Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.7% 32.8–36.6% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.6% 30.9–38.6%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.5–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.4–23.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 64 60–69 58–71 58–71 55–71
Venstre 43 37 34–40 34–42 33–42 31–43
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 11–15 10–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 11–16 11–17 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 10–15 9–15 9–15 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.5% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.4%  
57 0.4% 99.1%  
58 5% 98.8%  
59 3% 94%  
60 5% 91%  
61 15% 85%  
62 10% 71%  
63 9% 61%  
64 6% 51% Median
65 3% 46%  
66 9% 42%  
67 2% 34%  
68 7% 32%  
69 17% 25%  
70 0.7% 7%  
71 7% 7%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.9%  
32 1.0% 99.4%  
33 2% 98%  
34 14% 97%  
35 5% 83%  
36 7% 78%  
37 39% 71% Median
38 9% 32%  
39 9% 24%  
40 7% 15%  
41 1.4% 8%  
42 5% 6%  
43 1.0% 1.4% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.5%  
45 0.3% 0.4%  
46 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 5% 99.1%  
13 11% 95% Last Result
14 40% 84% Median
15 19% 44%  
16 9% 25%  
17 7% 15%  
18 7% 9%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 1.0% 99.9%  
11 8% 98.9%  
12 7% 91%  
13 24% 84%  
14 25% 61% Median
15 22% 36%  
16 10% 14% Last Result
17 3% 4%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 9% 97%  
12 7% 88%  
13 51% 80% Median
14 12% 29%  
15 13% 18%  
16 2% 5% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 1.2% 1.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.8%  
11 5% 98.8%  
12 15% 94%  
13 11% 79%  
14 46% 68% Last Result, Median
15 15% 22%  
16 3% 6%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 8% 99.9%  
10 3% 92%  
11 19% 89%  
12 15% 70% Last Result
13 9% 56% Median
14 12% 47%  
15 34% 35%  
16 0.5% 1.4%  
17 0.7% 1.0%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100%  
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 0% 60%  
4 44% 60% Last Result, Median
5 12% 16%  
6 2% 3%  
7 1.1% 1.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 9% 15% Last Result
5 5% 6%  
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 28% 30%  
5 1.4% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 106 100% 102–110 101–113 100–113 97–115
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 106 100% 102–110 101–113 100–113 97–115
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 93 79% 88–97 87–99 86–99 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 93 79% 88–97 87–99 86–99 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 92 76% 86–96 86–99 85–99 82–99
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 77 0% 74–82 73–85 72–85 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 66 0% 62–71 62–72 62–74 58–75
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 66 0% 62–71 62–72 62–74 58–75
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 61–68 60–68 59–70 55–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 47–54 46–56 46–57 44–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 46–54 46–55 44–56 44–57
Venstre 43 37 0% 34–40 34–42 33–42 31–43

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100% Last Result
97 0.4% 99.8%  
98 0.8% 99.5%  
99 1.1% 98.6%  
100 2% 98%  
101 2% 95%  
102 5% 93%  
103 2% 88%  
104 7% 86%  
105 17% 78%  
106 11% 61% Median
107 8% 50%  
108 8% 41%  
109 4% 33%  
110 21% 30%  
111 0.7% 9%  
112 0.5% 8%  
113 7% 7%  
114 0.1% 0.9%  
115 0.7% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.4% 99.8%  
98 0.8% 99.5%  
99 1.1% 98.6%  
100 2% 98%  
101 2% 95%  
102 5% 93%  
103 2% 88%  
104 7% 86%  
105 17% 78%  
106 11% 61% Median
107 8% 50%  
108 8% 41%  
109 4% 33%  
110 21% 30%  
111 0.7% 9%  
112 0.5% 8%  
113 7% 7%  
114 0.1% 0.9%  
115 0.7% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 1.0% 99.5%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 1.2% 98%  
87 2% 97%  
88 10% 95%  
89 6% 85%  
90 15% 79% Majority
91 3% 64%  
92 5% 60% Median
93 7% 56%  
94 7% 48%  
95 12% 41%  
96 7% 29%  
97 15% 22%  
98 0.2% 8%  
99 7% 7%  
100 0.7% 0.8%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 1.0% 99.5%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 1.2% 98%  
87 2% 97%  
88 10% 95%  
89 6% 85%  
90 15% 79% Majority
91 3% 64%  
92 5% 60% Median
93 7% 56%  
94 7% 48%  
95 12% 41%  
96 7% 29%  
97 15% 22%  
98 0.2% 8%  
99 7% 7%  
100 0.7% 0.8%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.4% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.4%  
84 1.3% 99.0%  
85 2% 98%  
86 6% 96%  
87 2% 90%  
88 5% 88%  
89 7% 83%  
90 15% 76% Majority
91 9% 61%  
92 9% 51% Median
93 6% 42%  
94 5% 36%  
95 0.9% 31%  
96 22% 30%  
97 0.3% 8%  
98 0.7% 8%  
99 7% 7%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.8%  
70 0.7% 99.4%  
71 1.0% 98.7%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 8% 94%  
75 6% 86%  
76 22% 80%  
77 8% 58%  
78 7% 50% Median
79 5% 43%  
80 3% 38%  
81 3% 35%  
82 23% 32%  
83 0.9% 9%  
84 0.6% 8%  
85 7% 7%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.3%  
60 1.3% 99.1%  
61 0.1% 98%  
62 9% 98%  
63 3% 89%  
64 2% 86%  
65 28% 84%  
66 16% 55%  
67 8% 39% Median
68 5% 31%  
69 7% 26%  
70 5% 19%  
71 7% 14%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 1.1% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.3%  
60 1.3% 99.1%  
61 0.1% 98%  
62 9% 98%  
63 3% 89%  
64 2% 86%  
65 28% 84%  
66 16% 55%  
67 8% 39% Median
68 5% 31%  
69 7% 26%  
70 5% 19%  
71 7% 14%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 1.1% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.6% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.3%  
57 0.2% 99.2%  
58 0.8% 99.0%  
59 2% 98%  
60 3% 97%  
61 13% 93%  
62 23% 80%  
63 5% 57% Median
64 7% 52%  
65 18% 45%  
66 4% 27%  
67 11% 23%  
68 7% 12%  
69 0.9% 5%  
70 2% 4%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0.3% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.8% 99.8%  
45 0.9% 99.1%  
46 7% 98%  
47 1.0% 91%  
48 10% 90%  
49 23% 79%  
50 9% 57% Median
51 4% 48%  
52 18% 44%  
53 7% 26%  
54 9% 19%  
55 2% 10%  
56 5% 8%  
57 1.5% 3%  
58 0.6% 1.1%  
59 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 2% 99.7%  
45 2% 97%  
46 8% 96%  
47 2% 88%  
48 13% 86%  
49 25% 74%  
50 10% 49% Median
51 4% 39%  
52 18% 35%  
53 4% 18%  
54 7% 13%  
55 1.5% 6% Last Result
56 4% 5%  
57 0.5% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.9%  
32 1.0% 99.4%  
33 2% 98%  
34 14% 97%  
35 5% 83%  
36 7% 78%  
37 39% 71% Median
38 9% 32%  
39 9% 24%  
40 7% 15%  
41 1.4% 8%  
42 5% 6%  
43 1.0% 1.4% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.5%  
45 0.3% 0.4%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations