Opinion Poll by Gallup, 27 March–3 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.9% 30.4–33.5% 30.0–33.9% 29.6–34.3% 28.9–35.1%
Venstre 23.4% 21.9% 20.5–23.3% 20.2–23.7% 19.8–24.0% 19.2–24.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.4–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.7–8.4% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–8.9% 5.9–9.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 2.9–5.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 56–62 55–62 54–63 54–65
Venstre 43 37 36–46 36–46 36–46 35–46
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 14–16 13–17 12–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 11–16 11–16 11–16 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–14 11–15 10–15 10–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–14 11–15 11–16 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 2% 99.6%  
55 6% 97%  
56 5% 92%  
57 2% 87%  
58 2% 84%  
59 18% 83%  
60 5% 65%  
61 16% 60% Median
62 40% 44%  
63 2% 4%  
64 0% 2%  
65 1.5% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 46% 99.0%  
37 3% 53% Median
38 5% 50%  
39 5% 44%  
40 1.2% 40%  
41 22% 38%  
42 2% 17%  
43 0.1% 15% Last Result
44 3% 14%  
45 0.4% 12%  
46 11% 11%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 18% 98%  
14 57% 80% Median
15 6% 22%  
16 9% 16% Last Result
17 6% 7%  
18 0.6% 1.1%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 2% 98%  
13 3% 96%  
14 47% 93% Median
15 35% 46%  
16 3% 11% Last Result
17 6% 8%  
18 1.0% 1.5%  
19 0.1% 0.5%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 13% 99.7%  
12 6% 86%  
13 9% 81% Last Result
14 4% 72%  
15 20% 68% Median
16 46% 48%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 4% 99.9%  
11 36% 96%  
12 46% 60% Median
13 3% 14%  
14 6% 11% Last Result
15 5% 6%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 5% 98%  
12 5% 93% Last Result
13 36% 88%  
14 44% 52% Median
15 4% 8%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0% 0.3%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 28% 99.9%  
7 52% 72% Median
8 15% 20%  
9 3% 4%  
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0% 0.2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 5% 6% Last Result
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 102 100% 96–104 95–104 94–104 93–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 102 100% 96–104 95–104 94–104 93–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 43% 81–90 80–90 79–90 78–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 43% 81–90 80–90 79–90 78–90
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 87 2% 84–88 82–89 81–89 79–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–79 71–80 71–81 70–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–79 71–80 71–81 70–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–79 71–80 71–81 70–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 71–79 71–80 71–81 70–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 71–79 71–80 71–81 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 76 0% 72–76 71–76 69–78 68–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 64–73 64–73 63–73 62–74
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 64–73 64–73 63–73 62–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 50–59 49–59 49–59 48–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 50–59 49–59 48–59 46–60
Venstre 43 37 0% 36–46 36–46 36–46 35–46

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.4% 100%  
93 2% 99.6%  
94 0.9% 98%  
95 5% 97%  
96 12% 92% Last Result
97 7% 80%  
98 1.0% 73%  
99 1.3% 72%  
100 1.5% 71%  
101 2% 70%  
102 19% 68% Median
103 5% 48%  
104 41% 43%  
105 2% 2%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.4% 100%  
93 2% 99.6%  
94 0.9% 98%  
95 5% 97%  
96 12% 92%  
97 7% 80%  
98 1.0% 73%  
99 1.3% 72%  
100 1.5% 71%  
101 2% 70%  
102 19% 68% Median
103 5% 48%  
104 41% 43%  
105 2% 2%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.8%  
79 4% 99.3%  
80 2% 96% Last Result
81 12% 93%  
82 2% 81%  
83 6% 80%  
84 2% 74%  
85 0.8% 73%  
86 9% 72%  
87 19% 63%  
88 0.4% 44% Median
89 0.5% 43%  
90 42% 43% Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.8%  
79 4% 99.3%  
80 2% 96%  
81 12% 93%  
82 2% 81%  
83 6% 80%  
84 2% 74%  
85 0.8% 73%  
86 9% 72%  
87 19% 63%  
88 0.4% 44% Median
89 0.5% 43%  
90 42% 43% Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9% Last Result
79 2% 99.9%  
80 0.5% 98%  
81 0.8% 98%  
82 3% 97%  
83 3% 94%  
84 5% 90%  
85 15% 85%  
86 3% 70%  
87 22% 67% Median
88 40% 45%  
89 3% 6%  
90 0.3% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 2%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0% 1.5%  
94 1.5% 1.5%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 41% 98%  
72 5% 57% Median
73 19% 52%  
74 2% 32%  
75 1.5% 30%  
76 1.3% 29%  
77 1.0% 28%  
78 7% 27%  
79 12% 20% Last Result
80 5% 8%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 41% 98%  
72 5% 57% Median
73 19% 52%  
74 2% 32%  
75 1.5% 30%  
76 1.3% 29%  
77 1.0% 28%  
78 7% 27%  
79 12% 20% Last Result
80 5% 8%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 41% 98%  
72 5% 57% Median
73 19% 52%  
74 2% 32%  
75 2% 30%  
76 1.4% 29%  
77 1.0% 27%  
78 7% 26%  
79 12% 20% Last Result
80 5% 8%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 41% 98%  
72 5% 57% Median
73 19% 52%  
74 2% 32%  
75 1.5% 30%  
76 1.3% 29%  
77 1.0% 28%  
78 7% 27%  
79 12% 20% Last Result
80 5% 8%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 41% 98%  
72 5% 57% Median
73 19% 52%  
74 2% 32%  
75 2% 30%  
76 1.4% 29%  
77 1.0% 27%  
78 7% 26%  
79 12% 20% Last Result
80 5% 8%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 5% 96%  
72 9% 91%  
73 5% 81%  
74 14% 76%  
75 2% 62% Median
76 56% 60%  
77 0.3% 4%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.1% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 41% 97%  
65 8% 56% Median
66 1.1% 49%  
67 19% 47%  
68 1.1% 29%  
69 1.2% 28%  
70 7% 27%  
71 0.7% 19%  
72 3% 19%  
73 14% 16%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 41% 97%  
65 8% 56% Median
66 1.1% 49%  
67 19% 47%  
68 1.1% 29%  
69 1.2% 28%  
70 7% 26%  
71 0.6% 19%  
72 3% 19%  
73 14% 16%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 2% 99.7%  
49 5% 98%  
50 43% 93%  
51 2% 50% Median
52 1.0% 48%  
53 7% 47%  
54 17% 40%  
55 5% 23%  
56 1.2% 18%  
57 3% 17%  
58 0.5% 14%  
59 12% 13% Last Result
60 1.4% 1.4%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 98%  
48 2% 98%  
49 6% 96%  
50 42% 91%  
51 4% 49% Median
52 0.8% 45%  
53 8% 44%  
54 17% 37%  
55 3% 19% Last Result
56 0.5% 16%  
57 2% 16%  
58 0.4% 13%  
59 12% 13%  
60 1.4% 1.4%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 46% 99.0%  
37 3% 53% Median
38 5% 50%  
39 5% 44%  
40 1.2% 40%  
41 22% 38%  
42 2% 17%  
43 0.1% 15% Last Result
44 3% 14%  
45 0.4% 12%  
46 11% 11%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations