Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25–31 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.7% 32.9–36.7% 32.4–37.2% 31.9–37.7% 31.0–38.6%
Venstre 23.4% 19.6% 18.1–21.2% 17.6–21.7% 17.3–22.1% 16.6–22.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 58–64 57–65 57–66 55–68
Venstre 43 35 31–38 31–39 31–39 30–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 13–20
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–16 12–17 12–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–15 12–16 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 3–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.3% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.6%  
56 0.3% 99.0%  
57 4% 98.6%  
58 6% 95%  
59 5% 89%  
60 10% 84%  
61 28% 73% Median
62 4% 45%  
63 27% 41%  
64 8% 14%  
65 0.9% 6%  
66 3% 5%  
67 1.0% 2%  
68 0.7% 1.0%  
69 0.3% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 21% 98%  
32 5% 77%  
33 6% 71%  
34 8% 65%  
35 18% 57% Median
36 6% 39%  
37 4% 33%  
38 22% 29%  
39 5% 7%  
40 1.3% 2%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 5% 99.8% Last Result
14 9% 95%  
15 34% 87%  
16 15% 52% Median
17 23% 38%  
18 8% 14%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 0.7% 99.4%  
12 4% 98.7%  
13 37% 95%  
14 17% 57% Median
15 26% 40%  
16 7% 14% Last Result
17 5% 7%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 3% 99.7%  
12 5% 97%  
13 17% 92%  
14 50% 75% Last Result, Median
15 12% 25%  
16 9% 13%  
17 2% 4%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.2%  
12 9% 96% Last Result
13 30% 87%  
14 15% 57% Median
15 32% 42%  
16 5% 10%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.9% 1.3%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.1% 100%  
9 6% 98.9%  
10 30% 93%  
11 10% 63%  
12 29% 53% Median
13 15% 24%  
14 7% 9%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0.1% 96%  
4 12% 96% Last Result
5 48% 84% Median
6 31% 36%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0.3% 90%  
4 56% 90% Last Result, Median
5 24% 34%  
6 8% 9%  
7 1.3% 1.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 106 100% 103–109 102–110 101–110 99–113
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 106 100% 103–109 102–110 101–110 99–113
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 91 82% 88–94 87–95 87–97 85–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 91 82% 88–94 87–95 87–97 85–98
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 90 54% 86–93 85–93 84–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 76 0% 72–78 72–80 70–80 69–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 69 0% 66–72 65–73 65–74 62–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 60–67 60–68 59–69 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 48–57 48–57 48–58 47–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 44–53 44–53 44–53 43–57
Venstre 43 35 0% 31–38 31–39 31–39 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100% Last Result
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.9% 99.8%  
100 0.8% 98.9%  
101 3% 98%  
102 4% 95%  
103 30% 92%  
104 4% 62%  
105 3% 57% Median
106 14% 54%  
107 8% 40%  
108 5% 32%  
109 20% 27%  
110 6% 7%  
111 0.8% 1.4%  
112 0.1% 0.6%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.9% 99.8%  
100 0.8% 98.9%  
101 3% 98%  
102 4% 95%  
103 30% 92%  
104 4% 62%  
105 3% 57% Median
106 14% 54%  
107 8% 40%  
108 5% 32%  
109 20% 27%  
110 6% 7%  
111 0.8% 1.4%  
112 0.1% 0.6%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 99.6%  
86 2% 99.3%  
87 3% 98%  
88 5% 95%  
89 8% 90%  
90 26% 82% Majority
91 8% 56% Median
92 10% 48%  
93 8% 38%  
94 23% 31%  
95 2% 7%  
96 2% 5%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.6% 1.0%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 99.6%  
86 2% 99.3%  
87 3% 98%  
88 5% 95%  
89 8% 90%  
90 26% 82% Majority
91 8% 56% Median
92 10% 48%  
93 8% 38%  
94 23% 31%  
95 2% 7%  
96 2% 5%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.6% 1.0%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.9%  
83 2% 99.5%  
84 0.7% 98%  
85 6% 97%  
86 4% 91%  
87 4% 87%  
88 24% 83%  
89 5% 60% Median
90 8% 54% Majority
91 11% 47%  
92 24% 35%  
93 6% 11%  
94 2% 5%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.7% 1.2%  
97 0.1% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.8%  
70 2% 98%  
71 1.3% 96%  
72 7% 95%  
73 2% 88%  
74 28% 86%  
75 4% 58% Median
76 15% 53%  
77 4% 38%  
78 26% 34%  
79 3% 8%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.8% 1.4%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.5%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 6% 98.5%  
66 20% 93%  
67 5% 73%  
68 8% 68%  
69 14% 60%  
70 3% 46% Median
71 4% 43%  
72 30% 38%  
73 4% 8%  
74 3% 5%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 0.8% 1.1%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 2% 99.6%  
60 20% 97%  
61 5% 78%  
62 3% 73%  
63 7% 70%  
64 15% 63%  
65 6% 48% Median
66 3% 42%  
67 31% 39%  
68 4% 7%  
69 1.4% 4%  
70 1.1% 2%  
71 0.7% 1.2%  
72 0.1% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0.4% 0.4%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 2% 99.6%  
48 21% 98%  
49 2% 77%  
50 3% 75%  
51 13% 72%  
52 7% 59%  
53 6% 52% Median
54 8% 46%  
55 7% 38%  
56 3% 31%  
57 24% 27%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.3% 1.2% Last Result
60 0.5% 0.9%  
61 0.4% 0.5%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.8%  
44 22% 99.1%  
45 1.1% 77%  
46 6% 76%  
47 12% 69%  
48 4% 58%  
49 9% 53% Median
50 7% 45%  
51 9% 38%  
52 3% 30%  
53 25% 27%  
54 0.3% 2%  
55 0.3% 1.2% Last Result
56 0.4% 0.9%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 21% 98%  
32 5% 77%  
33 6% 71%  
34 8% 65%  
35 18% 57% Median
36 6% 39%  
37 4% 33%  
38 22% 29%  
39 5% 7%  
40 1.3% 2%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations