Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 4–9 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.1% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
Venstre 23.4% 21.9% 20.3–23.6% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.5% 18.7–25.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 62 59–68 58–68 57–68 56–69
Venstre 43 40 35–42 35–43 35–44 34–45
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–17 11–17 10–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–16 12–16 12–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–17 11–17 11–17 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 99.7%  
57 3% 98.9%  
58 2% 95%  
59 11% 94%  
60 7% 83%  
61 4% 76%  
62 22% 71% Median
63 4% 50%  
64 23% 45%  
65 1.4% 22%  
66 0.8% 21%  
67 0.8% 20%  
68 18% 19%  
69 1.2% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.7% 99.9%  
35 9% 99.2%  
36 19% 90%  
37 1.4% 71%  
38 11% 69%  
39 3% 59%  
40 23% 55% Median
41 7% 33%  
42 19% 26%  
43 4% 7% Last Result
44 1.2% 3%  
45 1.0% 1.3%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 4% 100%  
11 0.7% 96%  
12 3% 95%  
13 3% 92%  
14 35% 90%  
15 19% 55% Median
16 23% 36% Last Result
17 11% 12%  
18 0.5% 0.9%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.7%  
12 14% 99.2%  
13 41% 85% Median
14 14% 44% Last Result
15 13% 30%  
16 12% 17%  
17 2% 5%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.8%  
11 5% 98.9%  
12 3% 94%  
13 37% 91% Last Result
14 9% 54% Median
15 21% 45%  
16 4% 24%  
17 19% 20%  
18 0.8% 0.9%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.4% 99.8%  
10 3% 98%  
11 25% 95%  
12 29% 70% Last Result, Median
13 25% 42%  
14 3% 17%  
15 11% 14%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.5% 99.9%  
9 5% 99.4%  
10 36% 94%  
11 28% 58% Median
12 11% 30%  
13 14% 19%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.8% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 39% 89% Last Result, Median
5 46% 50%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 24% 50% Last Result, Median
5 23% 26%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.3% 2%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 107 100% 101–109 99–110 99–110 97–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 107 100% 101–109 99–110 99–110 97–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 91 78% 88–95 86–97 86–97 83–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 92 61% 87–94 86–96 86–96 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 92 61% 87–94 86–96 86–96 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 78 0% 72–82 71–82 70–82 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 68 0% 66–74 65–76 65–76 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 68 0% 66–74 65–76 65–76 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 62–71 62–72 62–73 60–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–60 52–61 50–62 48–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 48–55 48–57 48–58 46–59
Venstre 43 40 0% 35–42 35–43 35–44 34–45

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
97 0.2% 99.5%  
98 0.4% 99.3%  
99 5% 98.9%  
100 2% 94%  
101 4% 93%  
102 6% 89%  
103 2% 83%  
104 20% 81% Median
105 1.4% 61%  
106 1.5% 59%  
107 13% 58%  
108 31% 45%  
109 5% 14%  
110 8% 9%  
111 1.0% 1.3%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.5%  
98 0.4% 99.3%  
99 5% 98.9%  
100 2% 94%  
101 4% 93%  
102 6% 89%  
103 2% 83%  
104 20% 81% Median
105 1.4% 61%  
106 1.5% 59%  
107 13% 58%  
108 31% 45%  
109 5% 14%  
110 8% 9%  
111 1.0% 1.3%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 0.4% 99.2%  
86 6% 98.8%  
87 0.4% 93%  
88 6% 92%  
89 9% 87%  
90 3% 78% Median, Majority
91 34% 74%  
92 11% 40%  
93 5% 29%  
94 0.9% 24%  
95 14% 23%  
96 0.3% 9%  
97 8% 9%  
98 0.1% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.9%  
100 0.7% 0.8%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.6%  
84 0.4% 99.5%  
85 1.5% 99.1%  
86 4% 98%  
87 12% 94%  
88 2% 82%  
89 19% 79% Median
90 0.9% 61% Majority
91 2% 60%  
92 21% 57%  
93 12% 36%  
94 14% 24%  
95 1.5% 10%  
96 8% 8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.6%  
84 0.4% 99.5%  
85 1.5% 99.1%  
86 4% 98%  
87 12% 94%  
88 2% 82%  
89 19% 79% Median
90 0.9% 61% Majority
91 2% 60%  
92 21% 57%  
93 12% 36%  
94 14% 24%  
95 1.5% 10%  
96 8% 8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 4% 99.5%  
71 3% 95%  
72 4% 93%  
73 0.7% 89%  
74 2% 88%  
75 5% 86%  
76 9% 81%  
77 2% 71% Median
78 32% 69%  
79 16% 38%  
80 1.0% 22%  
81 1.0% 21%  
82 18% 20%  
83 0.6% 1.4%  
84 0% 0.8%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.6%  
63 0.1% 99.5%  
64 1.1% 99.4%  
65 8% 98%  
66 5% 90%  
67 31% 85%  
68 13% 54%  
69 2% 41%  
70 1.2% 39%  
71 20% 38% Median
72 1.2% 17%  
73 6% 16%  
74 4% 10%  
75 2% 7%  
76 5% 5%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.6%  
63 0.1% 99.5%  
64 1.1% 99.4%  
65 8% 98%  
66 5% 90%  
67 31% 85%  
68 13% 54%  
69 2% 41%  
70 1.2% 39%  
71 20% 38% Median
72 1.2% 17%  
73 6% 16%  
74 4% 10%  
75 2% 7%  
76 5% 5%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.7%  
61 1.1% 99.3%  
62 13% 98%  
63 10% 86%  
64 4% 75%  
65 8% 71%  
66 5% 63%  
67 27% 58% Median
68 5% 31%  
69 2% 26%  
70 3% 25%  
71 12% 22%  
72 5% 9%  
73 4% 5%  
74 0.1% 0.6%  
75 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 1.3% 99.8%  
49 0.7% 98.5%  
50 0.5% 98%  
51 1.4% 97%  
52 14% 96%  
53 9% 81%  
54 11% 72%  
55 3% 61%  
56 20% 58% Median
57 9% 38%  
58 16% 29%  
59 2% 13% Last Result
60 5% 11%  
61 3% 6%  
62 0.4% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0% 0.2%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.4% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.6%  
47 0.7% 99.2%  
48 21% 98%  
49 9% 77%  
50 2% 68%  
51 21% 67%  
52 7% 45% Median
53 11% 39%  
54 13% 28%  
55 7% 14% Last Result
56 2% 8%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.5% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.7% 99.9%  
35 9% 99.2%  
36 19% 90%  
37 1.4% 71%  
38 11% 69%  
39 3% 59%  
40 23% 55% Median
41 7% 33%  
42 19% 26%  
43 4% 7% Last Result
44 1.2% 3%  
45 1.0% 1.3%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations