Opinion Poll by YouGov, 7–11 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.8% 31.1–34.5% 30.6–35.0% 30.2–35.4% 29.4–36.3%
Venstre 23.4% 19.3% 18.0–20.8% 17.6–21.3% 17.2–21.6% 16.6–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.7% 7.3–10.0% 7.1–10.2% 6.7–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.7–9.2% 6.5–9.5% 6.1–10.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.7% 6.8–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.3–9.3% 5.9–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.6% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.3–8.1% 4.9–8.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.2% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.5% 5.0–7.7% 4.7–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.2% 4.3–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 64 58–64 57–64 56–64 55–65
Venstre 43 34 33–36 31–37 31–40 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 14–17 14–17 14–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–16 13–17 12–17 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 10 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–13 11–14 10–15 9–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 10–12 10–12 9–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 1.2% 99.6%  
56 1.5% 98%  
57 5% 97%  
58 8% 92%  
59 7% 84%  
60 4% 77%  
61 2% 73%  
62 17% 71%  
63 2% 54%  
64 52% 52% Median
65 0.3% 0.7%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.6% 99.8%  
31 8% 99.3%  
32 0.5% 92%  
33 19% 91%  
34 50% 72% Median
35 10% 22%  
36 5% 12%  
37 2% 7%  
38 0.7% 5%  
39 1.4% 4%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.3%  
14 56% 98.9% Median
15 4% 43%  
16 11% 39% Last Result
17 25% 28%  
18 0.9% 3%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.8%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 6% 97%  
14 6% 91%  
15 7% 85%  
16 71% 78% Last Result, Median
17 6% 7%  
18 0.7% 0.9%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.7%  
12 26% 98.6% Last Result
13 4% 73%  
14 11% 69%  
15 50% 58% Median
16 7% 8%  
17 0.3% 0.9%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.3% 100%  
10 52% 98.7% Median
11 20% 47%  
12 14% 27%  
13 7% 13% Last Result
14 5% 6%  
15 0.4% 0.8%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 3% 98.8%  
11 11% 95%  
12 59% 84% Median
13 20% 26%  
14 2% 6% Last Result
15 3% 4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 3% 99.4%  
10 60% 96% Median
11 23% 36%  
12 9% 13%  
13 2% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 9% 9% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.0% 1.2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.4% 2%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 102 100% 97–102 96–102 93–102 92–104
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 102 100% 97–102 95–102 93–102 92–103
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 91 67% 85–92 84–92 82–92 80–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 0.3% 82–86 81–86 79–86 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 0.1% 82–86 81–86 79–86 77–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 73–77 73–79 73–82 71–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 73–77 73–78 72–81 71–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 79 0% 73–80 72–80 71–80 69–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 62–67 62–68 61–71 60–72
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 62–67 62–68 60–71 60–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 45–51 45–52 45–54 44–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 45–50 45–52 45–52 44–55
Venstre 43 34 0% 33–36 31–37 31–40 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.2% 100% Majority
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.3% 99.8%  
93 2% 99.4%  
94 1.1% 97%  
95 1.0% 96%  
96 1.3% 95% Last Result
97 4% 94%  
98 8% 90%  
99 9% 82%  
100 0.8% 73%  
101 6% 73%  
102 65% 67% Median
103 1.2% 2%  
104 0.4% 0.8%  
105 0.3% 0.4%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.2% 100% Majority
91 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
92 0.3% 99.7%  
93 2% 99.3%  
94 1.1% 97%  
95 1.0% 96%  
96 1.4% 95%  
97 4% 94%  
98 8% 89%  
99 9% 82%  
100 0.8% 73%  
101 6% 72%  
102 65% 66% Median
103 0.7% 1.2%  
104 0.4% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.7%  
81 1.0% 99.4%  
82 2% 98%  
83 1.1% 96%  
84 4% 95%  
85 6% 91%  
86 7% 85%  
87 2% 78%  
88 3% 76%  
89 6% 73%  
90 1.5% 67% Majority
91 17% 65%  
92 48% 48% Median
93 0% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.4% 99.4%  
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 97% Last Result
81 0.7% 96%  
82 10% 95%  
83 2% 85%  
84 4% 83%  
85 5% 79%  
86 71% 74% Median
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100% Last Result
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.5% 99.4%  
79 2% 98.9%  
80 2% 97%  
81 0.7% 95%  
82 11% 95%  
83 2% 84%  
84 4% 82%  
85 5% 78%  
86 71% 73% Median
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.5% 0.8%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 0.6% 99.6%  
72 2% 99.0%  
73 65% 98% Median
74 7% 33%  
75 0.7% 26%  
76 9% 25%  
77 7% 16%  
78 4% 9%  
79 1.1% 6% Last Result
80 0.6% 4%  
81 1.0% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.6%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 65% 97% Median
74 7% 33%  
75 1.1% 25%  
76 9% 24%  
77 7% 15%  
78 3% 8%  
79 0.9% 5% Last Result
80 0.5% 4%  
81 1.0% 3%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 0.8% 99.5%  
70 0.9% 98.7%  
71 2% 98%  
72 5% 95%  
73 2% 91%  
74 13% 88%  
75 2% 75%  
76 2% 73%  
77 2% 71%  
78 19% 69%  
79 0.7% 50%  
80 49% 49% Median
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 2% 99.8%  
61 2% 98%  
62 16% 96%  
63 53% 80% Median
64 6% 27%  
65 2% 21%  
66 6% 19%  
67 7% 13%  
68 1.4% 6%  
69 1.0% 5%  
70 0.6% 4%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.2% 1.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 2% 99.7%  
61 2% 97%  
62 16% 96%  
63 53% 80% Median
64 6% 27%  
65 3% 20%  
66 6% 18%  
67 7% 12%  
68 1.5% 5%  
69 0.3% 4%  
70 0.4% 3%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.1% 1.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 1.1% 99.8%  
45 19% 98.7%  
46 1.4% 80%  
47 4% 79%  
48 2% 74%  
49 54% 72% Median
50 5% 18%  
51 6% 14%  
52 3% 8%  
53 2% 4%  
54 1.2% 3%  
55 1.1% 1.3%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 1.1% 99.7%  
45 19% 98.5%  
46 2% 80%  
47 10% 78%  
48 2% 68%  
49 54% 66% Median
50 5% 11%  
51 1.0% 6%  
52 3% 5%  
53 1.2% 2%  
54 0.2% 0.8%  
55 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.6% 99.8%  
31 8% 99.3%  
32 0.5% 92%  
33 19% 91%  
34 50% 72% Median
35 10% 22%  
36 5% 12%  
37 2% 7%  
38 0.7% 5%  
39 1.4% 4%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations