Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23–29 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.5% 29.7–33.3% 29.2–33.9% 28.7–34.3% 27.9–35.2%
Venstre 23.4% 22.2% 20.7–23.9% 20.2–24.4% 19.8–24.8% 19.1–25.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.7–11.1% 7.2–11.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.4–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 57 54–61 52–62 51–62 50–63
Venstre 43 41 39–43 38–44 36–44 34–45
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 14–17 13–18 13–19 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–16 12–16 12–16 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 2% 97%  
53 2% 95%  
54 13% 92%  
55 4% 79%  
56 10% 75%  
57 30% 65% Median
58 12% 36%  
59 4% 24%  
60 4% 19%  
61 7% 16%  
62 8% 9%  
63 0.5% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.9%  
35 1.4% 99.5%  
36 0.8% 98%  
37 2% 97%  
38 6% 96%  
39 13% 90%  
40 22% 77%  
41 28% 56% Median
42 14% 28%  
43 5% 13% Last Result
44 7% 9%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.8%  
14 6% 99.0%  
15 26% 93%  
16 38% 67% Last Result, Median
17 7% 29%  
18 11% 22%  
19 8% 11%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.5% 0.7%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 2% 99.2%  
13 7% 98%  
14 41% 90% Median
15 16% 49%  
16 21% 33% Last Result
17 5% 13%  
18 4% 8%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.8%  
12 6% 99.3%  
13 31% 93%  
14 33% 62% Last Result, Median
15 6% 29%  
16 21% 23%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.9%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.9%  
11 7% 98.9%  
12 6% 92%  
13 29% 86% Last Result
14 35% 57% Median
15 5% 22%  
16 16% 17%  
17 0.5% 0.9%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 2% 98%  
10 22% 95%  
11 38% 73% Median
12 12% 36% Last Result
13 21% 24%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.5% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 21% 96% Last Result
5 53% 74% Median
6 16% 21%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 3% 7% Last Result
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0.1% 0.6%  
4 0.4% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 100 100% 98–104 97–106 96–107 95–109
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 100 100% 98–104 97–106 96–107 95–109
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 87 25% 85–90 83–91 82–93 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 7% 81–89 80–90 79–90 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 7% 81–89 80–90 79–90 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 70–77 69–77 66–79 66–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 69–75 67–76 66–77 63–77
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 64–71 63–71 62–72 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 49–56 49–57 48–57 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 49–55 49–57 48–57 45–58
Venstre 43 41 0% 39–43 38–44 36–44 34–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.3% 99.8%  
95 1.1% 99.5%  
96 3% 98% Last Result
97 2% 96%  
98 5% 94%  
99 6% 89%  
100 37% 83%  
101 12% 46% Median
102 5% 34%  
103 6% 29%  
104 14% 23%  
105 0.9% 9%  
106 5% 8%  
107 1.4% 3%  
108 0.5% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.7%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.3% 99.8%  
95 1.1% 99.5%  
96 3% 98%  
97 2% 96%  
98 5% 94%  
99 6% 89%  
100 37% 83%  
101 12% 46% Median
102 5% 34%  
103 6% 29%  
104 14% 23%  
105 0.9% 9%  
106 5% 8%  
107 1.4% 3%  
108 0.5% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.7%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.4% 100%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 4% 99.1%  
83 3% 95%  
84 1.4% 92%  
85 5% 91%  
86 16% 86%  
87 34% 70% Median
88 5% 36%  
89 6% 31%  
90 20% 25% Majority
91 2% 5%  
92 1.0% 4%  
93 0.4% 3%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.9% 1.3%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.6% 99.6%  
79 4% 99.0%  
80 3% 95% Last Result
81 5% 92%  
82 3% 87%  
83 5% 84%  
84 31% 79%  
85 14% 48% Median
86 9% 34%  
87 4% 25%  
88 2% 21%  
89 12% 19%  
90 6% 7% Majority
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.6% 99.6%  
79 4% 99.0%  
80 3% 95%  
81 5% 92%  
82 3% 87%  
83 5% 84%  
84 31% 79%  
85 14% 48% Median
86 9% 34%  
87 4% 25%  
88 2% 21%  
89 12% 19%  
90 6% 7% Majority
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.3% 100%  
66 2% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 97%  
68 1.2% 97%  
69 4% 96%  
70 8% 92%  
71 8% 84%  
72 7% 77%  
73 34% 69% Median
74 2% 35%  
75 7% 33%  
76 7% 26%  
77 15% 18%  
78 0.5% 3%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.7% 1.2%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 0.6% 98.7%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 1.1% 94%  
69 5% 93%  
70 2% 88%  
71 39% 86% Median
72 8% 46%  
73 5% 38%  
74 14% 33%  
75 10% 19%  
76 4% 8%  
77 4% 5%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.8% 99.8%  
61 0.9% 99.0%  
62 2% 98%  
63 2% 96%  
64 9% 95%  
65 7% 86%  
66 33% 78% Median
67 5% 46%  
68 7% 41%  
69 8% 34%  
70 7% 25%  
71 15% 19%  
72 2% 3%  
73 1.1% 1.5%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.7% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.2%  
47 0.8% 99.0%  
48 2% 98%  
49 7% 96%  
50 12% 89%  
51 17% 77%  
52 24% 60% Median
53 6% 36%  
54 8% 30%  
55 10% 21%  
56 2% 11%  
57 7% 9%  
58 1.1% 2%  
59 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.8% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.1%  
47 1.2% 98.7%  
48 2% 98%  
49 7% 95%  
50 14% 88%  
51 17% 74%  
52 25% 56% Median
53 7% 32%  
54 8% 24%  
55 8% 16% Last Result
56 2% 9%  
57 6% 7%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.9%  
35 1.4% 99.5%  
36 0.8% 98%  
37 2% 97%  
38 6% 96%  
39 13% 90%  
40 22% 77%  
41 28% 56% Median
42 14% 28%  
43 5% 13% Last Result
44 7% 9%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations