Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 20–26 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.6% 33.7–37.5% 33.2–38.1% 32.7–38.5% 31.8–39.5%
Venstre 23.4% 20.9% 19.3–22.6% 18.9–23.1% 18.5–23.5% 17.8–24.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 66 61–69 61–71 60–73 58–75
Venstre 43 39 35–42 35–43 33–45 32–45
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 11–17 11–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–15 10–15 10–15 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 10–15 10–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.9%  
59 0.8% 99.3%  
60 1.5% 98.5%  
61 8% 97%  
62 5% 89%  
63 13% 83%  
64 9% 70%  
65 9% 61%  
66 8% 51% Median
67 3% 44%  
68 26% 41%  
69 4% 14%  
70 3% 10%  
71 2% 7%  
72 2% 5%  
73 1.0% 3%  
74 0% 2%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.4%  
34 0.6% 97%  
35 10% 97%  
36 3% 87%  
37 11% 84%  
38 15% 74%  
39 30% 59% Median
40 8% 29%  
41 7% 21%  
42 5% 14%  
43 4% 9% Last Result
44 1.0% 5%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0.4% 0.5%  
47 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.8%  
12 13% 94%  
13 36% 81% Median
14 17% 45%  
15 13% 28%  
16 9% 14% Last Result
17 4% 6%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 10% 99.4%  
12 37% 89%  
13 25% 52% Median
14 16% 27%  
15 3% 11%  
16 2% 8% Last Result
17 5% 6%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.4% 100%  
10 2% 98.6%  
11 8% 97%  
12 15% 89%  
13 42% 74% Last Result, Median
14 13% 32%  
15 11% 19%  
16 6% 7%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.3% 99.9%  
10 7% 99.6%  
11 16% 93%  
12 17% 77%  
13 25% 60% Median
14 9% 35% Last Result
15 24% 26%  
16 1.0% 2%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 7% 98%  
11 18% 91%  
12 18% 73% Last Result
13 18% 54% Median
14 13% 37%  
15 23% 24%  
16 0.5% 0.9%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Median
1 0% 46%  
2 0% 46%  
3 0% 46%  
4 17% 46% Last Result
5 19% 29%  
6 9% 10%  
7 1.1% 1.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 13% 21% Last Result
5 7% 8%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 11% 12%  
5 1.0% 1.1%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0.8% 0.9%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 106 100% 101–109 100–112 99–114 96–115
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 106 100% 101–109 100–112 99–114 96–115
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 92 70% 88–96 87–99 87–101 84–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 92 64% 86–96 86–97 85–100 83–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 92 64% 86–96 86–97 85–100 83–101
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 80 0.2% 76–84 75–85 74–88 72–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 68 0% 63–72 61–74 61–74 59–77
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 68 0% 63–72 61–73 61–74 59–76
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 62–70 61–72 60–72 58–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 49–58 49–59 47–60 46–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 48–55 46–56 46–56 44–59
Venstre 43 39 0% 35–42 35–43 33–45 32–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
97 0.6% 99.1%  
98 0.9% 98.5%  
99 1.2% 98%  
100 3% 96%  
101 10% 94%  
102 13% 84%  
103 10% 71%  
104 3% 62%  
105 5% 59% Median
106 9% 54%  
107 7% 45%  
108 5% 38%  
109 25% 33%  
110 2% 9%  
111 0.7% 6%  
112 3% 6%  
113 0.5% 3%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.5% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.8% 99.9%  
97 0.6% 99.1%  
98 0.9% 98.5%  
99 1.2% 98%  
100 3% 96%  
101 10% 94%  
102 13% 84%  
103 10% 71%  
104 3% 62%  
105 5% 59% Median
106 9% 54%  
107 7% 45%  
108 5% 38%  
109 25% 33%  
110 2% 9%  
111 0.7% 6%  
112 3% 6%  
113 0.5% 3%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.5% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 1.4% 99.5%  
86 0.5% 98%  
87 5% 98%  
88 7% 93%  
89 15% 85%  
90 7% 70% Majority
91 9% 63%  
92 9% 54% Median
93 5% 45%  
94 7% 40%  
95 2% 34%  
96 23% 32%  
97 3% 9%  
98 0.6% 6%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.0% 4%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.6% 0.7%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 1.4% 99.4%  
85 2% 98%  
86 6% 96%  
87 4% 90%  
88 7% 86%  
89 15% 80%  
90 8% 64% Majority
91 6% 56%  
92 5% 50% Median
93 4% 46%  
94 10% 41%  
95 2% 32%  
96 20% 30%  
97 5% 9%  
98 2% 5%  
99 0.2% 3%  
100 2% 3%  
101 0.7% 0.8%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 1.4% 99.4%  
85 2% 98%  
86 6% 96%  
87 4% 90%  
88 7% 86%  
89 15% 80%  
90 8% 64% Majority
91 6% 56%  
92 5% 50% Median
93 4% 46%  
94 10% 41%  
95 2% 32%  
96 20% 30%  
97 5% 9%  
98 2% 5%  
99 0.2% 3%  
100 2% 3%  
101 0.7% 0.8%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 1.3% 99.4%  
74 2% 98%  
75 4% 96%  
76 13% 93%  
77 13% 80%  
78 11% 67%  
79 3% 56% Median
80 13% 53%  
81 23% 40%  
82 3% 17%  
83 3% 14%  
84 2% 11%  
85 4% 9%  
86 2% 5%  
87 0.1% 3%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.3% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.7% 99.4%  
61 4% 98.7%  
62 3% 95%  
63 3% 92%  
64 3% 89%  
65 3% 86% Median
66 26% 83%  
67 6% 57%  
68 7% 52%  
69 19% 45%  
70 9% 26%  
71 2% 17%  
72 10% 16%  
73 0.8% 6%  
74 4% 5%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.5% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.5%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.3% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.7% 99.4%  
61 4% 98.7%  
62 3% 95%  
63 3% 92%  
64 3% 89%  
65 3% 86% Median
66 26% 83%  
67 6% 57%  
68 7% 52%  
69 19% 45%  
70 9% 26%  
71 2% 17%  
72 9% 15%  
73 0.7% 6%  
74 4% 5%  
75 0.1% 1.1%  
76 0.5% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.5%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.6%  
59 2% 99.4%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 5% 97%  
62 6% 92%  
63 5% 86%  
64 2% 81%  
65 4% 79% Median
66 26% 75%  
67 3% 49%  
68 10% 46%  
69 18% 36%  
70 9% 18%  
71 2% 9%  
72 5% 7%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 1.3% 2%  
75 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.6%  
47 0.6% 98%  
48 2% 97%  
49 8% 95%  
50 7% 87%  
51 4% 80%  
52 6% 76% Median
53 4% 70%  
54 27% 66%  
55 10% 39%  
56 12% 30%  
57 5% 17%  
58 6% 12%  
59 2% 6% Last Result
60 4% 5%  
61 0.4% 0.8%  
62 0% 0.4%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.5% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.3%  
46 5% 99.1%  
47 2% 94%  
48 3% 92%  
49 12% 89%  
50 19% 77%  
51 8% 58%  
52 9% 50% Median
53 7% 41%  
54 21% 34%  
55 8% 13% Last Result
56 3% 5%  
57 0.2% 2%  
58 1.2% 2%  
59 0.5% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.4%  
34 0.6% 97%  
35 10% 97%  
36 3% 87%  
37 11% 84%  
38 15% 74%  
39 30% 59% Median
40 8% 29%  
41 7% 21%  
42 5% 14%  
43 4% 9% Last Result
44 1.0% 5%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0.4% 0.5%  
47 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations