Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23 March–5 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.5% 31.2–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Venstre 23.4% 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.8–24.0% 19.4–24.4% 18.7–25.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.4–8.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 59–65 58–66 57–66 55–68
Venstre 43 40 37–42 36–44 35–44 34–45
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–16 12–16 12–17 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 12–16 11–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 5–7 5–7 4–7 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 1.2% 99.8%  
56 0.6% 98.6%  
57 2% 98%  
58 5% 96%  
59 7% 91%  
60 2% 84%  
61 16% 82%  
62 10% 66%  
63 30% 56% Median
64 2% 26%  
65 16% 24%  
66 6% 8%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 1.1% 1.5%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 3% 97%  
37 19% 94%  
38 16% 75%  
39 7% 59%  
40 32% 51% Median
41 3% 19%  
42 6% 16%  
43 2% 10% Last Result
44 6% 8%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.9%  
12 5% 98.6%  
13 8% 94%  
14 59% 86% Median
15 13% 27%  
16 5% 14% Last Result
17 7% 9%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 17% 98%  
13 7% 80%  
14 28% 74% Median
15 29% 46%  
16 14% 17% Last Result
17 2% 4%  
18 0.7% 1.3%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 28% 97%  
13 15% 69%  
14 35% 54% Last Result, Median
15 11% 19%  
16 5% 8%  
17 1.4% 3%  
18 0.9% 1.1%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 2% 99.1%  
11 33% 97%  
12 11% 65%  
13 20% 53% Last Result, Median
14 22% 34%  
15 10% 11%  
16 1.3% 1.5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 7% 97%  
10 27% 89%  
11 16% 62% Median
12 19% 46% Last Result
13 23% 27%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 4% 99.3% Last Result
5 49% 95% Median
6 28% 46%  
7 15% 18%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 4% 7%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 102 100% 101–105 98–108 97–108 96–110
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 102 100% 101–105 98–108 97–108 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 91 62% 87–93 85–94 84–95 83–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 88 29% 86–91 84–92 83–93 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 88 29% 86–91 84–92 83–93 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 77 0% 73–80 72–80 71–81 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 66–73 66–74 66–76 64–77
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 61–68 61–68 60–70 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 47–54 47–55 46–56 45–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 47–54 47–54 46–55 45–56
Venstre 43 40 0% 37–42 36–44 35–44 34–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.3% 99.8%  
96 1.2% 99.5% Last Result
97 1.1% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 2% 95%  
100 2% 93%  
101 12% 90%  
102 36% 78%  
103 6% 42%  
104 13% 36% Median
105 14% 23%  
106 3% 9%  
107 1.5% 6%  
108 3% 5%  
109 1.3% 2%  
110 0.5% 0.9%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.3% 99.8%  
96 1.2% 99.5%  
97 1.1% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 2% 95%  
100 2% 93%  
101 12% 90%  
102 36% 78%  
103 6% 42%  
104 13% 36% Median
105 14% 23%  
106 3% 9%  
107 1.5% 6%  
108 3% 5%  
109 1.3% 2%  
110 0.5% 0.9%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 1.3% 99.6%  
84 0.9% 98%  
85 3% 97%  
86 1.3% 94%  
87 8% 93%  
88 9% 85%  
89 14% 76%  
90 3% 62% Majority
91 41% 59% Median
92 3% 18%  
93 8% 16%  
94 2% 7%  
95 3% 5%  
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.2% 1.1%  
98 0.6% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 0.8% 99.1%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 4% 97%  
85 2% 94%  
86 3% 92%  
87 16% 88%  
88 32% 72%  
89 11% 40%  
90 7% 29% Median, Majority
91 17% 22%  
92 1.2% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.8% 1.4%  
97 0.5% 0.6%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 0.9% 99.1%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 4% 97%  
85 2% 94%  
86 3% 92%  
87 16% 88%  
88 32% 72%  
89 11% 40%  
90 7% 29% Median, Majority
91 17% 22%  
92 1.2% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.8% 1.4%  
97 0.5% 0.6%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.7%  
70 0.6% 99.4%  
71 2% 98.8%  
72 5% 97%  
73 7% 92%  
74 6% 85%  
75 10% 79%  
76 6% 69%  
77 31% 64% Median
78 4% 33%  
79 18% 29%  
80 7% 11%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.2% 100%  
62 0% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.6% 99.5%  
65 1.0% 99.0%  
66 15% 98%  
67 8% 83%  
68 3% 76%  
69 9% 73%  
70 8% 64% Median
71 10% 56%  
72 5% 47%  
73 34% 42%  
74 2% 7%  
75 2% 5%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.9% 1.4%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.5%  
60 3% 98.8%  
61 19% 96%  
62 3% 77%  
63 8% 74%  
64 12% 66%  
65 5% 53% Median
66 11% 48%  
67 3% 37%  
68 29% 34%  
69 1.5% 5%  
70 2% 3%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 99.6%  
46 2% 98.9%  
47 14% 97%  
48 8% 83%  
49 12% 74%  
50 12% 62%  
51 4% 51% Median
52 8% 47%  
53 28% 39%  
54 6% 11%  
55 2% 5%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.4% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.9%  
45 0.8% 99.5%  
46 3% 98.7%  
47 15% 96%  
48 8% 81%  
49 13% 73%  
50 11% 60%  
51 4% 49% Median
52 8% 45%  
53 27% 37%  
54 6% 10%  
55 2% 4% Last Result
56 2% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 3% 97%  
37 19% 94%  
38 16% 75%  
39 7% 59%  
40 32% 51% Median
41 3% 19%  
42 6% 16%  
43 2% 10% Last Result
44 6% 8%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations