Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 16–22 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.2% 26.5–30.1% 26.0–30.6% 25.6–31.0% 24.8–31.9%
Venstre 23.4% 23.3% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.5% 20.9–26.0% 20.1–26.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 9.0–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.2–13.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.5% 5.7–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 48–54 47–55 47–56 44–57
Venstre 43 43 39–47 38–47 37–52 37–52
Radikale Venstre 16 19 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–23
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–17 11–17 11–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 12–17 12–18 11–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.5%  
46 1.0% 98.9%  
47 4% 98%  
48 5% 94% Last Result
49 28% 89%  
50 10% 62%  
51 10% 51% Median
52 5% 42%  
53 9% 37%  
54 21% 28%  
55 2% 7%  
56 3% 5%  
57 1.1% 1.4%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 4% 99.5%  
38 3% 96%  
39 7% 93%  
40 28% 86%  
41 3% 58%  
42 4% 55%  
43 13% 51% Last Result, Median
44 11% 38%  
45 1.2% 28%  
46 4% 26%  
47 19% 22%  
48 0.2% 3%  
49 0.3% 3%  
50 0% 3%  
51 0% 3%  
52 3% 3%  
53 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 1.5% 99.9%  
16 5% 98% Last Result
17 32% 94%  
18 8% 61%  
19 10% 53% Median
20 35% 43%  
21 6% 8%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 11% 97%  
13 7% 85%  
14 56% 78% Median
15 8% 23%  
16 10% 14% Last Result
17 2% 4%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 10% 99.7%  
12 11% 90%  
13 16% 80% Last Result
14 10% 64%  
15 27% 53% Median
16 4% 26%  
17 21% 22%  
18 1.1% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 11% 97%  
13 10% 86%  
14 14% 76% Last Result
15 23% 62% Median
16 28% 39%  
17 2% 11%  
18 8% 9%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.7%  
10 6% 98%  
11 23% 92%  
12 36% 69% Last Result, Median
13 12% 33%  
14 12% 21%  
15 8% 9%  
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100%  
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 0% 58%  
4 42% 58% Last Result, Median
5 14% 16%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100%  
1 0% 68%  
2 0% 68%  
3 0.1% 68%  
4 30% 68% Last Result, Median
5 37% 39%  
6 1.0% 1.3%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 2% 6%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 100 99.8% 94–103 94–103 93–105 90–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 100 99.8% 94–103 94–103 93–105 90–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 85 2% 81–88 80–89 79–89 76–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0.2% 75–86 75–86 74–86 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0.2% 75–86 75–86 74–86 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 75 0% 71–79 69–80 69–81 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 75 0% 71–79 69–80 69–81 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 68–75 66–76 65–77 64–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 67–73 66–73 65–75 63–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 55–60 52–62 52–64 50–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 51–58 49–59 48–64 47–64
Venstre 43 43 0% 39–47 38–47 37–52 37–52

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.4% 99.8% Majority
91 0.6% 99.4%  
92 0.9% 98.8%  
93 2% 98%  
94 13% 96%  
95 5% 83%  
96 4% 77% Last Result
97 7% 73%  
98 2% 66%  
99 9% 64%  
100 27% 55% Median
101 3% 27%  
102 1.5% 24%  
103 18% 23%  
104 0.5% 4%  
105 3% 4%  
106 0.5% 0.8%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.4% 99.8% Majority
91 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
92 0.9% 98.8%  
93 2% 98%  
94 13% 96%  
95 5% 83%  
96 4% 77%  
97 7% 73%  
98 2% 66%  
99 9% 64%  
100 27% 55% Median
101 3% 27%  
102 1.5% 24%  
103 18% 23%  
104 0.5% 4%  
105 3% 4%  
106 0.5% 0.8%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.7%  
77 0.4% 99.4%  
78 0.8% 99.0% Last Result
79 1.3% 98%  
80 5% 97%  
81 13% 92%  
82 6% 79%  
83 4% 73%  
84 3% 69%  
85 27% 67% Median
86 20% 39%  
87 5% 19%  
88 9% 14%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.4% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.9%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 0.4% 99.1%  
74 2% 98.8%  
75 8% 97%  
76 5% 89%  
77 6% 84%  
78 3% 78%  
79 15% 74%  
80 27% 59% Last Result
81 4% 32% Median
82 1.2% 29%  
83 5% 28%  
84 3% 23%  
85 0.6% 20%  
86 18% 19%  
87 0.7% 1.0%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 0.4% 99.1%  
74 2% 98.8%  
75 8% 97% Last Result
76 5% 89%  
77 6% 84%  
78 3% 78%  
79 15% 74%  
80 27% 59%  
81 4% 32% Median
82 1.2% 29%  
83 5% 28%  
84 3% 23%  
85 0.6% 20%  
86 18% 19%  
87 0.7% 1.0%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 1.1% 99.4%  
68 0.6% 98%  
69 3% 98%  
70 5% 95%  
71 2% 90%  
72 20% 88%  
73 1.4% 68%  
74 3% 67%  
75 33% 64%  
76 14% 31%  
77 1.0% 17% Median
78 6% 16%  
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 1.1% 99.4%  
68 0.6% 98%  
69 3% 98%  
70 5% 95%  
71 2% 90%  
72 20% 88%  
73 1.4% 68%  
74 3% 67%  
75 33% 64%  
76 14% 31%  
77 1.0% 17% Median
78 6% 16%  
79 2% 10% Last Result
80 4% 8%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 4% 99.5%  
66 0.5% 95%  
67 3% 95%  
68 2% 92%  
69 2% 90%  
70 27% 87%  
71 9% 60%  
72 28% 52%  
73 6% 24% Median
74 2% 18%  
75 7% 15% Last Result
76 5% 9%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.3% 0.6%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.8% 99.6%  
64 0.4% 98.8% Last Result
65 1.3% 98%  
66 3% 97%  
67 10% 94%  
68 9% 84%  
69 24% 75%  
70 16% 52% Median
71 19% 36%  
72 7% 17%  
73 6% 10%  
74 2% 5%  
75 0.2% 3%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.7%  
51 2% 99.4%  
52 4% 98%  
53 2% 94%  
54 1.4% 91%  
55 4% 90%  
56 26% 86%  
57 4% 61%  
58 30% 56%  
59 15% 26% Last Result, Median
60 2% 11%  
61 0.8% 9%  
62 5% 8%  
63 0.6% 4%  
64 3% 3%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.7% 99.8%  
48 2% 99.1%  
49 2% 97%  
50 2% 95%  
51 4% 93%  
52 26% 89%  
53 4% 63%  
54 7% 59%  
55 9% 52% Last Result, Median
56 3% 43%  
57 3% 40%  
58 30% 37%  
59 3% 7%  
60 0.6% 4%  
61 0.3% 3%  
62 0% 3%  
63 0.1% 3%  
64 3% 3%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 4% 99.5%  
38 3% 96%  
39 7% 93%  
40 28% 86%  
41 3% 58%  
42 4% 55%  
43 13% 51% Last Result, Median
44 11% 38%  
45 1.2% 28%  
46 4% 26%  
47 19% 22%  
48 0.2% 3%  
49 0.3% 3%  
50 0% 3%  
51 0% 3%  
52 3% 3%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations