Opinion Poll by YouGov, 8–10 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.8% 32.1–35.5% 31.6–36.0% 31.2–36.5% 30.4–37.3%
Venstre 23.4% 18.6% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5% 16.5–20.8% 15.9–21.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.7% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.1% 6.4–9.3% 6.0–9.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.5% 6.4–8.8% 6.2–9.1% 5.8–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.1% 5.0–8.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.6% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.1% 5.0–8.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–3.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 60–64 59–64 56–64 55–65
Venstre 43 33 32–34 31–35 31–36 29–38
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 13–15 13–16 12–16 11–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 13–15 13–15 13–15 11–17
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 12–15 12–15 11–15 9–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 10–14 10–15 10–15 10–16
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.4% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.8% 99.5%  
56 1.3% 98.8%  
57 1.4% 97%  
58 0.6% 96%  
59 4% 95%  
60 7% 91%  
61 35% 84% Median
62 9% 48%  
63 2% 39%  
64 37% 37%  
65 0.2% 0.6%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.4%  
31 4% 98.9%  
32 44% 95%  
33 9% 50% Median
34 35% 41%  
35 1.3% 6%  
36 2% 5%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 1.2% 1.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.7%  
12 1.4% 98.7%  
13 46% 97%  
14 35% 51% Median
15 9% 16%  
16 6% 8%  
17 0.9% 1.2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.8%  
12 1.4% 99.3% Last Result
13 41% 98%  
14 16% 57% Median
15 39% 40%  
16 0.4% 1.2%  
17 0.7% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.6%  
12 42% 98.6%  
13 4% 56%  
14 7% 53% Median
15 38% 46%  
16 7% 8% Last Result
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 7% 99.9%  
11 4% 93%  
12 4% 89%  
13 12% 85% Last Result
14 71% 73% Median
15 2% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 0.4% 98%  
11 2% 98%  
12 44% 95%  
13 3% 51% Median
14 13% 48%  
15 35% 35%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.9%  
10 40% 99.7%  
11 4% 60%  
12 43% 56% Median
13 2% 13%  
14 3% 11% Last Result
15 8% 9%  
16 0.7% 0.7%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 11% 14% Last Result
5 3% 3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 100 99.7% 96–105 96–105 96–105 92–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 100 99.7% 96–105 96–105 96–105 92–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 87 38% 83–91 83–91 82–91 80–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 45% 82–90 80–90 80–90 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 45% 82–90 80–90 80–90 77–92
Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 75 0% 70–79 70–79 70–79 70–81
Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 70–79 70–79 70–79 70–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 74 0% 73–79 73–79 70–79 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 57–64 57–64 57–65 56–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–64 57–64 57–65 56–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 45–51 45–51 45–52 44–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 45–49 45–49 45–51 43–53
Venstre 43 33 0% 32–34 31–35 31–36 29–38

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.3% 100%  
90 0% 99.7% Majority
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.6%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.4% 99.3%  
95 0.3% 98.9%  
96 11% 98.6% Last Result
97 34% 87%  
98 0.8% 53%  
99 2% 52%  
100 2% 50%  
101 3% 49% Median
102 8% 46%  
103 0.7% 37%  
104 0.4% 37%  
105 36% 36%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.3% 100%  
90 0% 99.7% Majority
91 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
92 0.2% 99.6%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.4% 99.3%  
95 0.3% 98.9%  
96 11% 98.6%  
97 34% 87%  
98 0.8% 53%  
99 2% 52%  
100 2% 50%  
101 3% 49% Median
102 8% 46%  
103 0.7% 37%  
104 0.4% 36%  
105 36% 36%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.3% 100%  
78 0% 99.6% Last Result
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 0% 99.5%  
81 2% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 98%  
83 34% 97%  
84 1.3% 64%  
85 5% 62%  
86 7% 58%  
87 2% 50% Median
88 1.5% 49%  
89 9% 47%  
90 0.8% 38% Majority
91 37% 37%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.4%  
79 0% 99.4%  
80 5% 99.4% Last Result
81 1.3% 94%  
82 5% 93%  
83 0.6% 88%  
84 1.4% 87%  
85 36% 86%  
86 1.4% 49%  
87 1.3% 48% Median
88 2% 47%  
89 0.4% 45%  
90 44% 45% Majority
91 0.5% 1.0%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.4%  
79 0% 99.4%  
80 5% 99.4%  
81 1.3% 94%  
82 5% 93%  
83 0.6% 88%  
84 1.4% 87%  
85 36% 86%  
86 1.4% 49%  
87 1.3% 48% Median
88 2% 47%  
89 0.4% 45%  
90 44% 45% Majority
91 0.5% 1.0%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 36% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 64%  
72 0.8% 63%  
73 9% 63%  
74 3% 54% Median
75 2% 51%  
76 2% 49%  
77 0.5% 47%  
78 34% 47%  
79 11% 13% Last Result
80 0.3% 1.2%  
81 0.4% 0.9%  
82 0% 0.5%  
83 0% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 36% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 64%  
72 0.8% 63%  
73 9% 63%  
74 3% 54% Median
75 2% 51%  
76 2% 49%  
77 0.5% 47%  
78 34% 47%  
79 11% 13% Last Result
80 0.3% 1.2%  
81 0.4% 0.9%  
82 0% 0.5%  
83 0% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.4% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 0% 99.4%  
68 0.1% 99.4%  
69 0.5% 99.3%  
70 2% 98.8%  
71 0.1% 97%  
72 1.1% 97%  
73 39% 96%  
74 10% 57%  
75 0.7% 47% Median
76 7% 46%  
77 2% 39%  
78 0.8% 37%  
79 36% 36%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.4% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.5%  
57 36% 99.5%  
58 0.8% 64%  
59 3% 63%  
60 10% 60% Median
61 2% 51%  
62 2% 49%  
63 6% 47%  
64 39% 41%  
65 0.1% 3%  
66 1.5% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.9%  
68 0% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0.3% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.4% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.5%  
57 36% 99.5%  
58 0.8% 64%  
59 3% 63%  
60 10% 60% Median
61 2% 51%  
62 2% 49%  
63 6% 47%  
64 39% 41%  
65 0.1% 3%  
66 1.5% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.9%  
68 0% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0.3% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.6%  
45 36% 99.4%  
46 9% 63%  
47 1.4% 54% Median
48 0.9% 53%  
49 36% 52%  
50 5% 16%  
51 8% 11%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.5% 2%  
54 0.2% 1.1%  
55 0.3% 0.9%  
56 0% 0.5%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.4% 0.4%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0.9% 99.7%  
44 0.7% 98.8%  
45 36% 98%  
46 14% 62%  
47 8% 48% Median
48 0.5% 40%  
49 36% 39%  
50 0.5% 4%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0.1% 0.7%  
53 0.2% 0.6%  
54 0.4% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.4%  
31 4% 98.9%  
32 44% 95%  
33 9% 50% Median
34 35% 41%  
35 1.3% 6%  
36 2% 5%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 1.2% 1.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations