 98.6%  
71 3% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 12% 90%  
74 14% 78%  
75 5% 64% Last Result
76 15% 59%  
77 5% 43% Median
78 23% 39%  
79 4% 16%  
80 4% 12%  
81 5% 8%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 1.3% 1.5%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 1.3% 99.6%  
60 2% 98%  
61 2% 96%  
62 5% 94%  
63 9% 89%  
64 5% 80% Last Result
65 28% 75%  
66 11% 46% Median
67 19% 35%  
68 3% 16%  
69 4% 13%  
70 7% 9%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.3% 0.6%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.3%  
54 1.3% 98.8%  
55 4% 97%  
56 7% 94%  
57 13% 87%  
58 5% 74%  
59 20% 69% Last Result
60 8% 49%  
61 14% 41% Median
62 11% 27%  
63 5% 16%  
64 5% 11%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.5% 4%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.5%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 1.1% 97%  
53 3% 96%  
54 17% 94%  
55 6% 77% Last Result
56 13% 71%  
57 16% 58% Median
58 9% 42%  
59 8% 33%  
60 6% 26%  
61 11% 19%  
62 3% 8%  
63 3% 5%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.8%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.3% 0.3%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.3% 100%  
37 2% 99.6%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 95%  
41 19% 91%  
42 16% 72%  
43 24% 56% Last Result, Median
44 5% 32%  
45 4% 27%  
46 3% 23%  
47 3% 20%  
48 11% 16%  
49 4% 6%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations