Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–7 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.9–30.3% 24.1–31.2%
Venstre 23.4% 23.3% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.5% 20.9–26.0% 20.1–26.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–10.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 49–55 46–56 45–56 45–58
Venstre 43 43 40–45 39–46 39–48 37–50
Radikale Venstre 16 15 15–18 14–19 14–19 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 12–15 12–16 11–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 11–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.6%  
46 2% 97%  
47 2% 95%  
48 2% 93% Last Result
49 5% 92%  
50 4% 87%  
51 4% 83%  
52 2% 79%  
53 60% 77% Median
54 7% 18%  
55 5% 11%  
56 4% 6%  
57 0.5% 2%  
58 1.1% 1.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.0%  
39 6% 98%  
40 7% 93%  
41 4% 85%  
42 11% 82%  
43 48% 71% Last Result, Median
44 2% 24%  
45 16% 22%  
46 1.5% 5%  
47 0.3% 4%  
48 1.3% 3%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.2% 0.7%  
51 0.5% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.8%  
13 1.2% 99.3%  
14 7% 98%  
15 56% 91% Median
16 5% 35% Last Result
17 3% 31%  
18 20% 28%  
19 8% 8%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 5% 99.1%  
13 6% 95%  
14 13% 89% Last Result
15 61% 76% Median
16 6% 15%  
17 5% 9%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 45% 99.2%  
13 7% 54% Last Result, Median
14 25% 48%  
15 12% 22%  
16 3% 10%  
17 6% 7%  
18 0.6% 0.9%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 2% 99.5%  
12 12% 97% Last Result
13 64% 85% Median
14 8% 22%  
15 5% 14%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 5% 99.7%  
12 16% 95%  
13 7% 79%  
14 49% 72% Median
15 8% 23%  
16 12% 15% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.8% 1.1%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 5% 85% Last Result
5 31% 80% Median
6 46% 49%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 57% 71% Last Result, Median
5 12% 14%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 5% 7%  
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 95 99.3% 95–101 93–102 90–102 89–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 98.9% 94–101 92–102 90–102 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 83 0.1% 79–87 77–87 77–87 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.8% 79–85 76–86 75–86 72–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 80 0.6% 78–85 76–86 74–86 72–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 80 0% 74–80 73–82 72–84 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 74–80 73–81 72–84 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 70–75 69–77 69–79 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 65–71 63–73 62–73 59–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 57–61 56–64 55–65 52–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 53–59 53–60 51–61 51–65
Venstre 43 43 0% 40–45 39–46 39–48 37–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.7%  
90 2% 99.3% Majority
91 1.0% 97%  
92 0.6% 96%  
93 2% 96%  
94 3% 94%  
95 44% 91%  
96 3% 47% Last Result, Median
97 4% 44%  
98 6% 40%  
99 5% 34%  
100 14% 29%  
101 8% 15%  
102 6% 7%  
103 0.1% 1.3%  
104 0.3% 1.2%  
105 0.7% 0.9%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.6% 99.5%  
90 2% 98.9% Majority
91 1.4% 96% Last Result
92 0.8% 95%  
93 2% 94%  
94 4% 92%  
95 46% 89%  
96 3% 43% Median
97 4% 40%  
98 7% 36%  
99 3% 30%  
100 13% 27%  
101 8% 13%  
102 5% 5%  
103 0.1% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.7%  
105 0.6% 0.6%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.9% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 98.9%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 3% 98%  
78 1.2% 95% Last Result
79 4% 94%  
80 2% 90%  
81 8% 88%  
82 3% 80%  
83 45% 77% Median
84 2% 31%  
85 1.4% 29%  
86 14% 27%  
87 12% 13%  
88 1.0% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 1.3% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 98.7%  
74 0.3% 98%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 3% 97%  
77 1.4% 94%  
78 2% 93%  
79 1.4% 91%  
80 49% 89% Last Result
81 4% 40% Median
82 14% 37%  
83 7% 22%  
84 2% 15%  
85 3% 13%  
86 8% 10%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.4% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 1.1% 97% Last Result
76 3% 96%  
77 2% 93%  
78 2% 91%  
79 2% 89%  
80 51% 87%  
81 4% 37% Median
82 14% 33%  
83 8% 19%  
84 0.4% 11%  
85 2% 11%  
86 8% 9%  
87 0.1% 0.7%  
88 0% 0.6%  
89 0% 0.6%  
90 0.5% 0.6% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.0%  
72 1.3% 98.6%  
73 6% 97%  
74 8% 91%  
75 14% 83%  
76 5% 69%  
77 7% 65%  
78 4% 58%  
79 3% 55% Last Result, Median
80 44% 52%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.5% 3%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.0%  
72 1.4% 98.6%  
73 6% 97%  
74 9% 91%  
75 14% 82%  
76 5% 68%  
77 8% 64%  
78 3% 56%  
79 3% 53% Last Result, Median
80 44% 50%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.5% 3%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 1.5% 99.5%  
68 0.6% 98%  
69 4% 98%  
70 18% 93%  
71 0.9% 75%  
72 5% 74%  
73 9% 69%  
74 47% 60% Median
75 3% 13% Last Result
76 3% 10%  
77 2% 7%  
78 0.2% 4%  
79 2% 4%  
80 1.2% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.5%  
84 0.5% 0.5%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.8%  
60 0.2% 99.2%  
61 0.5% 99.1%  
62 1.2% 98.6%  
63 3% 97%  
64 3% 95% Last Result
65 5% 92%  
66 3% 87%  
67 7% 85%  
68 46% 78% Median
69 2% 32%  
70 5% 30%  
71 19% 25%  
72 0.3% 6%  
73 6% 6%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.8%  
53 1.5% 99.4%  
54 0.4% 98%  
55 0.8% 98%  
56 4% 97%  
57 6% 92%  
58 28% 86%  
59 3% 58% Last Result
60 45% 56% Median
61 2% 10%  
62 2% 8%  
63 0.9% 6%  
64 1.5% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.7%  
68 0% 0.5%  
69 0% 0.5%  
70 0.5% 0.5%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 4% 99.8%  
52 0.8% 96%  
53 9% 95%  
54 8% 86%  
55 2% 78% Last Result
56 43% 76% Median
57 6% 33%  
58 17% 27%  
59 2% 10%  
60 4% 8%  
61 2% 5%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.8%  
65 0.5% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.0%  
39 6% 98%  
40 7% 93%  
41 4% 85%  
42 11% 82%  
43 48% 71% Last Result, Median
44 2% 24%  
45 16% 22%  
46 1.5% 5%  
47 0.3% 4%  
48 1.3% 3%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.2% 0.7%  
51 0.5% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations