Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 18–24 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.4–38.3% 33.0–38.8% 32.1–39.8%
Venstre 23.4% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 66 60–73 60–73 58–73 57–73
Venstre 43 34 31–38 30–39 30–39 29–42
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–17 13–17 12–17 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–17 12–17 11–19 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–16 10–17 10–18 9–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–17
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.3% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 2% 99.4%  
59 1.2% 97%  
60 11% 96%  
61 10% 85%  
62 10% 75%  
63 5% 65%  
64 4% 60%  
65 5% 55%  
66 2% 50% Median
67 7% 49%  
68 2% 42%  
69 2% 39%  
70 3% 37%  
71 1.4% 35%  
72 9% 33%  
73 24% 24%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.7%  
30 5% 98.6%  
31 7% 93%  
32 5% 86%  
33 30% 81%  
34 6% 51% Median
35 18% 44%  
36 9% 26%  
37 5% 18%  
38 2% 12%  
39 8% 10%  
40 0.5% 2%  
41 0% 2%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.7%  
13 9% 96%  
14 47% 87% Median
15 13% 40%  
16 16% 27% Last Result
17 8% 11%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.7%  
12 9% 98%  
13 8% 90% Last Result
14 51% 82% Median
15 14% 30%  
16 9% 16%  
17 2% 7%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 4% 99.7%  
12 6% 95%  
13 15% 89%  
14 37% 74% Last Result, Median
15 18% 37%  
16 8% 19%  
17 8% 12%  
18 0.8% 3%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 1.5% 99.9%  
10 4% 98%  
11 17% 95%  
12 8% 78% Last Result
13 21% 70% Median
14 31% 49%  
15 5% 18%  
16 9% 14%  
17 0.7% 5%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.8% 100%  
9 3% 99.2%  
10 7% 97%  
11 18% 90%  
12 19% 72%  
13 37% 52% Median
14 12% 16%  
15 2% 4%  
16 0.9% 1.5% Last Result
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 30% 55% Last Result, Median
5 18% 26%  
6 7% 7%  
7 0.6% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 10% 51% Last Result, Median
5 33% 41%  
6 7% 9%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0.2% 0.5%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 110 100% 103–115 102–115 102–115 100–117
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 110 100% 103–115 102–115 102–115 100–117
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 96 77% 88–101 88–101 87–101 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 96 77% 88–101 88–101 87–101 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 96 80% 89–101 87–101 87–101 85–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 80 0.3% 74–87 74–88 73–88 71–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 64 0% 60–72 60–73 60–73 58–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 64 0% 60–72 60–73 60–73 58–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 58–67 57–68 55–71 53–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 47–54 45–57 44–57 42–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 44–52 43–53 42–54 41–55
Venstre 43 34 0% 31–38 30–39 30–39 29–42

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100% Last Result
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 100%  
99 0.2% 99.9%  
100 0.3% 99.7%  
101 0.8% 99.4%  
102 6% 98.6%  
103 10% 93%  
104 6% 83%  
105 5% 77%  
106 7% 72%  
107 1.4% 65%  
108 3% 64% Median
109 4% 61%  
110 10% 56%  
111 3% 47%  
112 7% 44%  
113 3% 38%  
114 0.2% 35%  
115 33% 35%  
116 0.7% 1.5%  
117 0.5% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.3%  
119 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 100%  
99 0.2% 99.9%  
100 0.3% 99.7%  
101 0.8% 99.4%  
102 6% 98.6%  
103 10% 93%  
104 6% 83%  
105 5% 77%  
106 7% 72%  
107 1.4% 65%  
108 3% 63% Median
109 4% 60%  
110 10% 56%  
111 3% 46%  
112 6% 44%  
113 3% 38%  
114 0.2% 35%  
115 33% 35%  
116 0.7% 1.5%  
117 0.5% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.3%  
119 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.7% 99.7%  
87 2% 99.1%  
88 11% 97%  
89 9% 86%  
90 6% 77% Majority
91 4% 72%  
92 2% 68%  
93 7% 66%  
94 4% 59% Median
95 4% 55%  
96 3% 51%  
97 5% 47%  
98 6% 43%  
99 9% 36%  
100 2% 28%  
101 25% 25%  
102 0.5% 0.6%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.7% 99.7%  
87 2% 99.0%  
88 11% 97%  
89 9% 86%  
90 6% 77% Majority
91 4% 72%  
92 2% 67%  
93 7% 66%  
94 4% 58% Median
95 4% 54%  
96 3% 50%  
97 4% 47%  
98 6% 42%  
99 8% 36%  
100 2% 28%  
101 25% 25%  
102 0.5% 0.6%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.5% 99.9%  
86 0.6% 99.4%  
87 4% 98.8%  
88 4% 95%  
89 10% 90%  
90 5% 80% Majority
91 2% 75%  
92 7% 73%  
93 7% 67%  
94 4% 60% Median
95 4% 56%  
96 8% 52%  
97 4% 44%  
98 3% 39%  
99 2% 37%  
100 0.7% 35%  
101 33% 34%  
102 0.6% 0.9%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 3% 99.0%  
74 9% 96%  
75 8% 87%  
76 4% 79%  
77 7% 75%  
78 7% 68%  
79 7% 61%  
80 4% 54% Median
81 7% 50%  
82 1.0% 43%  
83 5% 42%  
84 0.8% 37%  
85 2% 36%  
86 0.6% 34%  
87 26% 34%  
88 8% 8%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 0.6% 99.7%  
59 0.8% 99.1%  
60 33% 98%  
61 2% 65%  
62 3% 63%  
63 8% 60%  
64 3% 52%  
65 8% 49%  
66 4% 41%  
67 2% 37%  
68 3% 35% Median
69 6% 32%  
70 5% 25%  
71 6% 20%  
72 8% 15%  
73 6% 7%  
74 0.7% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 0.6% 99.7%  
59 0.8% 99.1%  
60 33% 98%  
61 2% 65%  
62 3% 63%  
63 8% 60%  
64 3% 52%  
65 8% 49%  
66 4% 41%  
67 2% 37%  
68 3% 35% Median
69 6% 32%  
70 5% 25%  
71 6% 20%  
72 8% 15%  
73 6% 7%  
74 0.7% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.5% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.5%  
54 0% 99.4%  
55 2% 99.3%  
56 2% 97%  
57 3% 96%  
58 5% 93%  
59 3% 88%  
60 32% 84%  
61 4% 52%  
62 2% 48%  
63 5% 46%  
64 7% 41% Median
65 8% 34%  
66 10% 26%  
67 8% 16%  
68 4% 8%  
69 0.6% 4%  
70 0.2% 3%  
71 0.9% 3%  
72 0.1% 2%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.5%  
44 2% 99.1%  
45 4% 97%  
46 2% 93%  
47 28% 92%  
48 10% 64%  
49 2% 54%  
50 5% 52%  
51 10% 47% Median
52 6% 37%  
53 11% 32%  
54 12% 21%  
55 1.4% 8%  
56 1.0% 7%  
57 4% 6%  
58 0.8% 2%  
59 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 1.5% 99.6%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 5% 97%  
44 6% 92%  
45 7% 86%  
46 3% 79%  
47 36% 77% Median
48 12% 41%  
49 7% 29%  
50 9% 21%  
51 3% 13%  
52 4% 10%  
53 2% 6%  
54 3% 5%  
55 2% 2% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.7%  
30 5% 98.6%  
31 7% 93%  
32 5% 86%  
33 30% 81%  
34 6% 51% Median
35 18% 44%  
36 9% 26%  
37 5% 18%  
38 2% 12%  
39 8% 10%  
40 0.5% 2%  
41 0% 2%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations