Opinion Poll by Epinion, 22–29 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
25.9% |
34.5% |
33.0–36.0% |
32.6–36.4% |
32.2–36.8% |
31.5–37.6% |
Venstre |
23.4% |
20.4% |
19.2–21.7% |
18.8–22.1% |
18.5–22.4% |
17.9–23.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
7.7% |
7.3% |
6.5–8.2% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
6.6% |
6.9% |
6.1–7.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.4–8.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
8.7% |
6.8% |
6.1–7.7% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.4–8.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
8.6% |
6.2% |
5.5–7.0% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.5% |
4.8–7.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
6.9% |
6.1% |
5.4–6.9% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.4% |
4.7–7.8% |
Nye Borgerlige |
2.4% |
5.8% |
5.1–6.6% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.8–7.0% |
4.5–7.4% |
Liberal Alliance |
2.3% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
Alternativet |
3.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.5% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–2.0% |
Stram Kurs |
1.8% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
5% |
96% |
|
60 |
5% |
91% |
|
61 |
9% |
87% |
|
62 |
22% |
78% |
|
63 |
38% |
55% |
Median |
64 |
4% |
17% |
|
65 |
9% |
13% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
67 |
2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
10% |
98.6% |
|
35 |
13% |
89% |
|
36 |
8% |
75% |
|
37 |
25% |
68% |
Median |
38 |
35% |
43% |
|
39 |
3% |
8% |
|
40 |
3% |
5% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
11 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
12 |
33% |
95% |
|
13 |
34% |
63% |
Median |
14 |
22% |
29% |
Last Result |
15 |
4% |
8% |
|
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
18% |
97% |
|
12 |
33% |
79% |
Last Result, Median |
13 |
26% |
45% |
|
14 |
16% |
19% |
|
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
12% |
92% |
|
12 |
36% |
80% |
Median |
13 |
24% |
44% |
|
14 |
17% |
20% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
27% |
97% |
|
11 |
27% |
70% |
Median |
12 |
22% |
43% |
|
13 |
20% |
21% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
29% |
95% |
|
11 |
36% |
66% |
Median |
12 |
13% |
30% |
|
13 |
16% |
17% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
4% |
100% |
|
9 |
8% |
96% |
|
10 |
40% |
88% |
Median |
11 |
28% |
48% |
|
12 |
17% |
20% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
4 |
26% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
5 |
57% |
74% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
17% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
96 |
99 |
100% |
95–100 |
94–100 |
93–101 |
91–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
91 |
99 |
100% |
95–100 |
94–100 |
93–101 |
91–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
78 |
87 |
7% |
85–89 |
83–91 |
82–91 |
80–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet |
80 |
86 |
10% |
84–90 |
83–90 |
82–90 |
81–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
75 |
86 |
10% |
84–90 |
83–90 |
82–90 |
81–92 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
79 |
76 |
0% |
75–80 |
74–81 |
74–82 |
72–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
64 |
74 |
0% |
71–76 |
70–77 |
69–78 |
68–79 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
75 |
66 |
0% |
65–70 |
65–71 |
64–71 |
61–72 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
59 |
54 |
0% |
52–57 |
52–58 |
52–58 |
49–59 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
55 |
50 |
0% |
47–51 |
47–52 |
46–54 |
44–54 |
Venstre |
43 |
37 |
0% |
34–38 |
34–39 |
34–40 |
32–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
93 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
10% |
94% |
|
96 |
6% |
84% |
Last Result |
97 |
24% |
78% |
|
98 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
99 |
36% |
52% |
|
100 |
11% |
16% |
|
101 |
3% |
4% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
92 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
93 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
10% |
94% |
|
96 |
6% |
84% |
|
97 |
24% |
78% |
|
98 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
99 |
36% |
52% |
|
100 |
11% |
16% |
|
101 |
3% |
4% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
83 |
3% |
97% |
|
84 |
2% |
94% |
|
85 |
17% |
92% |
|
86 |
23% |
75% |
|
87 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
88 |
27% |
38% |
|
89 |
4% |
12% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
7% |
Majority |
91 |
5% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
3% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
95% |
|
84 |
5% |
93% |
|
85 |
20% |
88% |
|
86 |
26% |
68% |
|
87 |
11% |
43% |
Median |
88 |
14% |
31% |
|
89 |
7% |
18% |
|
90 |
8% |
10% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
3% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
95% |
|
84 |
5% |
93% |
|
85 |
20% |
88% |
|
86 |
26% |
68% |
|
87 |
11% |
43% |
Median |
88 |
14% |
31% |
|
89 |
7% |
18% |
|
90 |
8% |
10% |
Majority |
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
3% |
98% |
|
75 |
11% |
95% |
|
76 |
36% |
83% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
47% |
|
78 |
23% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
21% |
Last Result |
80 |
10% |
16% |
|
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
70 |
3% |
97% |
|
71 |
8% |
94% |
|
72 |
17% |
86% |
|
73 |
19% |
69% |
|
74 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
75 |
21% |
45% |
|
76 |
17% |
24% |
|
77 |
4% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
31% |
96% |
|
66 |
35% |
65% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
30% |
|
68 |
3% |
24% |
|
69 |
2% |
21% |
|
70 |
12% |
19% |
|
71 |
5% |
6% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
52 |
14% |
98% |
|
53 |
22% |
83% |
|
54 |
23% |
61% |
Median |
55 |
15% |
38% |
|
56 |
13% |
24% |
|
57 |
4% |
11% |
|
58 |
5% |
6% |
|
59 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
47 |
13% |
96% |
|
48 |
21% |
83% |
|
49 |
11% |
62% |
Median |
50 |
26% |
51% |
|
51 |
14% |
24% |
|
52 |
6% |
10% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
10% |
98.6% |
|
35 |
13% |
89% |
|
36 |
8% |
75% |
|
37 |
25% |
68% |
Median |
38 |
35% |
43% |
|
39 |
3% |
8% |
|
40 |
3% |
5% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1642
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%