Opinion Poll by Epinion, 10–16 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
25.9% |
35.1% |
33.6–36.6% |
33.2–37.1% |
32.8–37.4% |
32.1–38.2% |
Venstre |
23.4% |
21.0% |
19.8–22.4% |
19.4–22.7% |
19.1–23.1% |
18.5–23.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
8.7% |
8.3% |
7.5–9.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.1–9.8% |
6.7–10.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
6.6% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.2–8.8% |
5.9–9.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
7.7% |
6.9% |
6.2–7.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.8–8.2% |
5.4–8.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
6.9% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.2–8.4% |
Radikale Venstre |
8.6% |
6.1% |
5.4–7.0% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.4% |
4.7–7.8% |
Nye Borgerlige |
2.4% |
3.1% |
2.6–3.7% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.2–4.4% |
Liberal Alliance |
2.3% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.7% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.4–3.3% |
Alternativet |
3.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
Stram Kurs |
1.8% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.8% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.8% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
10% |
97% |
|
61 |
2% |
87% |
|
62 |
5% |
85% |
|
63 |
41% |
80% |
Median |
64 |
4% |
38% |
|
65 |
28% |
34% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
67 |
5% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
29% |
98.6% |
|
37 |
4% |
70% |
|
38 |
14% |
66% |
|
39 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
40 |
5% |
47% |
|
41 |
41% |
42% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
14 |
65% |
97% |
Median |
15 |
23% |
32% |
|
16 |
6% |
9% |
Last Result |
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
6% |
95% |
Last Result |
13 |
54% |
89% |
Median |
14 |
30% |
35% |
|
15 |
2% |
4% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
7% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
43% |
93% |
Median |
13 |
18% |
49% |
|
14 |
29% |
31% |
Last Result |
15 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
4% |
96% |
|
12 |
70% |
91% |
Median |
13 |
20% |
22% |
Last Result |
14 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
2% |
100% |
|
10 |
68% |
98% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
30% |
|
12 |
20% |
23% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
5 |
6% |
97% |
|
6 |
84% |
91% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
92% |
|
2 |
0% |
92% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
76% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
16% |
16% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
96 |
98 |
100% |
97–101 |
97–102 |
96–102 |
93–104 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre |
91 |
98 |
100% |
97–101 |
97–102 |
96–102 |
93–104 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
80 |
87 |
33% |
86–91 |
86–91 |
85–91 |
82–93 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
75 |
87 |
33% |
86–91 |
86–91 |
85–91 |
82–93 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
78 |
85 |
8% |
85–89 |
85–90 |
84–90 |
82–92 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
79 |
77 |
0% |
74–78 |
73–78 |
73–79 |
71–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
79 |
77 |
0% |
74–78 |
73–78 |
73–79 |
71–82 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
64 |
73 |
0% |
72–75 |
72–78 |
71–79 |
69–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
75 |
71 |
0% |
68–72 |
67–72 |
66–73 |
65–75 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
59 |
56 |
0% |
54–58 |
52–58 |
50–58 |
50–60 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
55 |
52 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–54 |
49–54 |
47–56 |
Venstre |
43 |
39 |
0% |
36–41 |
36–41 |
36–41 |
34–42 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
92 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
98% |
Last Result |
97 |
38% |
97% |
Median |
98 |
15% |
59% |
|
99 |
6% |
44% |
|
100 |
4% |
38% |
|
101 |
28% |
33% |
|
102 |
4% |
6% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
91 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
92 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
97 |
38% |
97% |
Median |
98 |
15% |
59% |
|
99 |
6% |
44% |
|
100 |
4% |
38% |
|
101 |
28% |
33% |
|
102 |
4% |
6% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
85 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
12% |
97% |
|
87 |
41% |
85% |
Median |
88 |
8% |
44% |
|
89 |
4% |
36% |
|
90 |
5% |
33% |
Majority |
91 |
25% |
27% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
85 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
86 |
12% |
97% |
|
87 |
41% |
85% |
Median |
88 |
8% |
44% |
|
89 |
4% |
36% |
|
90 |
5% |
33% |
Majority |
91 |
25% |
27% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
98% |
|
85 |
52% |
96% |
Median |
86 |
3% |
45% |
|
87 |
3% |
42% |
|
88 |
2% |
39% |
|
89 |
29% |
37% |
|
90 |
6% |
8% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
73 |
4% |
98% |
|
74 |
28% |
94% |
|
75 |
4% |
66% |
|
76 |
6% |
62% |
Median |
77 |
15% |
56% |
|
78 |
38% |
41% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
3% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
73 |
4% |
98% |
|
74 |
28% |
94% |
|
75 |
4% |
66% |
|
76 |
6% |
62% |
Median |
77 |
15% |
56% |
|
78 |
38% |
41% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
3% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
15% |
97% |
|
73 |
38% |
82% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
43% |
|
75 |
32% |
41% |
|
76 |
2% |
10% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
4% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
68 |
28% |
94% |
|
69 |
2% |
66% |
|
70 |
5% |
65% |
Median |
71 |
18% |
59% |
|
72 |
38% |
41% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
76 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
52 |
2% |
96% |
|
53 |
2% |
94% |
|
54 |
26% |
92% |
|
55 |
7% |
66% |
|
56 |
18% |
59% |
Median |
57 |
2% |
41% |
|
58 |
38% |
39% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
60 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
30% |
97% |
|
51 |
16% |
67% |
|
52 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
53 |
2% |
42% |
|
54 |
38% |
40% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
56 |
2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
29% |
98.6% |
|
37 |
4% |
70% |
|
38 |
14% |
66% |
|
39 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
40 |
5% |
47% |
|
41 |
41% |
42% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–16 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1636
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.97%