Opinion Poll by Epinion, 22–29 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.5% 33.0–36.0% 32.6–36.4% 32.2–36.8% 31.5–37.6%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 19.2–21.7% 18.8–22.1% 18.5–22.4% 17.9–23.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.8% 6.1–7.7% 5.9–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.5–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–2.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 60–65 59–65 58–67 57–69
Venstre 43 37 34–38 34–39 34–40 32–41
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–14 12–15 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 2% 99.8%  
58 2% 98%  
59 5% 96%  
60 5% 91%  
61 9% 87%  
62 22% 78%  
63 38% 55% Median
64 4% 17%  
65 9% 13%  
66 0.6% 3%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.4% 0.9%  
69 0.5% 0.5%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.6% 100%  
33 0.8% 99.3%  
34 10% 98.6%  
35 13% 89%  
36 8% 75%  
37 25% 68% Median
38 35% 43%  
39 3% 8%  
40 3% 5%  
41 1.4% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 4% 99.2%  
12 33% 95%  
13 34% 63% Median
14 22% 29% Last Result
15 4% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 18% 97%  
12 33% 79% Last Result, Median
13 26% 45%  
14 16% 19%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 8% 99.9%  
11 12% 92%  
12 36% 80% Median
13 24% 44%  
14 17% 20%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 3% 99.8%  
10 27% 97%  
11 27% 70% Median
12 22% 43%  
13 20% 21%  
14 0.9% 1.0%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 4% 99.8%  
10 29% 95%  
11 36% 66% Median
12 13% 30%  
13 16% 17% Last Result
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 4% 100%  
9 8% 96%  
10 40% 88% Median
11 28% 48%  
12 17% 20%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0% 99.5%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 26% 99.5% Last Result
5 57% 74% Median
6 15% 17%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 99 100% 95–100 94–100 93–101 91–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 99 100% 95–100 94–100 93–101 91–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 87 7% 85–89 83–91 82–91 80–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 10% 84–90 83–90 82–90 81–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 86 10% 84–90 83–90 82–90 81–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 75–80 74–81 74–82 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 74 0% 71–76 70–77 69–78 68–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 65–70 65–71 64–71 61–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 52–57 52–58 52–58 49–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 47–51 47–52 46–54 44–54
Venstre 43 37 0% 34–38 34–39 34–40 32–41

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Majority
91 0.7% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 4% 99.2%  
94 2% 96%  
95 10% 94%  
96 6% 84% Last Result
97 24% 78%  
98 2% 55% Median
99 36% 52%  
100 11% 16%  
101 3% 4%  
102 1.0% 2%  
103 0.3% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Majority
91 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
92 0.1% 99.2%  
93 4% 99.1%  
94 2% 96%  
95 10% 94%  
96 6% 84%  
97 24% 78%  
98 2% 55% Median
99 36% 52%  
100 11% 16%  
101 3% 4%  
102 1.0% 2%  
103 0.3% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.5% 99.9%  
81 1.1% 99.5%  
82 1.5% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 2% 94%  
85 17% 92%  
86 23% 75%  
87 14% 52% Median
88 27% 38%  
89 4% 12%  
90 1.5% 7% Majority
91 5% 6%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
81 1.4% 99.6%  
82 3% 98%  
83 2% 95%  
84 5% 93%  
85 20% 88%  
86 26% 68%  
87 11% 43% Median
88 14% 31%  
89 7% 18%  
90 8% 10% Majority
91 0.9% 2%  
92 0.9% 1.1%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9%  
81 1.4% 99.6%  
82 3% 98%  
83 2% 95%  
84 5% 93%  
85 20% 88%  
86 26% 68%  
87 11% 43% Median
88 14% 31%  
89 7% 18%  
90 8% 10% Majority
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.8% 1.1%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 1.0% 99.1%  
74 3% 98%  
75 11% 95%  
76 36% 83% Median
77 3% 47%  
78 23% 44%  
79 6% 21% Last Result
80 10% 16%  
81 2% 6%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.1% 0.8%  
84 0.7% 0.7%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.9% 99.8%  
69 2% 98.8%  
70 3% 97%  
71 8% 94%  
72 17% 86%  
73 19% 69%  
74 5% 50% Median
75 21% 45%  
76 17% 24%  
77 4% 7%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.5% 0.7%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.4% 99.4%  
63 1.0% 99.0%  
64 2% 98%  
65 31% 96%  
66 35% 65% Median
67 6% 30%  
68 3% 24%  
69 2% 21%  
70 12% 19%  
71 5% 6%  
72 1.3% 2%  
73 0.3% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 0.5% 99.5%  
51 1.3% 99.0%  
52 14% 98%  
53 22% 83%  
54 23% 61% Median
55 15% 38%  
56 13% 24%  
57 4% 11%  
58 5% 6%  
59 2% 2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.5%  
46 3% 98.9%  
47 13% 96%  
48 21% 83%  
49 11% 62% Median
50 26% 51%  
51 14% 24%  
52 6% 10%  
53 1.3% 4%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.6% 100%  
33 0.8% 99.3%  
34 10% 98.6%  
35 13% 89%  
36 8% 75%  
37 25% 68% Median
38 35% 43%  
39 3% 8%  
40 3% 5%  
41 1.4% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations