Opinion Poll by Gallup, 11 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.1% 31.6–34.7% 31.2–35.1% 30.8–35.5% 30.1–36.3%
Venstre 23.4% 21.4% 20.1–22.8% 19.7–23.2% 19.4–23.5% 18.7–24.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.3–8.6% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.4–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 55–63 55–65 55–66 55–67
Venstre 43 40 37–43 36–43 35–43 34–44
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–16 12–17 11–17 11–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 11 10–13 10–14 10–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–12 9–13 8–13 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 33% 99.7%  
56 0.9% 67%  
57 3% 66%  
58 9% 62%  
59 9% 53% Median
60 18% 44%  
61 11% 27%  
62 2% 16%  
63 7% 13%  
64 0.9% 6%  
65 0.7% 5%  
66 4% 5%  
67 0.9% 1.1%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 4% 99.2%  
36 3% 95%  
37 6% 92%  
38 17% 85%  
39 9% 68%  
40 16% 60% Median
41 2% 44%  
42 5% 41%  
43 34% 36% Last Result
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 6% 97%  
13 13% 91%  
14 52% 78% Median
15 12% 26%  
16 6% 13% Last Result
17 7% 7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 4% 99.7%  
11 18% 96%  
12 12% 79% Last Result
13 11% 66%  
14 42% 55% Median
15 4% 13%  
16 8% 9%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 13% 98%  
11 5% 84%  
12 51% 79% Median
13 20% 28% Last Result
14 6% 8%  
15 0.9% 2%  
16 1.2% 1.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 10% 98%  
11 53% 88% Median
12 21% 35%  
13 8% 14%  
14 3% 7% Last Result
15 3% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.9% 100%  
9 4% 99.1%  
10 19% 95%  
11 13% 76%  
12 49% 63% Median
13 9% 14%  
14 5% 6%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 4% 99.9%  
9 14% 96%  
10 45% 82% Median
11 18% 37%  
12 10% 19%  
13 9% 9%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 52% 61% Last Result, Median
5 6% 8%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 13% 15%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0.3% 6%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 96 100% 92–102 92–103 92–103 91–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 96 100% 92–102 92–102 92–103 91–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 85 9% 80–89 80–91 80–92 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 83 2% 78–88 78–89 78–89 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 82 1.2% 78–88 78–89 78–89 78–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 73–83 72–83 72–83 70–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 72–83 72–83 72–83 69–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 69–78 69–79 69–80 69–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 63–73 62–73 62–73 59–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 62–73 62–73 60–73 58–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 51–61 50–61 49–61 47–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 49–57 47–57 46–57 46–58
Venstre 43 40 0% 37–43 36–43 35–43 34–44

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.7% 99.9%  
92 33% 99.2%  
93 0.6% 66%  
94 1.4% 66%  
95 9% 64%  
96 6% 56% Last Result, Median
97 7% 49%  
98 12% 42%  
99 5% 30%  
100 3% 25%  
101 6% 23%  
102 12% 17%  
103 4% 5%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.7%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
92 35% 99.1%  
93 0.9% 64%  
94 2% 64%  
95 9% 62%  
96 5% 53% Median
97 7% 48%  
98 12% 41%  
99 5% 28%  
100 2% 23%  
101 6% 21%  
102 11% 15%  
103 3% 4%  
104 0.4% 0.9%  
105 0.3% 0.6%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9% Last Result
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 33% 99.8%  
81 1.3% 67%  
82 5% 66%  
83 5% 61%  
84 6% 56% Median
85 17% 51%  
86 8% 34%  
87 3% 26%  
88 4% 22%  
89 10% 18%  
90 0.9% 9% Majority
91 4% 8%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.6% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 33% 99.9%  
79 1.0% 67%  
80 6% 66% Last Result
81 3% 60%  
82 5% 57% Median
83 10% 52%  
84 16% 42%  
85 5% 26%  
86 3% 21%  
87 5% 18%  
88 4% 13%  
89 7% 9%  
90 0.5% 2% Majority
91 0.5% 1.2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 33% 99.8%  
79 3% 67%  
80 6% 64%  
81 3% 58%  
82 5% 55% Median
83 9% 49%  
84 17% 41%  
85 5% 24%  
86 3% 19%  
87 5% 16%  
88 4% 11%  
89 6% 7%  
90 0.5% 1.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.7%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.3%  
72 4% 98%  
73 12% 95%  
74 6% 83%  
75 3% 77%  
76 5% 75%  
77 12% 70%  
78 7% 58%  
79 6% 51% Last Result
80 9% 44% Median
81 1.4% 36%  
82 0.6% 34%  
83 33% 34%  
84 0.7% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.4% 99.4%  
71 1.1% 99.0%  
72 9% 98%  
73 14% 89%  
74 9% 75%  
75 4% 67%  
76 2% 63%  
77 11% 61%  
78 3% 50%  
79 5% 47% Last Result
80 8% 42% Median
81 0.9% 34%  
82 0.4% 33%  
83 33% 33%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 33% 99.5%  
70 4% 66%  
71 3% 62%  
72 4% 59%  
73 9% 55% Median
74 16% 46%  
75 7% 30%  
76 9% 23%  
77 4% 15%  
78 6% 11%  
79 1.0% 5%  
80 4% 4%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.1%  
61 0.3% 98.7%  
62 8% 98%  
63 7% 90%  
64 8% 83%  
65 4% 75%  
66 9% 71%  
67 12% 62%  
68 11% 50%  
69 2% 40%  
70 0.9% 37% Median
71 3% 37%  
72 0.2% 33%  
73 32% 33%  
74 0.1% 0.8%  
75 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.3%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 0.7% 97%  
62 10% 96%  
63 11% 87%  
64 11% 75%  
65 4% 64%  
66 9% 60%  
67 7% 51%  
68 6% 44%  
69 2% 38%  
70 0.6% 36% Median
71 3% 36%  
72 0.1% 32%  
73 32% 32%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 2% 99.8%  
48 0.2% 98%  
49 0.5% 98%  
50 3% 97%  
51 6% 94%  
52 6% 88%  
53 15% 82%  
54 20% 67%  
55 3% 47%  
56 3% 44%  
57 3% 41%  
58 3% 38% Median
59 3% 35% Last Result
60 0.1% 32%  
61 32% 32%  
62 0.4% 0.4%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 3% 99.8%  
47 5% 97%  
48 1.0% 92%  
49 6% 91%  
50 7% 85%  
51 4% 78%  
52 10% 74%  
53 11% 64%  
54 17% 54% Median
55 2% 36% Last Result
56 0.4% 34%  
57 33% 34%  
58 0.6% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 4% 99.2%  
36 3% 95%  
37 6% 92%  
38 17% 85%  
39 9% 68%  
40 16% 60% Median
41 2% 44%  
42 5% 41%  
43 34% 36% Last Result
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations