Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 30 March–11 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.5% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–38.9%
Venstre 23.4% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.1% 19.6–24.6% 18.8–25.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 5.8–7.7% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 64 61–67 59–67 58–70 57–72
Venstre 43 40 38–42 37–42 36–43 35–45
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 12–16 11–16 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.8%  
58 2% 99.3%  
59 2% 97%  
60 2% 95%  
61 4% 93%  
62 4% 89%  
63 10% 85%  
64 29% 75% Median
65 11% 47%  
66 22% 35%  
67 9% 14%  
68 0.6% 5%  
69 1.1% 4%  
70 0.4% 3%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 3% 99.2%  
37 3% 96%  
38 9% 93%  
39 30% 84%  
40 7% 54% Median
41 23% 47%  
42 19% 24%  
43 2% 4% Last Result
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.6%  
12 9% 96%  
13 37% 88%  
14 29% 51% Median
15 3% 22%  
16 17% 19% Last Result
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.3%  
12 16% 97%  
13 14% 81%  
14 21% 68% Median
15 35% 47%  
16 8% 11% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.8% 0.9%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.2%  
12 25% 95%  
13 34% 70% Median
14 25% 35% Last Result
15 4% 11%  
16 4% 7%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.9% 1.0%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.3% 99.9%  
10 5% 99.6%  
11 24% 95%  
12 41% 71% Median
13 8% 30% Last Result
14 19% 22%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.6%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.8%  
10 4% 98.8%  
11 20% 94%  
12 44% 74% Last Result, Median
13 10% 29%  
14 15% 19%  
15 3% 5%  
16 0.9% 1.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 59% 95% Last Result, Median
5 22% 36%  
6 7% 14%  
7 7% 7%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5% Last Result
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.7% 0.8%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 104 100% 100–106 99–108 98–109 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 104 100% 100–106 99–108 98–109 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 92 85% 88–94 87–95 85–96 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 91 58% 87–92 86–94 84–96 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 91 58% 87–92 86–94 84–96 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 79 0% 75–81 73–81 72–83 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 68–73 67–75 65–76 65–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 64–68 63–69 61–72 60–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 51–54 49–56 48–58 47–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 50–54 48–56 48–56 46–58
Venstre 43 40 0% 38–42 37–42 36–43 35–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.3% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.5% Last Result
97 1.3% 99.3%  
98 1.3% 98%  
99 3% 97%  
100 5% 94%  
101 3% 89%  
102 11% 86%  
103 21% 75% Median
104 17% 55%  
105 25% 37%  
106 3% 12%  
107 4% 9%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 4%  
110 2% 2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.3% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 1.3% 99.3%  
98 1.3% 98%  
99 3% 97%  
100 5% 94%  
101 3% 89%  
102 11% 86%  
103 21% 75% Median
104 17% 54%  
105 25% 37%  
106 3% 12%  
107 3% 9%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 4%  
110 2% 2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.3% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 1.0% 99.5%  
85 2% 98.6%  
86 0.9% 97%  
87 2% 96%  
88 7% 94%  
89 2% 87%  
90 22% 85% Majority
91 9% 62% Median
92 17% 54%  
93 20% 36%  
94 9% 16%  
95 3% 7%  
96 3% 5%  
97 0.2% 1.5%  
98 0.5% 1.2%  
99 0.7% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.6% 99.7%  
83 0.9% 99.1%  
84 1.2% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 5% 96%  
87 14% 90%  
88 10% 76%  
89 8% 66% Median
90 6% 58% Majority
91 24% 52%  
92 21% 29%  
93 2% 8%  
94 2% 7%  
95 0.6% 5%  
96 2% 4%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.6% 99.7%  
83 0.9% 99.1%  
84 1.2% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 5% 95%  
87 14% 90%  
88 10% 76%  
89 8% 66% Median
90 5% 58% Majority
91 24% 52%  
92 20% 29%  
93 2% 8%  
94 2% 6%  
95 0.6% 5%  
96 2% 4%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 98.9%  
72 3% 98.5%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 6% 92%  
76 4% 87%  
77 23% 83%  
78 2% 60% Median
79 29% 58%  
80 16% 30%  
81 10% 13%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.2% 1.5%  
85 1.1% 1.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 2% 99.7%  
66 2% 97%  
67 2% 95%  
68 4% 93%  
69 5% 89%  
70 26% 85% Median
71 20% 58%  
72 21% 38%  
73 10% 17%  
74 1.3% 7%  
75 2% 6%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 1.1% 1.4%  
79 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 2% 99.8%  
61 0.8% 98%  
62 1.0% 97%  
63 1.5% 96%  
64 6% 95%  
65 10% 89%  
66 31% 79% Median
67 18% 48%  
68 23% 30%  
69 3% 8%  
70 0.7% 5%  
71 1.1% 4%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 0.7% 0.9%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 3% 99.4%  
49 2% 96%  
50 4% 95%  
51 22% 91%  
52 13% 69% Median
53 43% 56%  
54 4% 14%  
55 2% 10%  
56 3% 8%  
57 2% 4%  
58 0.8% 3%  
59 2% 2% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.6%  
47 0.6% 99.4%  
48 4% 98.8%  
49 2% 95%  
50 4% 93%  
51 22% 89%  
52 12% 67% Median
53 43% 55%  
54 4% 13%  
55 3% 9% Last Result
56 3% 5%  
57 1.2% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.0%  
59 0.3% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 3% 99.2%  
37 3% 96%  
38 9% 93%  
39 30% 84%  
40 7% 54% Median
41 23% 47%  
42 19% 24%  
43 2% 4% Last Result
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations