Opinion Poll by Epinion, 10–16 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.1% 33.6–36.6% 33.2–37.1% 32.8–37.4% 32.1–38.2%
Venstre 23.4% 21.0% 19.8–22.4% 19.4–22.7% 19.1–23.1% 18.5–23.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.5–9.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.7–10.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 60–65 60–67 59–67 59–68
Venstre 43 39 36–41 36–41 36–41 34–42
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 14–15 14–16 13–17 12–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 11–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 12–14 11–14 11–14 10–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12–13 11–13 10–13 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 10 10–12 10–12 10–13 9–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 6 5–7 4–7 4–8
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 10% 97%  
61 2% 87%  
62 5% 85%  
63 41% 80% Median
64 4% 38%  
65 28% 34%  
66 0.7% 6%  
67 5% 6%  
68 0.1% 0.6%  
69 0.4% 0.5%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.4% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.6%  
35 0.7% 99.3%  
36 29% 98.6%  
37 4% 70%  
38 14% 66%  
39 4% 52% Median
40 5% 47%  
41 41% 42%  
42 0.5% 0.7%  
43 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 65% 97% Median
15 23% 32%  
16 6% 9% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 5% 99.8%  
12 6% 95% Last Result
13 54% 89% Median
14 30% 35%  
15 2% 4%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 7% 99.5%  
12 43% 93% Median
13 18% 49%  
14 29% 31% Last Result
15 1.3% 2%  
16 1.0% 1.0%  
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 4% 96%  
12 70% 91% Median
13 20% 22% Last Result
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.7%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 68% 98% Median
11 7% 30%  
12 20% 23%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 3% 99.9% Last Result
5 6% 97%  
6 84% 91% Median
7 7% 8%  
8 0.5% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 76% 92% Last Result, Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 100% 97–101 97–102 96–102 93–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 98 100% 97–101 97–102 96–102 93–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 87 33% 86–91 86–91 85–91 82–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 87 33% 86–91 86–91 85–91 82–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 8% 85–89 85–90 84–90 82–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 77 0% 74–78 73–78 73–79 71–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 74–78 73–78 73–79 71–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 72–75 72–78 71–79 69–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 68–72 67–72 66–73 65–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 54–58 52–58 50–58 50–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 50–54 50–54 49–54 47–56
Venstre 43 39 0% 36–41 36–41 36–41 34–42

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.5% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.4%  
95 1.2% 99.1%  
96 0.5% 98% Last Result
97 38% 97% Median
98 15% 59%  
99 6% 44%  
100 4% 38%  
101 28% 33%  
102 4% 6%  
103 0.3% 2%  
104 1.1% 2%  
105 0.4% 0.4%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.5% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.4%  
95 1.2% 99.1%  
96 0.5% 98%  
97 38% 97% Median
98 15% 59%  
99 6% 44%  
100 4% 38%  
101 28% 33%  
102 4% 6%  
103 0.3% 2%  
104 1.1% 2%  
105 0.4% 0.4%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.4% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.3% 99.4%  
84 0.4% 99.1%  
85 2% 98.8%  
86 12% 97%  
87 41% 85% Median
88 8% 44%  
89 4% 36%  
90 5% 33% Majority
91 25% 27%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.5% 0.6%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.4% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.3% 99.4%  
84 0.4% 99.1%  
85 2% 98.7%  
86 12% 97%  
87 41% 85% Median
88 8% 44%  
89 4% 36%  
90 5% 33% Majority
91 25% 27%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.5% 0.6%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 1.3% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 98%  
84 2% 98%  
85 52% 96% Median
86 3% 45%  
87 3% 42%  
88 2% 39%  
89 29% 37%  
90 6% 8% Majority
91 0.9% 2%  
92 0.7% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.4% 100%  
71 2% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 4% 98%  
74 28% 94%  
75 4% 66%  
76 6% 62% Median
77 15% 56%  
78 38% 41%  
79 0.5% 3% Last Result
80 1.2% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.9%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.4% 100%  
71 2% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 4% 98%  
74 28% 94%  
75 4% 66%  
76 6% 62% Median
77 15% 56%  
78 38% 41%  
79 0.5% 3% Last Result
80 1.2% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.9%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.9% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 15% 97%  
73 38% 82% Median
74 2% 43%  
75 32% 41%  
76 2% 10%  
77 0.4% 7%  
78 2% 7%  
79 4% 5%  
80 0.1% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.8%  
66 4% 99.2%  
67 1.1% 95%  
68 28% 94%  
69 2% 66%  
70 5% 65% Median
71 18% 59%  
72 38% 41%  
73 1.0% 3%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 3% 99.6%  
51 0.4% 96%  
52 2% 96%  
53 2% 94%  
54 26% 92%  
55 7% 66%  
56 18% 59% Median
57 2% 41%  
58 38% 39%  
59 0.4% 1.2% Last Result
60 0.4% 0.8%  
61 0.5% 0.5%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.6% 100%  
48 0.9% 99.3%  
49 2% 98%  
50 30% 97%  
51 16% 67%  
52 9% 51% Median
53 2% 42%  
54 38% 40%  
55 0.5% 2% Last Result
56 2% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.4% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.6%  
35 0.7% 99.3%  
36 29% 98.6%  
37 4% 70%  
38 14% 66%  
39 4% 52% Median
40 5% 47%  
41 41% 42%  
42 0.5% 0.7%  
43 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations