Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 27 April–3 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.3% 31.4–35.2% 30.9–35.7% 30.4–36.2% 29.6–37.2%
Venstre 23.4% 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 18.0–24.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–63 57–65 56–65 53–67
Venstre 43 38 37–41 35–42 34–43 31–44
Radikale Venstre 16 16 12–17 12–17 12–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–15 10–15 10–16 8–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–14 10–14 9–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–6 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 1.0% 99.9%  
54 0.4% 98.9%  
55 0.9% 98.5%  
56 2% 98%  
57 13% 95%  
58 4% 83%  
59 1.3% 79%  
60 41% 77% Median
61 14% 36%  
62 2% 22%  
63 10% 20%  
64 4% 10%  
65 4% 6%  
66 0.4% 1.2%  
67 0.4% 0.8%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 1.2% 100%  
32 0.3% 98.8%  
33 0.6% 98.5%  
34 2% 98%  
35 2% 96%  
36 4% 94%  
37 8% 90%  
38 45% 82% Median
39 3% 37%  
40 8% 34%  
41 20% 26%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 4% Last Result
44 2% 2%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.2%  
12 12% 98.9%  
13 13% 87%  
14 7% 73%  
15 6% 67%  
16 14% 61% Last Result, Median
17 46% 47%  
18 0.9% 1.3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.7%  
12 6% 98.8%  
13 11% 93% Last Result
14 50% 82% Median
15 16% 32%  
16 10% 17%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.0%  
12 6% 95%  
13 57% 89% Median
14 13% 32% Last Result
15 11% 19%  
16 6% 8%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.4%  
10 8% 99.1%  
11 14% 92%  
12 48% 78% Last Result, Median
13 10% 30%  
14 9% 20%  
15 6% 10%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 4% 99.6%  
10 3% 95%  
11 19% 92%  
12 8% 73%  
13 18% 65% Median
14 43% 47%  
15 2% 4%  
16 1.2% 2% Last Result
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0.1% 85%  
4 13% 85% Last Result
5 23% 72% Median
6 6% 49%  
7 42% 42%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Median
1 0% 38%  
2 0% 38%  
3 0% 38%  
4 30% 38% Last Result
5 5% 8%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.2% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 23% 28%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.6% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.5%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 104 100% 99–107 97–109 97–110 96–113
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 104 100% 99–107 97–109 97–110 96–113
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 22% 85–92 83–94 82–97 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 22% 85–92 83–94 82–97 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 90 63% 86–93 83–94 82–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 77 0% 72–78 70–79 69–81 68–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 71 0% 64–74 64–76 61–78 61–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 71 0% 64–74 64–76 61–78 61–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 64–71 61–72 61–74 60–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 52–59 49–59 48–62 47–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 48–54 47–55 45–58 44–59
Venstre 43 38 0% 37–41 35–42 34–43 31–44

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 2% 99.7% Last Result
97 3% 98%  
98 1.2% 94%  
99 5% 93%  
100 3% 88%  
101 13% 86%  
102 2% 73%  
103 6% 70% Median
104 46% 65%  
105 0.5% 19%  
106 3% 18%  
107 10% 15%  
108 0.4% 6%  
109 0.6% 5%  
110 4% 5%  
111 0.1% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.8%  
113 0.6% 0.8%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 2% 99.6%  
97 3% 98%  
98 1.2% 94%  
99 5% 93%  
100 3% 88%  
101 13% 86%  
102 2% 73%  
103 6% 70% Median
104 46% 65%  
105 0.5% 19%  
106 3% 18%  
107 10% 15%  
108 0.4% 6%  
109 0.6% 5%  
110 4% 5%  
111 0.1% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.8%  
113 0.6% 0.8%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.9% 99.7% Last Result
81 0.4% 98.9%  
82 1.3% 98.5%  
83 4% 97%  
84 1.4% 93%  
85 6% 92%  
86 3% 86%  
87 47% 83% Median
88 3% 37%  
89 11% 34%  
90 6% 22% Majority
91 5% 16%  
92 2% 12%  
93 1.0% 10%  
94 4% 9%  
95 0.3% 5%  
96 0.1% 4%  
97 4% 4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.9% 99.7%  
81 0.4% 98.9%  
82 1.3% 98.5%  
83 4% 97%  
84 1.4% 93%  
85 6% 92%  
86 3% 86%  
87 47% 83% Median
88 3% 37%  
89 11% 33%  
90 6% 22% Majority
91 5% 16%  
92 2% 12%  
93 1.0% 10%  
94 4% 9%  
95 0.3% 5%  
96 0.1% 4%  
97 4% 4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.5% 99.9%  
82 3% 99.4%  
83 3% 96%  
84 1.3% 94%  
85 2% 93%  
86 9% 90%  
87 13% 81%  
88 2% 68%  
89 4% 66% Median
90 43% 63% Majority
91 5% 19%  
92 4% 14%  
93 4% 11%  
94 4% 6%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.3% 1.0%  
97 0.7% 0.8%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 1.1% 99.5%  
69 1.1% 98%  
70 4% 97%  
71 3% 94%  
72 1.3% 90%  
73 17% 89%  
74 4% 72%  
75 3% 68%  
76 10% 66% Median
77 42% 56%  
78 7% 14%  
79 2% 7%  
80 2% 4%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.1% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.7%  
84 0.4% 0.6%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 97%  
63 0.1% 96%  
64 8% 96%  
65 1.3% 88%  
66 2% 87%  
67 2% 85%  
68 6% 83% Median
69 4% 77%  
70 0.8% 73%  
71 45% 72%  
72 3% 27%  
73 2% 24%  
74 13% 21%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 5%  
77 0.3% 3%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 97%  
63 0.1% 96%  
64 8% 96%  
65 1.3% 88%  
66 2% 87%  
67 2% 85%  
68 7% 83% Median
69 4% 77%  
70 0.7% 73%  
71 45% 72%  
72 3% 27%  
73 2% 23%  
74 13% 21%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 5%  
77 0.3% 3%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 0.6% 99.6%  
61 4% 99.0%  
62 2% 95%  
63 1.1% 93%  
64 9% 92%  
65 3% 82%  
66 2% 80%  
67 4% 77%  
68 8% 73% Median
69 2% 65%  
70 13% 63%  
71 44% 50%  
72 2% 6%  
73 0.8% 4%  
74 3% 3%  
75 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.5% 99.9%  
48 3% 99.4%  
49 2% 96%  
50 1.4% 94%  
51 2% 93%  
52 1.3% 90%  
53 10% 89%  
54 2% 79%  
55 2% 77% Median
56 6% 75%  
57 51% 69%  
58 6% 17%  
59 7% 11% Last Result
60 1.2% 4%  
61 0.3% 3%  
62 2% 3%  
63 1.1% 1.4%  
64 0.3% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 1.3% 99.8%  
45 1.5% 98.6%  
46 2% 97%  
47 1.2% 95%  
48 5% 94%  
49 1.5% 89%  
50 44% 87% Median
51 7% 43%  
52 9% 36%  
53 16% 27%  
54 2% 12%  
55 6% 10% Last Result
56 0.7% 4%  
57 0.3% 3%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.6% 0.7%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 1.2% 100%  
32 0.3% 98.8%  
33 0.6% 98.5%  
34 2% 98%  
35 2% 96%  
36 4% 94%  
37 8% 90%  
38 45% 82% Median
39 3% 37%  
40 8% 34%  
41 20% 26%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 4% Last Result
44 2% 2%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations