Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 1–7 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.4%
Venstre 23.4% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 65 62–67 59–68 58–69 58–72
Venstre 43 34 32–38 32–38 30–39 29–42
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–21
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–13 8–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 4–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 4% 99.6%  
59 3% 96%  
60 0.9% 94%  
61 1.3% 93%  
62 5% 91%  
63 22% 86%  
64 7% 64%  
65 40% 57% Median
66 3% 17%  
67 7% 13%  
68 2% 6%  
69 3% 5%  
70 0.3% 2%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.4% 0.4%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 0.7% 98%  
31 2% 97%  
32 21% 95%  
33 20% 74%  
34 11% 54% Median
35 9% 44%  
36 9% 35%  
37 7% 26%  
38 15% 19%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.3% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.3%  
42 0.2% 0.7%  
43 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.9%  
12 3% 98.8%  
13 8% 95% Last Result
14 9% 88%  
15 32% 79% Median
16 7% 47%  
17 9% 40%  
18 28% 31%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.3% 0.9%  
21 0.5% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.8%  
11 7% 98.6%  
12 7% 91%  
13 23% 84%  
14 18% 61% Median
15 30% 43%  
16 6% 13% Last Result
17 5% 7%  
18 0.3% 1.4%  
19 1.0% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 7% 99.3%  
12 29% 93%  
13 18% 63% Median
14 9% 45% Last Result
15 27% 36%  
16 8% 9%  
17 0.6% 1.2%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 13% 98%  
12 15% 85% Last Result
13 29% 69% Median
14 28% 40%  
15 7% 12%  
16 2% 4%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 5% 99.6%  
9 21% 94%  
10 40% 74% Median
11 7% 34%  
12 18% 28%  
13 6% 10%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 48% 94% Last Result, Median
5 28% 46%  
6 6% 18%  
7 10% 12%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 43% 90% Last Result, Median
5 30% 47%  
6 16% 17%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.5% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 108 100% 102–111 102–112 101–114 99–115
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 108 100% 102–111 102–112 101–114 99–115
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 94 86% 89–96 89–99 87–99 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 94 86% 89–96 89–99 87–99 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 92 69% 87–95 86–97 85–98 84–101
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 79 0% 74–81 73–83 71–84 71–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 66 0% 64–70 61–71 60–72 58–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 66 0% 64–70 61–71 60–72 58–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 59–66 58–66 57–67 55–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 48–55 47–55 47–56 45–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 44–51 44–51 43–52 42–55
Venstre 43 34 0% 32–38 32–38 30–39 29–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100% Last Result
97 0.2% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 2% 99.7%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 7% 97%  
103 2% 90%  
104 4% 88%  
105 8% 84%  
106 19% 76%  
107 3% 57% Median
108 5% 54%  
109 12% 49%  
110 24% 37%  
111 8% 14%  
112 1.2% 6%  
113 2% 5%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.4% 0.6%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0.2% 0.2%  
118 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.2% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 2% 99.7%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 7% 97%  
103 2% 90%  
104 4% 88%  
105 8% 84%  
106 19% 76%  
107 3% 57% Median
108 5% 54%  
109 11% 49%  
110 24% 37%  
111 8% 14%  
112 1.1% 6%  
113 2% 5%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.4% 0.6%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0.2% 0.2%  
118 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.2% 100%  
85 1.4% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 98%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 11% 96%  
90 1.3% 86% Majority
91 5% 84%  
92 8% 79%  
93 15% 71% Median
94 10% 56%  
95 26% 46%  
96 10% 20%  
97 3% 9%  
98 1.4% 7%  
99 3% 5%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.0%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.2% 100%  
85 1.4% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 98%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 11% 96%  
90 1.3% 86% Majority
91 5% 84%  
92 8% 79%  
93 15% 71% Median
94 10% 55%  
95 26% 46%  
96 10% 19%  
97 3% 9%  
98 1.4% 7%  
99 3% 5%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.0%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.6% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.0%  
86 6% 97%  
87 1.1% 91%  
88 13% 90%  
89 7% 77%  
90 8% 69% Majority
91 8% 61%  
92 7% 54% Median
93 10% 47%  
94 6% 37%  
95 22% 31%  
96 3% 8%  
97 2% 5%  
98 2% 4%  
99 1.3% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.0%  
101 0.7% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.5%  
72 0.9% 96%  
73 2% 95%  
74 4% 93%  
75 2% 89%  
76 14% 88%  
77 9% 73%  
78 9% 64%  
79 15% 55% Median
80 29% 39%  
81 1.5% 11%  
82 4% 9%  
83 1.1% 5%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.9% 1.3%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 1.2% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 98.7%  
60 0.6% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 1.3% 95%  
63 2% 94%  
64 7% 92%  
65 25% 85% Median
66 12% 60%  
67 5% 48%  
68 3% 43%  
69 24% 39%  
70 7% 15%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.9%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 1.2% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 98.7%  
60 0.6% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 1.3% 95%  
63 2% 94%  
64 7% 92%  
65 25% 85% Median
66 12% 60%  
67 5% 48%  
68 3% 43%  
69 24% 39%  
70 7% 15%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.9%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.7%  
56 1.2% 99.1%  
57 1.0% 98%  
58 2% 97%  
59 7% 94%  
60 10% 88%  
61 25% 78% Median
62 10% 53%  
63 5% 43%  
64 16% 37%  
65 11% 21%  
66 7% 10%  
67 0.9% 3%  
68 0.3% 2%  
69 1.0% 2%  
70 0.8% 0.9%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.8% 99.6%  
46 1.1% 98.8%  
47 3% 98%  
48 5% 95%  
49 6% 89%  
50 17% 83%  
51 20% 66% Median
52 6% 46%  
53 9% 40%  
54 6% 31%  
55 21% 25%  
56 3% 5%  
57 0.4% 2%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
60 0.3% 0.6%  
61 0.3% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.6%  
43 2% 99.0%  
44 12% 97%  
45 2% 85%  
46 28% 82%  
47 5% 55% Median
48 9% 49%  
49 15% 40%  
50 7% 25%  
51 16% 19%  
52 0.9% 3%  
53 0.5% 2%  
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 0.7% 98%  
31 2% 97%  
32 21% 95%  
33 20% 74%  
34 11% 54% Median
35 9% 44%  
36 9% 35%  
37 7% 26%  
38 15% 19%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.3% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.3%  
42 0.2% 0.7%  
43 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations