Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 9–15 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.5–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 45–53 45–54 45–54 43–56
Venstre 43 44 40–47 39–49 38–49 38–51
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–18 13–19 13–19 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–18 11–19 11–19 11–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 10–17
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.7%  
44 1.0% 99.1%  
45 27% 98%  
46 5% 71%  
47 6% 66%  
48 10% 60% Last Result
49 8% 50% Median
50 17% 42%  
51 10% 25%  
52 4% 15%  
53 3% 11%  
54 6% 8%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.7%  
39 3% 96%  
40 10% 92%  
41 7% 82%  
42 5% 75%  
43 6% 70% Last Result
44 33% 64% Median
45 12% 31%  
46 3% 19%  
47 8% 16%  
48 2% 8%  
49 5% 6%  
50 0.1% 1.0%  
51 0.7% 0.9%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 2% 98%  
15 44% 96%  
16 18% 52% Last Result, Median
17 9% 34%  
18 9% 25%  
19 7% 16%  
20 6% 9%  
21 0.8% 2%  
22 1.4% 2%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 1.4% 99.5%  
13 14% 98%  
14 8% 84% Last Result
15 12% 76%  
16 16% 64% Median
17 27% 48%  
18 15% 21%  
19 5% 6%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 4% 95%  
13 12% 91% Last Result
14 14% 79%  
15 38% 65% Median
16 5% 27%  
17 12% 22%  
18 5% 10%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.1%  
11 8% 95%  
12 18% 87%  
13 43% 69% Median
14 10% 26%  
15 11% 15%  
16 3% 5% Last Result
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.7%  
19 0.6% 0.6%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 5% 99.6%  
11 11% 95%  
12 36% 84% Last Result, Median
13 20% 48%  
14 21% 28%  
15 5% 7%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.9% 1.0%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 3% 83%  
4 23% 80% Last Result
5 45% 56% Median
6 4% 11%  
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100%  
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 3% 60%  
4 46% 57% Last Result, Median
5 10% 11%  
6 1.0% 1.2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100% Last Result
1 0% 62%  
2 0% 62%  
3 0.1% 62%  
4 20% 61% Median
5 40% 42%  
6 1.2% 1.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 99.1% 92–101 92–103 91–103 88–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 96 99.1% 92–101 92–102 91–103 88–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 81 1.1% 77–86 77–87 76–89 73–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0.1% 76–84 75–85 73–87 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0.1% 76–84 75–85 73–85 72–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 71–79 70–80 69–82 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 71–79 70–80 69–82 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 69–78 67–78 67–79 65–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 60–70 60–72 60–74 59–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 56–65 54–66 53–66 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 53–60 52–61 52–62 50–65
Venstre 43 44 0% 40–47 39–49 38–49 38–51

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.7%  
89 0.3% 99.4%  
90 0.9% 99.1% Majority
91 3% 98%  
92 26% 95%  
93 2% 69%  
94 6% 67%  
95 9% 60%  
96 12% 52% Last Result, Median
97 11% 40%  
98 7% 29%  
99 2% 21%  
100 6% 20%  
101 8% 14%  
102 0.8% 6%  
103 3% 5%  
104 0.4% 2%  
105 0.9% 2%  
106 0.4% 0.7%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.7%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 0.9% 99.1% Majority
91 3% 98% Last Result
92 26% 95%  
93 2% 69%  
94 6% 67%  
95 9% 60%  
96 12% 52% Median
97 11% 40%  
98 7% 29%  
99 2% 21%  
100 6% 20%  
101 9% 14%  
102 0.9% 5%  
103 3% 4%  
104 0.4% 1.4%  
105 0.3% 0.9%  
106 0.3% 0.7%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.3%  
75 0.5% 98.6%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 28% 97%  
78 7% 69% Last Result
79 2% 63%  
80 7% 61%  
81 12% 54% Median
82 14% 43%  
83 8% 29%  
84 4% 21%  
85 5% 18%  
86 5% 12%  
87 2% 7%  
88 1.4% 5%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.7% 1.1% Majority
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 2% 99.7%  
73 1.1% 98%  
74 0.7% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 5% 94%  
77 30% 89%  
78 4% 59%  
79 9% 55%  
80 7% 46% Last Result, Median
81 10% 39%  
82 15% 29%  
83 2% 14%  
84 3% 12%  
85 5% 9%  
86 0.5% 3%  
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.3%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 2% 99.6%  
73 1.1% 98%  
74 0.8% 97%  
75 2% 96% Last Result
76 5% 94%  
77 30% 89%  
78 4% 59%  
79 9% 55%  
80 7% 46% Median
81 10% 39%  
82 15% 29%  
83 2% 14%  
84 4% 12%  
85 5% 8%  
86 0.5% 2%  
87 1.4% 2%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.6% 99.1%  
69 3% 98.6%  
70 1.2% 95%  
71 5% 94%  
72 9% 89%  
73 2% 80%  
74 12% 79%  
75 12% 67%  
76 5% 54%  
77 7% 50%  
78 33% 43% Median
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 0.9% 4%  
82 0.9% 3%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.6% 99.1%  
69 3% 98.6%  
70 1.2% 95%  
71 5% 94%  
72 9% 89%  
73 2% 80%  
74 12% 79%  
75 12% 67%  
76 5% 54%  
77 7% 50%  
78 33% 43% Median
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 0.9% 4%  
82 0.9% 3%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.3% 99.4%  
67 7% 99.1%  
68 2% 93%  
69 8% 91%  
70 10% 83%  
71 2% 73%  
72 5% 71%  
73 2% 66%  
74 29% 64% Median
75 12% 34% Last Result
76 7% 22%  
77 4% 15%  
78 7% 11%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 26% 99.3%  
61 2% 74%  
62 3% 72%  
63 4% 70%  
64 8% 65% Last Result
65 21% 57% Median
66 4% 36%  
67 7% 32%  
68 6% 25%  
69 8% 19%  
70 2% 11%  
71 4% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.4% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 2% 99.8%  
53 0.7% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 2% 95%  
56 6% 93%  
57 8% 87%  
58 10% 79%  
59 3% 69% Last Result
60 7% 66%  
61 36% 60% Median
62 4% 23%  
63 2% 19%  
64 6% 17%  
65 2% 11%  
66 7% 9%  
67 1.3% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 1.1% 99.8%  
51 0.7% 98.7%  
52 4% 98%  
53 17% 94%  
54 3% 76%  
55 6% 73% Last Result
56 29% 67% Median
57 8% 38%  
58 7% 29%  
59 8% 23%  
60 7% 15%  
61 4% 7%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.4% 1.4%  
64 0.1% 1.0%  
65 0.7% 0.9%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.7%  
39 3% 96%  
40 10% 92%  
41 7% 82%  
42 5% 75%  
43 6% 70% Last Result
44 33% 64% Median
45 12% 31%  
46 3% 19%  
47 8% 16%  
48 2% 8%  
49 5% 6%  
50 0.1% 1.0%  
51 0.7% 0.9%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations