Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 6–19 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.6% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–39.0%
Venstre 23.4% 21.5% 19.9–23.2% 19.5–23.7% 19.1–24.1% 18.4–24.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 66 62–69 60–70 59–71 58–71
Venstre 43 41 38–44 37–44 36–44 35–46
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–17 11–17 11–17 10–18
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–15 11–16 11–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 3% 99.0%  
60 2% 96%  
61 3% 94%  
62 10% 90%  
63 8% 80%  
64 12% 72%  
65 3% 60%  
66 36% 57% Median
67 3% 21%  
68 4% 19%  
69 6% 14%  
70 4% 8%  
71 4% 4%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.2% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.6%  
36 2% 98%  
37 5% 96%  
38 22% 91%  
39 5% 69%  
40 12% 64%  
41 26% 52% Median
42 13% 26%  
43 2% 13% Last Result
44 8% 11%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.7% 0.9%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.5%  
12 17% 93%  
13 24% 76%  
14 10% 52% Last Result, Median
15 22% 42%  
16 18% 20%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.8%  
11 5% 99.3%  
12 11% 94%  
13 44% 83% Last Result, Median
14 14% 39%  
15 11% 26%  
16 4% 15%  
17 10% 11%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.7%  
11 6% 98%  
12 21% 92%  
13 41% 72% Median
14 18% 31%  
15 6% 13%  
16 2% 6% Last Result
17 4% 4%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.7% 100%  
10 5% 99.3%  
11 12% 95%  
12 35% 83% Median
13 28% 47%  
14 12% 19%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 2% Last Result
17 0.7% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.2% 100%  
9 6% 98.8%  
10 23% 93%  
11 21% 70% Median
12 27% 50% Last Result
13 15% 23%  
14 7% 8%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 37% 51% Last Result, Median
5 9% 13%  
6 4% 5%  
7 0.8% 0.9%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 14% 16%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 12% 13% Last Result
5 0.5% 0.6%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.4% 2%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 106 100% 102–109 100–111 99–112 98–114
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 106 100% 102–109 100–111 99–112 98–114
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 92 88% 88–97 87–98 85–99 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 92 87% 88–97 87–98 85–99 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 92 87% 89–97 87–97 85–99 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 79 0% 76–81 73–83 72–84 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 68 0% 62–70 60–71 60–73 60–75
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 68 0% 62–70 60–71 60–73 60–74
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 60–68 60–70 58–70 58–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 48–56 48–56 47–56 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 48–55 47–55 46–55 45–58
Venstre 43 41 0% 38–44 37–44 36–44 35–46

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 2% 99.5%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 3% 97%  
101 4% 94%  
102 2% 91%  
103 5% 89%  
104 2% 84%  
105 28% 82%  
106 20% 54% Median
107 4% 34%  
108 19% 31%  
109 4% 11%  
110 0.9% 7%  
111 2% 6%  
112 4% 5%  
113 0.3% 0.9%  
114 0.1% 0.6%  
115 0.3% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 2% 99.5%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 3% 97%  
101 4% 94%  
102 2% 91%  
103 5% 89%  
104 2% 84%  
105 28% 82%  
106 20% 54% Median
107 4% 34%  
108 19% 31%  
109 4% 11%  
110 0.8% 7%  
111 2% 6%  
112 4% 5%  
113 0.3% 0.9%  
114 0.1% 0.6%  
115 0.3% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 2% 99.3%  
86 1.5% 97%  
87 3% 96%  
88 4% 93%  
89 2% 90%  
90 3% 88% Majority
91 11% 84%  
92 32% 74%  
93 3% 42% Median
94 12% 38%  
95 9% 26%  
96 6% 17%  
97 4% 11%  
98 3% 7%  
99 4% 5%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 2% 99.2%  
86 1.5% 97%  
87 3% 96%  
88 4% 93%  
89 2% 90%  
90 3% 87% Majority
91 11% 84%  
92 32% 74%  
93 3% 42% Median
94 12% 38%  
95 9% 26%  
96 6% 17%  
97 4% 11%  
98 3% 7%  
99 4% 5%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 1.1% 99.7%  
85 1.3% 98.6%  
86 1.3% 97%  
87 2% 96%  
88 4% 94%  
89 3% 90%  
90 3% 87% Majority
91 20% 84%  
92 37% 64%  
93 2% 27% Median
94 4% 24%  
95 9% 21%  
96 0.6% 12%  
97 6% 11%  
98 0.5% 5%  
99 4% 4%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.9% 99.4%  
72 3% 98%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 19% 90%  
77 9% 71%  
78 3% 62%  
79 32% 59% Median
80 6% 27%  
81 12% 21%  
82 3% 9%  
83 1.3% 6%  
84 4% 5%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 9% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 90%  
62 4% 90%  
63 11% 86%  
64 3% 75%  
65 2% 72%  
66 2% 70%  
67 15% 67%  
68 6% 52% Median
69 11% 46%  
70 28% 34%  
71 2% 7%  
72 1.3% 5%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.9% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 9% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 90%  
62 4% 90%  
63 11% 86%  
64 3% 74%  
65 2% 71%  
66 3% 69%  
67 15% 66%  
68 6% 51% Median
69 11% 45%  
70 27% 34%  
71 2% 6%  
72 1.1% 4%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.9% 1.4%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 4% 99.7%  
59 0.6% 96%  
60 10% 95%  
61 2% 85%  
62 7% 83%  
63 12% 76%  
64 4% 64% Median
65 11% 60%  
66 23% 49%  
67 12% 26%  
68 4% 14%  
69 2% 10%  
70 6% 8%  
71 0.3% 2%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.6% 1.1%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.9%  
46 1.3% 99.0%  
47 1.2% 98%  
48 16% 97%  
49 3% 81%  
50 3% 77%  
51 7% 75%  
52 9% 68% Median
53 32% 58%  
54 3% 26%  
55 12% 23%  
56 9% 11%  
57 1.1% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.4%  
59 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.7%  
46 2% 98.8%  
47 1.5% 96%  
48 16% 95%  
49 4% 79%  
50 2% 74%  
51 7% 73%  
52 17% 65% Median
53 32% 49%  
54 3% 17%  
55 12% 14% Last Result
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.7% 1.2%  
58 0.3% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.2% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.6%  
36 2% 98%  
37 5% 96%  
38 22% 91%  
39 5% 69%  
40 12% 64%  
41 26% 52% Median
42 13% 26%  
43 2% 13% Last Result
44 8% 11%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.7% 0.9%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations