Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 8–13 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.4% 31.2–36.9% 30.3–37.9%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 18.8–22.0% 18.4–22.5% 18.0–22.9% 17.3–23.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 57–65 57–66 56–67 55–70
Venstre 43 37 33–41 32–42 32–42 32–43
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–18 12–18 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–16 10–16 10–17 10–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–14 10–15 10–16 10–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 99.6%  
56 3% 99.2%  
57 11% 96%  
58 8% 86%  
59 4% 78%  
60 10% 75%  
61 26% 65% Median
62 4% 39%  
63 20% 35%  
64 0.5% 15%  
65 6% 14%  
66 6% 8%  
67 0.8% 3%  
68 0.3% 2%  
69 0.8% 1.4%  
70 0.6% 0.6%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 6% 99.7%  
33 6% 94%  
34 6% 88%  
35 5% 82%  
36 20% 77%  
37 16% 57% Median
38 11% 40%  
39 12% 29%  
40 2% 17%  
41 5% 15%  
42 7% 10%  
43 2% 2% Last Result
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 6% 99.8%  
13 14% 94%  
14 21% 80%  
15 27% 60% Median
16 14% 33% Last Result
17 14% 18%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.2%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 10% 99.0%  
13 22% 89% Last Result
14 27% 67% Median
15 16% 41%  
16 15% 25%  
17 3% 10%  
18 6% 6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 8% 99.9%  
11 16% 92%  
12 28% 76% Last Result, Median
13 15% 49%  
14 13% 34%  
15 10% 21%  
16 8% 11%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 6% 99.6%  
11 12% 94%  
12 27% 82%  
13 25% 54% Median
14 22% 29% Last Result
15 3% 8%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 8% 99.8%  
10 8% 92%  
11 19% 84%  
12 32% 65% Median
13 24% 32%  
14 6% 8%  
15 1.1% 2%  
16 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 2% 99.9% Last Result
5 22% 98%  
6 25% 77%  
7 45% 52% Median
8 5% 6%  
9 1.2% 1.4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 40% 75% Last Result, Median
5 19% 35%  
6 17% 17%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 103 100% 100–107 99–108 98–109 97–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 103 100% 100–107 99–108 98–109 97–111
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 28% 85–93 84–94 83–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 28% 85–93 84–94 83–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 89 36% 86–93 84–93 82–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 75 0% 73–80 72–80 71–80 69–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 72 0% 68–75 67–76 66–77 64–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 68–75 67–76 66–77 64–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 61–69 61–70 60–71 57–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 49–57 48–57 48–59 45–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 46–53 46–55 46–56 44–57
Venstre 43 37 0% 33–41 32–42 32–42 32–43

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
97 0.5% 99.7%  
98 4% 99.2%  
99 1.0% 95%  
100 16% 94%  
101 4% 78%  
102 15% 74%  
103 10% 59% Median
104 28% 49%  
105 4% 21%  
106 1.4% 17%  
107 10% 16%  
108 3% 6%  
109 0.7% 3%  
110 0.1% 2%  
111 2% 2%  
112 0.4% 0.4%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.5% 99.7%  
98 4% 99.2%  
99 1.0% 95%  
100 16% 94%  
101 4% 78%  
102 15% 74%  
103 10% 59% Median
104 28% 49%  
105 4% 21%  
106 1.4% 17%  
107 10% 16%  
108 3% 6%  
109 0.7% 3%  
110 0.1% 2%  
111 2% 2%  
112 0.4% 0.4%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 1.0% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 2% 98.6%  
84 5% 97%  
85 3% 92%  
86 16% 89%  
87 24% 73%  
88 12% 49% Median
89 9% 37%  
90 6% 28% Majority
91 3% 22%  
92 5% 18%  
93 7% 13%  
94 3% 6%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 1.0% 1.0%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 1.0% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 2% 98.6%  
84 5% 97%  
85 3% 92%  
86 16% 89%  
87 24% 73%  
88 12% 49% Median
89 9% 37%  
90 6% 28% Majority
91 3% 22%  
92 5% 18%  
93 7% 13%  
94 3% 6%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 1.0% 1.0%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.6% 99.9%  
82 2% 99.4%  
83 2% 97%  
84 1.4% 96%  
85 1.4% 94%  
86 11% 93%  
87 15% 82%  
88 10% 67%  
89 21% 57% Median
90 11% 36% Majority
91 12% 25%  
92 1.4% 13%  
93 7% 11%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.3% 2%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.6% 0.8%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.8% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.2%  
71 2% 98.7%  
72 3% 96%  
73 8% 94%  
74 12% 86%  
75 27% 74%  
76 11% 47% Median
77 3% 36%  
78 13% 34%  
79 8% 21%  
80 10% 13%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.2% 2%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.2% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.8%  
86 0% 0.6%  
87 0.6% 0.6%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.4% 100%  
64 2% 99.5%  
65 0.1% 98%  
66 0.7% 98%  
67 3% 97%  
68 10% 94%  
69 1.4% 84%  
70 4% 83%  
71 28% 79%  
72 10% 51% Median
73 15% 41%  
74 4% 25%  
75 16% 22%  
76 0.9% 6%  
77 4% 5%  
78 0.5% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.4% 100%  
64 2% 99.5%  
65 0.1% 98%  
66 0.7% 98%  
67 3% 97%  
68 10% 94%  
69 4% 84%  
70 4% 80%  
71 28% 75%  
72 10% 47% Median
73 12% 37%  
74 3% 25%  
75 16% 21%  
76 0.9% 6%  
77 4% 5%  
78 0.5% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.8% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.1%  
59 0.8% 98.6%  
60 1.3% 98%  
61 9% 97%  
62 6% 87%  
63 3% 81%  
64 11% 78%  
65 20% 67% Median
66 22% 47%  
67 1.3% 25%  
68 4% 24%  
69 12% 20%  
70 4% 8%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.7% 0.9%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.8% 99.9%  
46 0.7% 99.1%  
47 0.2% 98%  
48 7% 98%  
49 1.0% 91%  
50 8% 90%  
51 12% 82%  
52 7% 70%  
53 14% 63% Median
54 5% 49%  
55 12% 44%  
56 8% 33%  
57 20% 24%  
58 0.9% 4%  
59 0.9% 3% Last Result
60 2% 2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.5% 99.8%  
45 1.2% 99.3%  
46 9% 98%  
47 10% 90%  
48 18% 80%  
49 11% 62% Median
50 5% 51%  
51 16% 46%  
52 7% 30%  
53 16% 23%  
54 2% 7%  
55 1.0% 5% Last Result
56 2% 4%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 6% 99.7%  
33 6% 94%  
34 6% 88%  
35 5% 82%  
36 20% 77%  
37 16% 57% Median
38 11% 40%  
39 12% 29%  
40 2% 17%  
41 5% 15%  
42 7% 10%  
43 2% 2% Last Result
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations