Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 24 February–1 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.8% 25.1–28.6% 24.6–29.1% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
Venstre 23.4% 23.6% 22.0–25.4% 21.5–25.8% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 45–51 44–52 44–53 44–54
Venstre 43 43 38–45 37–45 37–46 36–47
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–16 14–17 14–17 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–17 13–17 13–18 11–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 14–18 13–18 12–18 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–4 0–6 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.6%  
44 8% 99.5%  
45 3% 91%  
46 14% 88%  
47 3% 74%  
48 12% 71% Last Result
49 28% 59% Median
50 4% 30%  
51 21% 27%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.1% 3%  
54 2% 2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 2% 99.9%  
37 4% 98%  
38 27% 95%  
39 2% 67%  
40 4% 65%  
41 2% 60%  
42 6% 59%  
43 5% 52% Last Result, Median
44 20% 47%  
45 25% 27%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 1.1% 1.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.9%  
13 0.8% 99.3%  
14 30% 98%  
15 42% 68% Median
16 21% 27% Last Result
17 4% 5%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 2% 99.3%  
13 13% 98%  
14 16% 84% Last Result
15 9% 69%  
16 29% 60% Median
17 27% 31%  
18 2% 4%  
19 0.2% 1.4%  
20 1.2% 1.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.9% 100%  
12 2% 99.0%  
13 4% 97%  
14 15% 93%  
15 56% 78% Median
16 5% 22% Last Result
17 3% 17%  
18 12% 14%  
19 0.7% 1.4%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 14% 98%  
13 30% 84% Last Result
14 40% 53% Median
15 2% 14%  
16 2% 12%  
17 0.6% 10%  
18 10% 10%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 7% 99.8%  
11 38% 93%  
12 12% 55% Last Result, Median
13 26% 43%  
14 14% 18%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.6% 0.8%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 37% 92% Last Result
5 41% 55% Median
6 12% 14%  
7 1.3% 1.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 47% 64% Last Result, Median
5 15% 16%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 67% 78% Median
5 10% 11% Last Result
6 0.9% 1.3%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0.7% 66%  
4 55% 65% Median
5 4% 10%  
6 5% 5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 87% 89–99 89–100 89–101 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 94 71% 88–96 88–100 88–100 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0% 73–85 73–85 73–86 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 73–81 73–83 73–85 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 80 0% 75–82 74–83 74–84 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 73–82 73–82 70–82 66–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 73–82 73–82 70–82 66–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 68–78 68–78 66–78 62–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 61–65 59–68 59–69 59–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 53–64 53–64 52–64 49–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 49–59 49–59 49–59 47–60
Venstre 43 43 0% 38–45 37–45 37–46 36–47

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.3% 100%  
88 0.8% 99.7%  
89 12% 99.0%  
90 0.4% 87% Majority
91 0.7% 87%  
92 11% 86%  
93 2% 75%  
94 4% 73%  
95 1.0% 69%  
96 10% 68% Last Result
97 2% 58%  
98 27% 56% Median
99 20% 30%  
100 5% 9%  
101 3% 4%  
102 0.1% 1.2%  
103 0% 1.1%  
104 0.2% 1.1%  
105 0.9% 0.9%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.7%  
88 13% 99.2%  
89 16% 86%  
90 0.6% 71% Majority
91 4% 70% Last Result
92 6% 66%  
93 2% 60%  
94 26% 58% Median
95 21% 32%  
96 3% 10%  
97 2% 8%  
98 0.2% 6%  
99 0.8% 6%  
100 4% 5%  
101 1.3% 1.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 11% 99.4%  
74 2% 89%  
75 0.3% 86%  
76 0.8% 86%  
77 0.5% 85%  
78 15% 85%  
79 3% 69%  
80 2% 66% Last Result
81 7% 64%  
82 2% 57%  
83 27% 55% Median
84 1.5% 28%  
85 24% 27%  
86 1.4% 3%  
87 0.1% 1.2%  
88 0.3% 1.2%  
89 0.9% 0.9%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.5%  
72 1.2% 99.4%  
73 16% 98%  
74 15% 82%  
75 0.5% 67% Last Result
76 0.6% 67%  
77 6% 66%  
78 2% 60%  
79 28% 58% Median
80 3% 30%  
81 20% 27%  
82 2% 7%  
83 0.5% 5%  
84 0.1% 5%  
85 5% 5%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 6% 99.7%  
75 12% 94%  
76 16% 82%  
77 0.8% 65%  
78 5% 64% Last Result
79 0.8% 60%  
80 29% 59% Median
81 0.4% 30%  
82 25% 30%  
83 0.9% 5%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.1% 1.4%  
87 1.3% 1.3%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 0% 99.1%  
69 0% 99.1%  
70 2% 99.1%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 0.9% 97%  
73 30% 96%  
74 2% 66%  
75 5% 64%  
76 21% 59%  
77 6% 39%  
78 1.3% 32%  
79 17% 31% Last Result, Median
80 1.3% 14%  
81 0.7% 13%  
82 11% 12%  
83 1.1% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 0% 99.1%  
69 0% 99.1%  
70 2% 99.1%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 0.9% 97%  
73 30% 96%  
74 2% 66%  
75 5% 64%  
76 21% 59%  
77 6% 39%  
78 1.3% 32%  
79 17% 31% Last Result, Median
80 1.3% 14%  
81 0.7% 13%  
82 11% 12%  
83 1.1% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.6% 100%  
63 0% 99.4%  
64 0.9% 99.3%  
65 0.3% 98%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 0.9% 97%  
68 31% 96%  
69 0.2% 66%  
70 0.7% 65%  
71 4% 65%  
72 21% 61%  
73 9% 40%  
74 11% 31% Median
75 5% 20% Last Result
76 2% 16%  
77 0.6% 14%  
78 11% 13%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 6% 99.6%  
60 2% 94%  
61 5% 92%  
62 26% 87%  
63 0.8% 61%  
64 28% 60% Last Result, Median
65 24% 32%  
66 0.7% 8%  
67 2% 7%  
68 2% 6%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.8% 1.1%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.7% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.2%  
51 1.4% 99.0%  
52 0.3% 98%  
53 28% 97%  
54 6% 70%  
55 1.3% 63%  
56 11% 62%  
57 21% 51%  
58 8% 30%  
59 5% 22% Last Result, Median
60 2% 17%  
61 1.3% 15%  
62 0.8% 14%  
63 2% 13%  
64 11% 11%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.6% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.4%  
49 28% 99.1%  
50 6% 71%  
51 2% 65%  
52 1.5% 63%  
53 0.8% 61%  
54 7% 61%  
55 5% 54% Last Result, Median
56 11% 48%  
57 22% 38%  
58 3% 15%  
59 11% 13%  
60 1.4% 2%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 2% 99.9%  
37 4% 98%  
38 27% 95%  
39 2% 67%  
40 4% 65%  
41 2% 60%  
42 6% 59%  
43 5% 52% Last Result, Median
44 20% 47%  
45 25% 27%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 1.1% 1.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations